Bitcoin Surges to All-Time Highs as Market Sentiment Turns Bullish, While Fractals Remain Lower

The current chart pattern and the on-chain data suggest, the BTC price is due for a massive price action

Bitcoin (BTC) price rallied to the highest level in 2024 on ‘Bitcoin Pizza Day’, which turned out to be a memorable one. The current chart pattern and the on-chain data suggest the BTC price is due for a massive price action.

The cryptocurrency behemoth barged into a new all-time high (ATH) of $111,861. However, the price faced a lowered bearish action, suggesting the investors have become highly optimistic over the upcoming price action. Moreover, some of the fractals suggest the BTC bull run has just begun, and hence, the price is believed to maintain a healthy ascending trend and remain consolidated in the discovery phase.

The current BTC price rise was backed by an over 75% rise in the trading volume in the past 24 hours, which signals towards a major price action approaching quickly. The technicals that were supposed to be overheated are also quite cool, which is another factor that indicates a massive move in the BTC price.

The Payoff Ratio is used to measure the relative strength of buyers and sellers. The lower the Payoff Ratio, the stronger the sellers; and the higher the Payoff Ratio, the stronger the buyers. Despite the strong selling pressure that pushed the BTC price down from $120,000 to $90,000, the Payoff Ratio never fell below 0.4. This shows that the selling strength was limited even during the correction phase. Moreover, the Payoff Ratio quickly recovered to 0.8 after the price stabilized above $100,000, which signals an increment in the buying strength.

The Funding Rate is an indicator of market overheating. When traders place perpetual contracts, they pay or receive an interest on their positions, which depends on the Funding Rate and the size of their positions. A positive Funding Rate indicates that traders are bullish and willing to pay to keep their positions open, while a negative Funding Rate signals that traders are bearish and prefer to receive interest to maintain their positions.

The long bets are increasing but have not yet reached the peaks they hit during the previous rallies, which indicates the future market overheating is quite negligible. Moreover, the short-term capital inflow can be calculated by considering the portion of BTC traded within 1 week to 1 month. This also determines the market overheating, as it displays the active supply that was last moved between 1 week and 1 month.

Although the BTC price hit a new high, the short-term capital inflow is not as rapid as during the past peaks. A large portion of the BTC was traded in the past 1 week to 1 month, which indicates the short-term holders are actively participating in the market.

After the price surges, the short-term holders tend to take profit, which has been seen in almost all of the price rises. In March 2024, the profit-taking was significant, which led to a prolonged correction. Now that the price has reached a new high again, the profit-taking is much lower than in November 2024, which indicates the whales’ and the retailers’ profit-taking is limited, as they might be waiting for a massive price action.

On the other hand, the Bitcoin holdings in spot ETFs have also reached an all-time high. The increased holdings by both retail and institutional investors significantly support the overall market uptrend. This suggests the Bitcoin market is still in a healthy upward phase and hence possesses huge potential to maintain a steep ascending trend to mark fresh highs in the coming days.