Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis

Bitcoin is trading at $104,589 with a 24-hour trading volume of $42.32 billion, a market capitalization of $2.07 trillion, and an intraday price range of

Bitcoin (BTC) price showed signs of consolidation on Monday, following a strong rally that saw the world’s largest cryptocurrency hit new all-time highs above $109,000 last week. BTC price is now trading around $104,589, up 2.3% over the past 24 hours and facing resistance at key levels.

Bitcoin price consolidates after a strong rally

Bitcoin price is trading within a narrow range on Monday, following a massive rally that saw BTC price reach new all-time highs above $109,000 last week. On Monday, BTC price is up around 2.3% over the past 24 hours, trading at $104,589, according to data from cryptocurrency exchange Kraken.

Bitcoin price 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

On the 1-hour chart, BTC price showed some strong support at $104,000-$104,133, which could present opportunities for intraday traders. After being rejected at $107,149, bitcoin price showed fading momentum as it fluctuated between $104,000 and $106,000. As the price consolidates, traders should also note the lack of volume, which could indicate indecision or a pause ahead of a potential catalyst.

After a failed attempt to rally past $107,000, BTC price showed range-bound activity on the 4-hour chart, fluctuating between $104,000 and $109,000 with declining momentum on pullbacks. This activity could present short-term buying opportunities at $104,000, while resistance at $107,000 and $109,000 may trigger selling unless there is a breakout above $110,000. Notably, the volume also highlights a lack of strength in the retracement phase, and traders should approach resistance zones cautiously, employing strict stop-loss strategies to mitigate risks.

Bitcoin price 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Moreover, the daily chart depicts bitcoin’s broader uptrend, which began with a rally from $89,164 to $109,356, followed by consolidation. Throughout the move, we can see how crucial support lies in the $98,000-$100,000 range, while resistance is clustered between $109,000 and $110,000. Notably, volume has tapered off, indicating weakening momentum in the rally from the lower support at $98,000, but the larger trend remains intact. Swing traders may consider entering near support levels, targeting resistance areas for profit-taking, while using stop-losses below $98,000 to manage risk.

Oscillators reflect mixed sentiment

A glance at the oscillators reveals a neutral picture, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 60 and the Stochastic at 76, both indicating neutral sentiment. However, the momentum oscillator is signaling a sell at 4,023, while the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is indicating a buy at 2,169, aligning with the strong buy signals from exponential moving averages (EMA) and simple moving averages (SMA) across all timeframes. Notably, BTC price is trading significantly above its 10-period to 200-period moving averages, emphasizing bullish momentum in the broader trend.

Bitcoin price daily chart, oscillators. Source: TradingView

Bull Verdict: Bitcoin price has been rallying within a bullish channel, presenting opportunities for traders to identify entries and exits based on support and resistance levels. The recent uptrend from $89,164 to $109,356 has shown strength, supported by bullish signals from exponential moving averages (EMA) and simple moving averages (SMA). Furthermore, a decisive breakout above $109,000 with strong volume could propel bitcoin toward $115,000, reinforcing a bullish outlook.

Bear Verdict: Despite the bullish trend, there are factors to consider. The lack of volume during the consolidation phase, coupled with neutral oscillator readings and fading momentum, raises concerns about the sustainability of bitcoin’s rally. If support at $104,000 breaks, the price could retest $100,000 or lower, potentially marking the start of a broader corrective phase. Moreover, traders should remain cautious if resistance at $107,000 and $109,000 continues to hold.