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Cryptocurrency News Articles

Bitcoin (BTC) and Crypto Prices Continue to Dip Despite Positive Economic Indicators: Here’s Why

Jun 15, 2024 at 06:00 pm

The cryptocurrency market has been experiencing a prolonged bearish trend, with major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Litecoin continuing to drop in value.

Bitcoin (BTC) and Crypto Prices Continue to Dip Despite Positive Economic Indicators: Here’s Why

Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader cryptocurrency market continued their sell-off on Friday, extending losses from the previous session.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency fell below the key support level of $20,000 earlier this week and dropped as low as $19,300 on Thursday. At the time of writing, BTC trades around $19,400, down 3.5% over the past 24 hours and 12% over the past seven days.

Bitcoin Price Chart - BTC/USD 4 Hour Time Frame (Binance)

Cryptocurrency markets have been experiencing a prolonged bearish trend in recent weeks, with major altcoins such as Ethereum, Solana, and Litecoin also posting significant losses. This negative sentiment persists despite several positive economic indicators that would typically favor risky assets.

Earlier this week saw the release of several important macroeconomic data points that paint a complex picture of the current economic landscape.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) Data

Wednesday’s CPI data came in lower than expected, which is generally favorable for risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. The regular CPI was reported at 3.3% (vs. 3.4% expected), while Core CPI Regular came in at 3.4% (vs. 3.5% expected). Monthly data was also positive, with figures coming in below expectations.

The #Crypto markets continue to drop, why?

This week was filled with macroeconomic data, which all turned out to be bad. However, the Dollar continued its strength the previous week, while Gold was strong too.

Bitcoin’s price action was terrible, through which altcoins have… Producer Price Index (PPI) Data

Thursday’s PPI data, which reflects inflation from the producer’s perspective, also showed positive signs. The regular PPI came in at 2.2% (vs. 2.5% expected), while Core PPI Y/Y was 2.3% (vs. 2.4% expected). Monthly data was particularly encouraging, with negative or zero growth reported against positive expectations.

Consumer Sentiment

Friday’s consumer sentiment data came in lower than expected at 65.6 (vs. 72.1 expected). While this indicates economic weakness, it paradoxically can be seen as a positive signal for risk-on assets, as it may increase the likelihood of interest rate cuts.

FOMC and Jerome Powell’s Hawkish Stance

Despite the encouraging inflation data, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered an unexpectedly hawkish speech on Wednesday evening. Powell maintained a strict stance on monetary policy and revised downward the number of potential rate cuts for 2024. This hawkish tone contrasts with the market’s increasing expectation of necessary rate cuts, especially in light of growing U.S. government debt and signs of potential recession.

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The Impact of Positive Economic Indicators on Cryptocurrency Markets

Typically, positive economic indicators such as lower-than-expected inflation data and strong consumer spending would be expected to drive up the prices of risky assets like cryptocurrencies. However, the current market sell-off seems to be defying this logic.

According to Michaël van de Poppe, a prominent crypto analyst and trader, several factors may be contributing to this puzzling market behavior. One key factor is the continued uncertainty surrounding the listing of an Ethereum ETF.

“The markets are continuing to sell off, which is interesting to see considering the macroeconomic data that came in bullish for the markets,” van de Poppe said in a recent YouTube video analysis.

“We saw the CPI numbers come in lower than expected, also the PPI numbers, and even the consumer sentiment, which was lower than expected. Usually, this would be bullish for the markets, but we see a different kind of market structure.”

Crypto Analyst Michaël van de Poppe (screenshot)

He continued, “One of the things that is still missing is the decision on the listing of an Ethereum ETF. We had the spot Bitcoin ETF, which didn’t really do much for the markets. Now, people are eagerly awaiting the listing of an Ethereum ETF.”

“This is also setting up a scenario where we might get a ‘Sell the Rumor, Buy the News' event for the entire crypto market, which could be interesting to see play out.”

Despite the current bearish trend, van de Poppe sees potential for a market turnaround in the near future. He anticipates one more week of downward pressure before an upward movement begins. The analyst points to the inevitability of rate cuts on the horizon, even as uncertainties surrounding their timing continue to influence market behavior.

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