Bitcoin (BTC) Opens the Trading Week Flat Above $94,000 as Market Awaits News From Beijing

Bitcoin (BTC) opened the trading week flat above $94,000 as

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovered above $94,000 on Monday, flat in the 24 hours to 3:00 p.m. ET as traders awaited news from Beijing on the progress of a trade deal with the U.S.

The digital asset markets saw mixed activity in the period, with the CoinDesk 20 (CD20), a measure of the performance of major digital assets, down 1.5%, trading below 2,700.

"XRP and Bitcoin bounced back from the tariff shocks in April, but have yet to make a significant movement upwards," Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research, told CoinDesk via Telegram. "Investors may be overly cautious about risk assets such as crypto due to the current US macroeconomic climate, despite Bitcoin's trend breaking away from its correlation with US equities."

Major markets in Asia were closed on Monday, with Hong Kong, mainland China, Japan, and Korea shutting for a holiday, leading to thin liquidity and trading volumes.

A potential thaw in U.S.–China trade relations dominated macro headlines. Over the weekend, China’s Commerce Ministry said it was reviewing a U.S. proposal to resume negotiations, while President Trump hinted Beijing “wanted to do a deal.”

"We remain optimistic that crypto prices will surge to new highs in the long term as institutional adoption continues to deepen with Real World Asset (RWA) launches and integrations with crypto-native platforms," Ruck added.

Polymarket bettors are skeptical, however, with prediction markets giving a 21% chance that a trade deal will be reached by June, and a 47% chance the White House will lower tariffs by the end of May.

But with the potential trade deal in mind, markets took notice. The Chinese yuan strengthened to a six-month high near ¥7.19, while regional currencies rallied.

The standout mover was the New Taiwan Dollar (NTD), which surged to a two-year high around NT$29.6 per U.S. dollar as last week ended.

The spike was driven by $1.4 billion (NT$42.9 billion) in foreign equity inflows and surging confidence in Taiwan’s tech sector after TSMC reported a 60% jump in quarterly profits. Taiwan’s central bank intervened to curb volatility but denied political pressure, calling the move market-driven.

BTC range bound?

Further compounding BTC's relative stagnation is that it's encountering significant resistance as it tests key technical and on-chain levels, according to a recent report by Glassnode.

Bitcoin is struggling to break through the $93,000–$95,000 range, an area aligned with both the short-term holder cost basis and the 111-day moving average, marking a crucial battleground for market momentum, the report argues.

"These levels represent a critical inflection point that must be upheld. Failure to stabilize above these levels would push the price back into the consolidation range, and return many investors to a state of meaningful unrealized loss," the report reads.

However, above $100,000, there is less sell-side pressure due to a smaller volume of coins in that range. If bitcoin can overcome the resistance around $95,000-$98,000 it could enter a relatively clear path toward new price discovery and possibly a new all-time high, the report added.