Bitcoin [BTC] Loses Correlation with Gold, but There's More to This Story

Bitcoin [BTC] has continued to consolidate above the $100,000 mark, moving within a range-bound level on the chart.

Bitcoin [BTC] has continued to consolidate above the $100,000 mark, moving within a range-bound level on the chart. This consolidation, following a notable price breakout, implies that buying activity has remained on the high side.

However, there has been a shift in the crypto market, which could affect the asset’s liquidity and correlation with other assets.

Now, reports from Glassnode suggest that Bitcoin has lost its correlation with Gold, based on the 30-day chart. The analysis shows that the correlation between both assets now stands at negative 0.54, marking its lowest level since February 2025.

A close look at the chart shows that the last time this occurred, there was a significant liquidity outflow from Bitcoin, while Gold saw a notable inflow.

Between November and December, when the 30-day correlation dropped to this level, Bitcoin surged while Gold declined.

Given these contrasting market movements, AMBCrypto examined additional factors to assess Bitcoin’s potential trajectory.

What does liquidity flow tell us?

Two key metrics were used to determine the liquidity flow in the market: Exchange Reserve and Exchange Netflow.

The Exchange Reserve simply calculates the amount of the asset available on exchanges. A drop in this metric implies there are fewer Bitcoin on exchanges, increasing the tendency for holding and reducing immediate selling pressure.

At the time of writing, the Exchange Reserve has dropped to a new all-time low of approximately 2.43 million Bitcoin.

Not only has the Bitcoin reserve continued to drop, but the amount of Bitcoin being bought has also been on the rise. This is confirmed by the Exchange Netflow, which measures the difference between buying and selling activity for Bitcoin in the market. When the netflow is red, it means more Bitcoin has been bought than sold. When it’s green, it implies there is more selling than buying.

Observing the chart closely, more red has appeared, confirming strong purchase sentiment.

If this buying trend continues, alongside a drop in reserves and a more negative netflow, it could significantly support further upward movement.

What does cooling whale activity mean?

Whale activity on exchanges has continued to drop, particularly in the past 24 hours, plunging to a new low. This could suggest several things. However, based on current market activity, it’s likely that whales are preparing for long-term holding.

This forecast aligns with the decline in exchange reserves, suggesting that whales who previously accumulated large amounts of Bitcoin have yet to move their holdings.

If this holding trend persists, it could strengthen BTC’s potential for an upward breakout, possibly surpassing its current consolidation phase.