Home > Today’s Crypto News
bitcoin
bitcoin

$108666.101237 USD

0.49%

ethereum
ethereum

$4347.968522 USD

0.77%

tether
tether

$1.000168 USD

0.02%

xrp
xrp

$2.803957 USD

0.01%

bnb
bnb

$857.733203 USD

0.34%

solana
solana

$200.950393 USD

-0.38%

usd-coin
usd-coin

$0.999945 USD

0.01%

dogecoin
dogecoin

$0.214830 USD

2.15%

tron
tron

$0.338022 USD

0.63%

cardano
cardano

$0.816559 USD

0.34%

chainlink
chainlink

$23.370293 USD

0.73%

hyperliquid
hyperliquid

$44.163430 USD

0.17%

ethena-usde
ethena-usde

$1.000528 USD

0.01%

sui
sui

$3.281138 USD

1.95%

stellar
stellar

$0.356334 USD

-0.10%

Gray Swan Event

What Is a Gray Swan Event?

A gray swan event is a predictable event with a low likelihood of occurring. Its defining characteristics are:

  • It can be predicted.

  • It carries a huge impact with a domino effect.

  • After it occurs, explanations are created that recognize its predicted probability, but the focus is shifted to human error in judgment.

A good example of a gray swan event is the coronavirus pandemic. While the chances of such an event occurring remain low, they are never zero.
A gray swan event in the crypto world is the hacking of a centralized exchange (CEX). These exchanges invest a lot of time and resources into security. However, nothing is 100% secure which leaves a margin for hacks.

How to Prepare for a Gray Swan Event?

It is important to balance protecting oneself against a gray swan event while managing other risks. However, ignoring it can lead to huge losses. An investor should build resilience in all investment decisions. To do this, they should treat resilience as a continuous effort rather than a one-off exercise.
One way to build resilience is to take loss-mitigation measures in your investment choices. It would help if you had contingencies in place to ensure that you know how to manage the crisis when gray swans occur. 

For individuals and organizations, it could mean creating a response plan that is the go-to for a specific crisis. In other cases, it could mean holding simulations to build muscle memory so that you know how to respond.