Fetch.ai (FET) Faces Potential Downturn Despite Recent Breakout

A bullish breakout from consolidation and a breakout of a key resistance level indicate the possibility of a rally. However, the situation is complicated by the fact that Fetch.ai (FET) formed a market top this week.

The price of Fetch.ai (FET) has risen by almost 18% in the last three days, breaking through the key resistance at $2.50. This breakout was expected following a period of consolidation, and it could lead to a further rally in the coming days.

However, some investors may be disappointed by the expected continuation of Fetch.ai's (FET) growth. The popular AI token might face selling pressure after reaching a market top.

Fetch.ai (FET) could see a bearish trend despite the recent breakout

A breakout from consolidation and a key resistance level usually indicates the potential for a bullish rally. But in this case, the situation is complicated by the fact that Fetch.ai (FET) formed a market top this week.

A market top is the highest point in an asset's price before a significant decline, indicating the peak of bullish activity. This is typically followed by a correction as the market cools and investors begin to sell their holdings. In the case of FET, a market top is signaled when the on-chain metric, share of coins in profit, crosses the 95% threshold.

Now, 95.3% of the circulating supply of FET tokens are in the money. This indicates that a majority of investors are sitting on paper profits, which could lead to selling pressure if the price fails to continue rising rapidly.

Another indicator that could be pointing to a potential sell-off is the divergence between the price and the daily active addresses transacting on its network (DAA). Divergence occurs when the price of a cryptocurrency and its DAA move in opposite directions.

This divergence could indicate a potential mismatch between the market valuation and the network usage of a cryptocurrency. Typically, when the price is rising and network participation is decreasing, this could be a signal to sell. In the case of FET, this condition is also met, which could lead to traders selling to take profits.

FET Forecast: Bearish scenario

The price of Fetch.ai broke through the resistance at $2.50 and reached $2.58, showing almost 18% growth in three days. This allowed the altcoin to exit a month-long consolidation, but FET may soon return to it.

This is due to the above-mentioned factors, which indicate a bearish scenario for the price. Accordingly, Fetch.ai could lose support at $2.50 and fall to $2.26 or lower. On the other hand, a bounce from the $2.50 support could lead to sideways movement while the market cools. Such dynamics can support the price while demand remains high, refuting the pessimistic forecast.