Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction If ADA Matches Its 2021 Bull Run Performance

The Cardano price had its moments in this bull run, but let's be realistic—the price is still far away from its all-time high of around $3.10 in 2021.

The Cardano price (ADA) has certainly had its moments in this bull market, but let’s be real—the coin is still a far cry from the all-time highs of nearly $3.10 that we saw in 2021.

Now, what would happen if Cardano managed to closely follow the same trajectory as it did during those times? Let’s take a look.

A Quick Look at Where ADA Stands Now

As of today, Cardano (ADA) is trading at around $0.685. It had a strong move back in late 2024, where it quickly went over $1.30 after November's lows. However, just like many other altcoins, Cardano struggled to maintain those gains at that level.

Since then, it has been on a downtrend, pulling back and struggling to stay above major resistance levels. The 200-day moving average is currently sitting at around $0.778, and the ADA price is now trading below it.

Generally, that’s seen as a bearish signal, and the price also seems to be getting rejected every time it tries to climb toward it. Right now, the chart looks like ADA is stuck in a range between $0.65 and $0.75.

The recent highs are lower than the previous ones, which isn’t a great sign for momentum. The RSI is sitting just under 47, which is neutral. Not oversold, not overbought—just sort of in the middle.

What If ADA Repeats the 2021 Move?

Back in the 2021 bull market, ADA went from under $0.20 to over $3 in just a few short months. That’s a 15x gain.

If by some miracle, ADA managed to repeat that same kind of run in this cycle, we’d be looking at a price of:

$0.685 x 15 = $10.27

Of course, that’s a very optimistic scenario. Hitting $10 would require massive amounts of capital flowing into crypto, renewed hype for Cardano, and likely a full-on altcoin mania phase.

However, is it really impossible in crypto? This market moves incredibly fast, and sentiment can change quickly. We’ve seen crazier things happen in crypto markets than a coin gaining 15x in a year.

A more realistic “bullish but grounded” target could be a retest of the previous all-time high around $3.00. That’s still more than a 4x from where we are today, which is pretty noteworthy.

So, What’s Next for ADA in 2025?

If ADA can manage to break back above the 200-day moving average and stay above it, the next target would likely be around $0.85 to $1.00. That would confirm that the bulls are still in control after breaking the key resistance.

On the downside, if it breaks below $0.65 and continues to decline, we might see another drop toward $0.55 or even $0.50. But overall, the price structure seems to be forming a bottom.

If Bitcoin continues to hold strong or push higher, the Cardano price might slowly grind up too. And if the market gets hot again, ADA could make another run toward $1.50-$2.00 in the second half of the year.

And if the 2021-style hype ever returns? Then yeah, maybe we can dream of that $3 or even higher again. But until then, it’s best to keep expectations in check and observe how the market unfolds.