The cryptocurrency market may see a local bottom in the next two months

The cryptocurrency market may see a local bottom in the next two months amid global uncertainty over ongoing import tariff negotiations

The cryptocurrency market may see a local bottom in the next two months amid global uncertainty over ongoing import tariff negotiations, which have been limiting investor sentiment in both traditional and digital markets.

US President Donald Trump is set to detail on April 2 his reciprocal import tariffs, measures aimed at reducing the country’s estimated trade deficit of $1.2 trillion in goods and boosting domestic manufacturing.

While global markets took a hit from the first tariff announcement, there is a 70% chance for cryptocurrency valuations to find their bottom by June, according to Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at the Nansen crypto intelligence platform.

The research analyst told Cointelegraph:

“Once the toughest part of the negotiation is behind us, we see a cleaner opportunity for crypto and risk assets to finally mark a bottom,” she added.

Both traditional and cryptocurrency markets continue to lack upside momentum ahead of the US tariff announcement.

BTC/USD, 1-day chart. Source: Nansen“For the main US equity indexes and for BTC, the respective price charts failed to resurface above their 200-day moving averages significantly, while lower-lookback price moving averages are falling,” wrote Nansen in an April 1 research report.

“Fragile market psychology highlights the necessity of ‘good news,’ mainly on US growth and on tariffs,” added the report.

Investors are currently in “wait and see mode” and are hesitant to take on large positions as markets lack direction.

However, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remained above the “extreme fear” mark for a third consecutive session, which suggests a marginal improvement despite continued caution, Stella Zlatareva, dispatch editor at digital asset investment platform Nexo, told Cointelegraph.

“This reinforces the view that markets are in a wait-and-see mood,” Zlatareva told Cointelegraph, adding:

The crypto market is still meandering amid a sea of uncertainty. Despite a slight improvement, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains in 'extreme fear' for the third day in a row at 24/70, suggesting a stifling level of caution among investors.

This tale of two coins plays out in an interesting way. Though traders are still awaiting an indicator for more bullish momentum,suggesting a 70% chance that cryptocurrencies could hit bottom by June.

Other traders are awaiting a Bitcoin breakout above $84,500 as a signal for more upside momentum amid the ongoing tariff uncertainty.