Will Cardano Price Crash if Bitcoin Integration Fails to Gain Traction?

ADA price has dropped by over 42% from its highest point in November last year, in a trend that mimics other altcoins.

ADA, the native cryptocurrency of Cardano, has dropped by over 42% from its highest point in November last year, in a trend that mimics other altcoins. Cardano is trading at $0.759 at press time, with its market cap being at $26 billion.

While Cardano price has crashed, there are signs that some investors believe it will bounce back soon. As shown below, Cardano whales have continued to accumulate the token. This accumulation is more pronounced among holders of between 10 million and 100 million coins, who now hold almost 13 billion coins.

One reason why investors are buying Cardano is the partnership with BitcoinOS, which was announced in October last year. This deal will introduce a trustless Bitcoin bridging using zero-knowledge technology. It will also let Cardano act as the DeFi layer for Bitcoin.

Most importantly, the technology will allow Bitcoin staking without using intermediaries. In the announcement, Cardano said that the deal will unlock $1.3 billion in liquidity to the network. This figure has now grown to over $2 billion because of the ongoing Bitcoin surge.

Recently, Cardano and BitcoinOS demonstrated that the technology is promising. BitcoinOS managed to transfer 1 BTC to Cardano as xBTC using cryptographic proofs. The whole transaction took just a few seconds to conclude.

Cardano and its proponents hope that the successful integration of Bitcoin in Cardano will dramatically boost its DeFi TVL from $400 million to billions.

However, the risk is that the technology may not have the desired outcome. One reason why this technology may not work is that Bitcoin staking one of the goals of this technology already exists. Some of the top players in Bitcoin staking are Babylon Protocol, Lombard Finance, and Solv Protocol. These DeFi platforms use different approaches to generate returns, with Babylon allowing users to earn while still holding their coins.

On top of these, there are chains like Stacks and Core, which have $214 million and $778 million in assets. These chains help developers to build applications powered by Bitcoin and have staking features.

Therefore, while Cardano’s integration with Bitcoin may become successful, there is a risk that the TVL may be smaller than expected. This risk exists because there already exists technology that lets users stake Bitcoin and use it in their transactions.

One thing about Cardano is that it has done well over the years even though it is a ghost chain. For example, its DeFi TVL is just $400 million, while the stablecoins in the network are just $30 million. These are small numbers since Cardano has a market cap of over $26 billion.

For example, Arbitrum has a TV L of over $3.2 billion and a fully diluted valuation of over $4 billion. The same is true with other cryptocurrencies like Sonic, Sui, and Aptos.

Still, this is not to say that the ADA price is about to crash. The weekly chart shows that the Cardano token has formed a bullish flag pattern on the weekly chart, a popular continuation sign.

Therefore, there is a likelihood that the coin will bounce back, and possibly reach a high of $2, 167% from the current level.