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How to understand gas wars and set priority fees? (Minting strategy)

Gas wars during NFT mints stem from bot-driven priority fee bidding on EIP-1559 chains—success hinges on real-time 95th-percentile fee calibration, not just high gas.

Jan 29, 2026 at 11:00 am

Understanding Gas Wars in the Context of NFT Minting

1. Gas wars occur when multiple users compete to have their transactions confirmed first on Ethereum or EVM-compatible chains, especially during high-demand NFT mints.

2. Each transaction requires computational resources measured in gas units, and miners or validators prioritize transactions offering higher gas prices.

3. During a popular mint launch, bots flood the network with transactions carrying inflated gas fees, pushing legitimate users’ transactions out of the next block.

4. The visibility of pending transactions on explorers like Etherscan intensifies psychological pressure, prompting users to raise bids reflexively without strategic calibration.

5. Network congestion alone does not cause gas wars — coordinated behavior by automated tools exploiting predictable mint timing and contract patterns is the primary catalyst.

The Mechanics of Priority Fees on EIP-1559 Chains

1. After EIP-1559, each transaction includes a base fee — dynamically adjusted per block — and a priority fee paid directly to validators.

2. The priority fee is the critical lever users control to influence inclusion speed when the base fee is fixed by protocol logic.

3. Validators sort pending transactions by effective gas price: base fee + priority fee, meaning even small increments in priority fee can shift ranking significantly.

4. Wallets like MetaMask display suggested priority fees based on recent block data, but those suggestions often lag behind real-time bot activity during mints.

5. Manual override of priority fee settings is essential; default auto-suggestions frequently underprice inclusion during competitive windows.

Real-Time Fee Calibration Tactics

1. Monitor mempool depth and fee distribution using tools such as EthGasStation, Blocknative Dashboard, or Tenderly’s simulation API before mint start.

2. Set your priority fee at or above the 95th percentile of current pending transactions — not the median — to reliably land in the top tier of inclusion candidates.

3. Avoid flat Gwei values; instead, use dynamic estimation tied to block number — for example, increasing priority fee by 0.5 Gwei every 5 seconds if mint hasn’t cleared.

4. Pre-sign transactions with incrementally rising priority fees and broadcast them in sequence using relayers or custom scripts to maintain presence across multiple blocks.

5. Never reuse nonce values across attempts; misaligned nonces cause transaction rejection and wasted gas regardless of fee level.

Wallet and Infrastructure Considerations

1. Hardware wallets introduce signing latency that disqualifies users from sub-second opportunities; software wallets with pre-approved transaction templates gain measurable advantage.

2. RPC endpoint reliability matters — public endpoints like Infura often throttle or delay responses under load; dedicated nodes or services like Alchemy with low-latency routing improve propagation speed.

3. Pre-approving token allowances off-cycle avoids an extra transaction step during mint, reducing total required confirmations and associated fee exposure.

4. Using burner addresses with minimal prior transaction history helps avoid nonce-related queueing issues observed with heavily used accounts.

5. Transaction simulation via Flashbots Protect or similar private mempool relays reduces front-running risk but does not eliminate gas competition for inclusion timing.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Can I set a priority fee too high?A: Yes. Excessively high priority fees do not accelerate confirmation beyond validator incentives — they only increase cost without benefit once inclusion is guaranteed.

Q: Do Layer 2 networks eliminate gas wars?A: Not entirely. While base fees are lower and more stable, priority mechanisms persist on Arbitrum and Optimism; competitive mints still trigger bidding dynamics among users and bots.

Q: Is it safe to use third-party minting scripts?A: Only if fully audited and run locally. Remote scripts may log private keys or inject malicious parameters, especially those requiring seed phrase input.

Q: Why do some transactions succeed with low priority fees while others fail with higher ones?A: Nonce ordering, validator client preferences, and local mempool propagation variance create inconsistent inclusion outcomes — no fee guarantees block placement, only probabilistic advantage.

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