Ethereum (ETH) Has Staged a Strong Comeback This Month

Ethereum (ETH) has staged a strong comeback this month, helped by the ongoing risk-on sentiment in the crypto market.

After 45% gains in May alone, সম্পূর্ণরূপে উদ্ধরণ, still has 3% to go to reach $3,000, a key psychological level.

What’s Adding to Ethereum Price Today

At the time of writing, ETH trades at $2,900 after dropping 4.36% from the daily high. A potential catalyst that may propel ETH to $3,000 and above is accumulation from smart money investors, as spotted by Nansen.

The crypto analytics platform tracks 1,922 smart money investors, up from last month’s low of 1,670. It is the highest figure it has been since February this year. They now hold 123,615 ETH coins, up from last month’s low of 86,709.

These investors are usually more experienced than retail traders, and their actions, such as accumulation or distribution, tend to impact the underlying asset. In most cases, they are quick to spot potential reversals, as they did in April when the price of Ethereum crashed to $1,380.

As the chart above shows, they started buying on April 9 and continued doing so before it went parabolic last week.

CoinGlass data shows that exchange balances have dropped from a peak of 15.75 million on April 25 to 15.15 million as of May 14. Historically, exchange outflows are usually a bullish factor as the tokens are not readily available to sell during times of panic. On the other hand, exchange inflows is bearish and shows investors are ready to exit their positions.

In addition to the smart money accumulation and drop in ETH held on exchanges, Ethereum staking inflows have jumped by 309K tokens, worth roughly $813 million. This massive spike in the last 30 days is a sign that investors believe in the long-term performance of Ethereum and are staking their coins to earn interest denominated in ETH.

All three factors mentioned above provide a clear bullish tailwind that hints at a bullish price prediction for Ethereum.

Ethereum Price Analysis: 2 Scenarios To Watch

With fundamentals and on-chain metrics clearly bullish, investors need to technical analysis on what to expect next for the Ethereum price. Here are two scenarios that Ethereum price can produce next – a continuation of the uptrend to $3,000 or a retracement to key support zone before heading to $4,000.

ETH Extends Gains To Revisit $3,000

The daily chart shows that the value of Ethereum (ETH) has soared, moving from a low of $1,385 in April to $2,700 today. During its ascent, ETH moved swiftly above the key resistance at $2,121, the neckline of the double-top point at $4,080. This development invalidated the view that the rebound was part of a break-and-retest pattern, a common continuation sign.

Ether is about to form a mini golden cross pattern as the spread of the 100-day and 50-day Weighted Moving Averages narrows. This suggests that the short-term momentum is clearly bullish. This move could add more fuel to the ongoing ETH price rally and potentially push it to revisit $3,000.

The Average Directional Index (ADX), which measures the strength of a trend, has surged to 36. Therefore, the most likely ETH price forecast is where the coin hits $3,000 this week.

While the above outlook presents an optimistic view, where the Ethereum price continues its upward march to reach $3,000. However, a more conservative outlook involves a retracement before ETH hits $3,000 or even $4,000.

Retracement To $2,000 Before ETH Hits $4,000

From a price action perspective, the daily chart shows Ethereum has hit the short Point of Interest (POI) at $2,653 and is about to pullback. A pullback after a nearly 50% rally is likely, as signaled by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering in the overbought zone. A closer observation of the RSI and Ethereum price reveals a clear bearish divergence.

A bearish divergence occurs when the price forms a higher high while the RSI forms a lower low. This lack of synergy signals a loss of momentum that does not sustain the bullish price action and usually precedes a correction.

Hence, traders can anticipate a retracement to the next key support zone – the weekly bullish breaker, extending from $1,872 to $2,069. Those seeking to buy the dip can do so at this level.

A bounce from this area will allow the bulls to recover the momentum and reset the RSI