Cathie Wood Doubles Down on Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction, Reiterating $1.5 Million by 2030 Target

input: Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, stated again in May 2025 that Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million by 2030. She confirmed the forecast in a CNBC interview

Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, stated again in May 2025 that Bitcoin could reach $1.5 million by 2030. Her comments come after ARK’s models, which factor in Bitcoin’s fixed supply, lack of counterparty risk, and growing financial infrastructure, make a base-case projection of $700,000 for Bitcoin by the end of the decade, with a bull-case target being that $1.5 million figure.

Bitcoin Trades Above 50 EMA on 4 Hour Chart

As of 09:18 (GMT+2) on May 9, Bitcoin trades at $103,559 on the 4-hour chart from Bitstamp, according to TradingView data. The price opened the day at $102,958 and reached a high of $103,790. The cryptocurrency closed the previous candle at $103,559, showing a daily increase of 0.54%.

The chart also shows that Bitcoin remains above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which currently sits at $103,088. This level acts as short-term dynamic support. Bitcoin bounced off this EMA multiple times in recent days, showing that bulls are defending the $103,000 zone.

Looking at recent price structure, Bitcoin has maintained an upward trend since April 18, forming higher lows and higher highs. A significant rally began in late April, with a steep price jump around April 23, pushing the price above $95,000. The trend continued with moderate corrections and another strong leg up in early May.

After touching a local peak above $106,000, Bitcoin pulled back toward the 50 EMA but did not break below it. Trading volume shows slight increases during upward movements, suggesting demand remains steady. At present, price action remains above key support levels, with traders watching for either consolidation or a continuation of the upward move.

This price behavior coincides with growing ETF inflows and institutional access, creating additional momentum for Bitcoin’s movement in regulated environments.

Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surpass $10 Billion in Q1

Following the ETF approvals in January 2024, institutional interest began rising. Daily trading volume on major ETFs, including BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB), now exceeds $2 billion. According to ARK Invest’s April 2025 update, total inflows into Bitcoin ETFs surpassed $10 billion during Q1 2025.

In the same interview, Wood stated that only a small portion of global institutional portfolios includes Bitcoin. ARK’s models project that if institutions allocate 2.5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin, the price could exceed $1 million by the end of the decade.

Bitcoin’s Fixed Supply Contrasts Growing Fed Balance Sheet

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s maximum supply remains fixed at 21 million coins. As of May 2025, miners have released around 19.7 million coins into circulation, based on the data. ARK links Bitcoin’s valuation to its capped supply and the current global debt environment.

During the same period, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s balance sheet reached $8.5 trillion, compared to $4.2 trillion in 2019, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED). In contrast, Bitcoin’s supply growth slowed after the April 2024 halving, which reduced the miner reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block.

ARK Keeps Bitcoin Exposure Across Funds

At the portfolio level, ARK Invest continues to maintain Bitcoin exposure. Its ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) manages over $2.2 billion in assets as of May 15, 2025. ARK also holds exposure through the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW), which includes both direct Bitcoin allocations and shares in Coinbase.

ARK’s latest filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) confirm these holdings. The firm has made no public statement indicating any plan to reduce its exposure.

Coinbase Sees Huge Q1 Institutional Inflow; Mainstream BTC Access Widens

In parallel, Coinbase reported a sharp increase in assets under custody during the first quarter of 2025. According to the company’s Q1 2025 Shareholder Letter, institutional clients added $25 billion in new deposits, raising total average assets under custody to $212 billion. This growth was driven by inflows from spot Bitcoin ETF issuers, corporate treasuries, and high-net-worth individuals.

Although Coinbase did not publish a specific number of active users for the quarter, its previous filings suggest