专家分析显示 XRP/BTC 预计将暴跌至零

Peter Brandt 的经典图表分析表明，XRP 与比特币 (XRP/BTC) 的汇率可能会降至零。 XRP/BTC 图表显示了一个令人不安的轨迹，关键支撑位持续受到测试，自 2018 年以来总体呈下降趋势。近期的波动和当前对 0.000007 BTC 左右历史支撑位的测试表明前景看跌。

Technical Analysis Predicts XRP/BTC Exchange Rate Could Plummet to Zero

技术分析预测 XRP/BTC 汇率可能暴跌至零

Peter Brandt, a highly respected expert in the application of classical charting techniques to financial markets, has issued a sobering analysis suggesting that the XRP/Bitcoin (XRP/BTC) exchange rate may face a dire future, potentially plummeting to zero.

Peter Brandt 是一位在金融市场应用经典图表技术方面备受尊敬的专家，他发表了一份发人深省的分析，表明 XRP/比特币 (XRP/BTC) 汇率可能面临可怕的未来，有可能暴跌至零。

Brandt's analysis employs traditional charting methods inspired by the work of legendary pioneers such as Schabacker, Edwards, and Magee. Based on these techniques, he asserts, "From a pure classical charting point of view (that is, Schabacker, Edwards, Magee) this chart looks like it is headed toward Zero. XRPBTC"

布兰特的分析采用了传统的图表方法，其灵感来自沙巴克、爱德华兹和马吉等传奇先驱的工作。基于这些技术，他断言，“从纯粹的经典图表角度（即 Schabacker、Edwards、Magee）来看，这张图表看起来正在走向零。XRPBTC”

Technical Indicators Signal a Troubling Trajectory for XRP vs. BTC

技术指标表明 XRP 与 BTC 的走势令人不安

The weekly chart used by Brandt depicts a concerning trajectory for XRP when priced in Bitcoin, with critical support levels consistently being tested over time. The chart reveals a series of peaks and troughs, with notable highs in 2017 followed by a sharp decline since 2018.

Brandt 使用的周线图描绘了以比特币定价时 XRP 的令人担忧的轨迹，随着时间的推移，关键支撑位不断受到测试。该图表显示了一系列波峰和波谷，其中 2017 年出现显着高点，随后自 2018 年以来急剧下降。

In recent times, the XRP/BTC ratio has clung precariously to a crucial support line, as indicated by the dashed horizontal line on the chart. Notably, the chart demonstrates significant volatility in the XRP/BTC ratio over the years, reaching highs of 0.00025 BTC in 2017 but subsequently embarking on a persistent downtrend, particularly evident after September 2018.

最近一段时间，XRP/BTC 比率一直不稳定地紧贴关键支撑线，如图中水平虚线所示。值得注意的是，该图表显示了 XRP/BTC 比率多年来的大幅波动，在 2017 年达到 0.00025 BTC 的高点，但随后开始持续下降，特别是在 2018 年 9 月之后。

"XRPPBTC has lost 70% of its value since the Nov 2017 post," Brandt observes.

“自 2017 年 11 月发布以来，XRPPBTC 的价值已经缩水了 70%，”Brandt 观察到。

A critical historical support level for XRP, as identified by Brandt, is situated around 0.000007 BTC (black line), which the market is currently testing. The continuation of the bearish trend could result in a breach of this support.

Brandt 确定，XRP 的关键历史支撑位位于 0.000007 BTC（黑线）左右，市场目前正在测试该水平。看跌趋势的持续可能会导致突破该支撑位。

Bearish Sentiment and Technical Indicators Point to Downtrend

看跌情绪和技术指标表明下行趋势

Two moving averages are also plotted on the chart. The 8-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently stands at 0.00000838 BTC, while the 18-week SMA is at 0.00000990 BTC. Both averages lie above the current price, indicating bearish momentum.

图表上还绘制了两条移动平均线。 8 周简单移动平均线 (SMA) 目前为 0.00000838 BTC，而 18 周简单移动平均线 (SMA) 为 0.00000990 BTC。两个均值均高于当前价格，表明看跌势头。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the chart, calculated over a 14-week period, stands at 28.80, nearing the oversold territory. While this may typically suggest potential for price recovery, the persistent bearish sentiment portrayed by the chart counsels caution.

图表上 14 周期间的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 28.80，接近超卖区域。虽然这通常可能表明价格有复苏的潜力，但图表描绘的持续看跌情绪提醒人们保持谨慎。

Brandt's assertion that the XRP/BTC ratio could be "headed toward Zero" stems from the continued failure of the price to rebound from key support levels and the uninterrupted downtrend without signs of reversal. His analysis paints a stark picture for the XRP/BTC ratio, underscoring the significance of technical levels in predicting future market movements.

Brandt 断言 XRP/BTC 比率可能“走向零”，原因是价格持续未能从关键支撑位反弹，并且持续下跌趋势且没有逆转迹象。他的分析描绘了 XRP/BTC 比率的鲜明图景，强调了技术水平在预测未来市场走势方面的重要性。

Brandt Reiterates Bearish Outlook for XRP

Brandt 重申 XRP 的看跌前景

In a follow-up post, Brandt reinforced his claim, stating, "It is actually fun poking a stick at XRP_aholics. My comparison is to BTC, not USD, so here is what I don’t understand. How can XRP bulls be so insistent in that XRP is near ATLs vs BTC, and, in fact, has only closed higher than present levels in 6 of the last 126 months?"

在后续帖子中，Brandt 强化了他的主张，他表示：“用棍子戳 XRP 狂人实际上很有趣。我的比较是 BTC，而不是美元，所以这就是我不明白的地方。XRP 多头怎么会如此如此？”坚持认为 XRP 与 BTC 的价格接近 ATL，而且事实上，在过去 126 个月中，只有 6 个月的收盘价高于当前水平？”

At the time of writing, XRP traded at $0.49845.

截至撰写本文时，XRP 交易价格为 0.49845 美元。