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XRP(XRP)自4月以1.61美元的价格形成本地底部以来,弹跳超过55%。
Key takeaways:
关键要点:
XRP price has risen by 55% since April and is now flashing bullish continuation signals.
自4月以来,XRP价格上涨了55%,现在正在闪烁看涨延续信号。
Onchain data shows that whale flows have flipped positive for the first time since November 2024, which historically signals trend reversals.
OnChain数据显示,自2024年11月以来,鲸鱼的流量首次呈阳性,这历史上标志着趋势逆转。
A falling wedge breakout projects 40% gains ahead, but $2.80 may act as interim resistance.
楔形突破的下降预计预计了40%的收益,但2.80美元可能是临时阻力。
Onchain metrics and technical patterns suggest that XRP (XRP) may be setting up for further price gains after a 55% rebound from April lows.
OnChain指标和技术模式表明,XRP(XRP)可能在4月份低点反弹55%后,可以进一步提高。
Specifically, new data shows that XRP’s whale wallets are continuing to reduce their holdings at a slower pace, which in the past has been linked to major price bottoms or trend reversals.
具体而言,新数据表明,XRP的鲸鱼钱包正在继续以较慢的速度减少其持有量,而过去曾与主要价格最低点或趋势逆转有关。
The world’s sixth-largest cryptocurrency is also breaking out of a multi-month falling wedge pattern, which typically signals a continuation of the previous trend.
全球第六大加密货币也正在摆脱多个月的下降楔形模式,这通常标志着先前趋势的延续。
The wedge had been compressing XRP’s price action and volume, which is a classic sign of accumulation.
楔子一直在压缩XRP的价格动作和数量,这是累积的经典迹象。
The breakout occurred in early May, setting the stage for a 40% rally to $3.45.
突破发生在5月初,将40%集会的舞台定为$ 3.45。
XRP price technicals show potential for continuation
XRP价格技术显示出继续的潜力
As shown by data resource CryptoQuant, large XRP wallets, or whales, have been persistently reducing their holdings since November 2024.
如数据资源加密,大型XRP钱包或鲸鱼所示,自2024年11月以来一直在持续降低其持有量。
The trend pushed net flows—the difference between inflows and outflows—deep into negative territory, which also coincided with a sharp correction in XRP’s price from above $3.55 to lows of $1.61 in April.
趋势推动了净流动(流入和流出之间的差异)陷入了负地区,这也与XRP的价格从3.55美元以上的价格急剧纠正至4月的低点1.61美元。
But mid-May saw the trend reversing as whale outflows slowed, turning the 90-day moving average of net flows positive.
但是五月中旬看到趋势逆转,随着鲸鱼的流出减速,净流动的90天移动平均值正阳性。
According to Kripto Mavsimi, an analyst associated with CryptoQuant, most instances where whale flows flipped to positive territory following a prolonged negative trend saw major bottoms or trend reversals.
根据与加密量相关的分析师Kripto Mavsimi的说法,大多数情况下,鲸鱼流动在长时间的负趋势之后转向正区域,这是主要的底部或趋势逆转。
For example, XRP’s rally from around $0.43 in July 2024 to highs of $3.55 in January 2025—or around 400% gains—began as whale outflows slowed and eventually flipped to net inflows.
例如,XRP的集会从2024年7月的0.43美元左右到2025年1月的高价3.55美元(或大约400%的收益),因为鲸鱼流出减速并最终转向净流入。
The analyst adds that the pace of outflows is slowing, and the bars are curling upward, which would be a healthy development if consistent with how previous whale-driven rallies have unfolded.
分析师补充说,流出的步伐正在放缓,并且酒吧正在向上卷曲,如果与以前的鲸鱼驱动的集会的展开方式一致,这将是一个健康的发展。
The scenario also ties in with XRP’s technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern on the 3-day chart, a setup typically viewed as a continuation of the previous trend.
该方案还与XRP的技术突破有关,从3天图表上的楔形图案中落下的楔形模式进行了联系,该设置通常被视为上一个趋势的延续。
The wedge, formed between December 2024 and early May, had been compressing price action and volume, which is a classic sign of accumulation.
该楔形在2024年12月至5月初之间形成,一直在压缩价格动作和数量,这是一个经典的积累迹象。
The breakout occurred around the $2.25 level, setting the stage for a rally to the Fib 1.618 target of $3.45, or 40% above current levels.
突破发生在$ 2.25的水平左右,将集会的阶段定为1.618目标$ 3.45,或比当前水平高40%。
The move is also being supported by XRP’s relative strength index (RSI) bouncing back above 57, which shows renewed buying momentum.
此举也得到了XRP的相对强度指数(RSI)的支持,以57以上反弹,这表明购买势头更新。
However, analyst Mags notes that key resistance near $2.80 may cap XRP’s upside in the near term.
但是,分析师MAGS指出,在短期内,关键阻力接近2.80美元。
Instead, the cryptocurrency may be consolidating above its 50-day EMA as whale inflows often signal the start of an accumulation phase before a stronger price breakout.
取而代之的是,加密货币可能在50天的EMA以上巩固,因为鲸鱼流入通常标志着在更强的价格突破之前的积累阶段的开始。
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