Bitcoin's dwindling supply, strong holder conviction, and potential institutional FOMO: Is this the perfect recipe for a historic Bitcoin squeeze?

Bitcoin Supply Squeeze: Holders HODL'ing, Will $1 Million BTC Be Next?

Bitcoin's supply dynamics are getting tighter than a New York minute. With long-term holders increasing and institutions eyeing a piece of the pie, a major supply squeeze could be brewing. Buckle up, because we're diving into whether this could send Bitcoin's price soaring to a cool $1 million.

The HODLers Are Winning

The latest buzz is all about Bitcoin's "ancient" supply – coins held for 10 years or more. Get this: the number of these old-school Bitcoins is growing faster than new ones are being mined. We're talking about 550 BTC entering the ancient supply category daily, while only 450 new BTC are issued. That's some serious HODL power right there!

Currently, over 17% of all Bitcoin is considered illiquid, locked away in the digital vaults of long-term believers. Projections suggest this could jump to 30% by 2026. These folks aren't just holding; they're practically gluing their Bitcoin to their wallets.

Institutions Want In

It's not just the OGs holding tight. Institutional investors are starting to pile in. Bitwise expects Bitcoin inflows to reach a staggering $120 billion by 2025 and $300 billion by 2026. Where is this money coming from? Potentially nation-states reallocating a sliver of their gold reserves, US states getting on board, wealth management platforms dipping their toes, and public companies upping their holdings.

All this institutional accumulation, combined with the ever-growing ancient supply, paints a picture of serious scarcity. A significant chunk of Bitcoin's supply is becoming harder to get your hands on, potentially amplifying those sky-high price targets analysts keep throwing around.

$1 Million Bitcoin: Is It Just a Pipe Dream?

Okay, let's address the elephant in the room: Can Bitcoin really hit $1 million? That would require a market cap of $21 trillion, a tenfold increase from where we are now. It sounds crazy, but the fixed supply and increasing illiquidity could be the fuel for this rocket.

History shows that after previous halving events (2013, 2017, 2021), Bitcoin went on massive rallies, driven by reduced supply growth and increased demand. If that pattern holds, we could be in for another wild ride.

Of course, there are always bumps in the road. Even long-term holders can get spooked and sell during times of volatility. But with sidelined demand from institutions like Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs potentially unleashing billions, the upside potential remains massive.

My Two Satoshis

Here's my take: While a million-dollar Bitcoin sounds like something out of a sci-fi movie, the current trends are undeniably bullish. The combination of die-hard HODLers, institutional interest, and a shrinking supply could create a perfect storm for a major price surge. Will it happen overnight? Nah. But is it a realistic long-term target? Absolutely.

So, What's Next?

Keep an eye on those ancient supply numbers and institutional inflows. If those trends continue, get ready for a wild ride. And who knows, maybe one day we'll all be sipping champagne on our yachts, courtesy of our million-dollar Bitcoins. Until then, HODL on and enjoy the show!