XRP、瑞波币、支持水平：在加密货币波动的城市丛林中航行

XRP 在徘徊于关键支撑位附近时面临严格审查，监管对话和市场变化决定了其近期走势。数字资产会站稳脚跟还是屈服于抛售压力？

XRP finds itself at a critical juncture, with key support levels tested amidst a maelstrom of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic shifts, setting the stage for a defining week.

XRP 发现自己正处于一个关键时刻，在监管不确定性和宏观经济变化的漩涡中，关键支撑位受到考验，为决定性的一周奠定了基础。

The Pressure Cooker: XRP's Support Levels Under Siege

压力锅：XRP 的支撑位陷入困境

It’s been a tense stretch for XRP, the digital asset linked to Ripple, as it hovers precariously around the $1.72 mark. Fresh off a challenging week where it shed roughly 10% of its value, XRP finds itself navigating treacherous waters. Just days ago, on January 30th, the token closed at $1.7326, following a notable dip, confirming a bearish momentum that saw it trade below its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages. Analysts are keenly watching the $1.70 mark as the immediate support, with a more significant floor at $1.50. Breaking these could, as history tells us, trigger unwelcome liquidation cascades. For those hoping for an upswing, reclaiming the 50-day EMA, currently hovering near $1.99, is the ticket to a potential bullish reversal, opening pathways toward the $2.2 and even $2.5 territory.

对于与 Ripple 相关的数字资产 XRP 来说，这是一个紧张的时期，因为它在 1.72 美元大关附近不稳定地徘徊。刚刚经历了充满挑战的一周，XRP 价值下跌了约 10%，但它发现自己正处于危险的水域。就在几天前，即 1 月 30 日，该代币在大幅下跌后收于 1.7326 美元，证实了看跌势头，使其交易低于 50 天和 200 天指数移动平均线。分析师密切关注 1.70 美元大关作为直接支撑，更重要的下限为 1.50 美元。正如历史告诉我们的那样，打破这些可能会引发不受欢迎的清算级联。对于那些希望上涨的人来说，收复目前徘徊在 1.99 美元附近的 50 日均线，是潜在看涨逆转的门票，打开通往 2.2 美元甚至 2.5 美元区域的通道。

Regulatory Ripples and Macroeconomic Headwinds

监管波动和宏观经济逆风

The current market jitters aren't just about technical charts; they're deeply rooted in a complex brew of external factors. A partial U.S. government shutdown, unexpected economic data, and the backdrop of a crucial House vote on a funding package have all contributed to investor caution. But the real headline grabber for XRP and the broader crypto scene is a high-stakes White House meeting slated for February 2, 2026. Major players like Ripple, Coinbase, and Kraken are expected to engage with government officials, tackling the thorny issue of stalled stablecoin legislation and how to regulate yields from these digital assets. The CLARITY Act is on the table, a potential game-changer for legitimizing digital assets, but consensus remains a distant shore. Unsurprisingly, this regulatory fog has led to a retreat from riskier assets, with XRP-linked exchange-traded funds experiencing their largest single-day withdrawals—a cool $93 million exiting the scene, mirroring a broader slump in aggregate open interest to multi-month lows.

当前市场的不安不仅仅与技术图表有关，而且与技术图表有关。它们深深植根于复杂的外部因素之中。美国政府部分关闭、意外的经济数据以及众议院就融资方案进行关键投票的背景都导致投资者保持谨慎。但 XRP 和更广泛的加密货币领域真正的头条新闻是定于 2026 年 2 月 2 日举行的一场高风险的白宫会议。 Ripple、Coinbase 和 Kraken 等主要参与者预计将与政府官员接触，解决稳定币立法停滞不前的棘手问题以及如何监管这些数字资产的收益率。 《清晰法案》已经提上议程，这可能会改变数字资产合法化的游戏规则，但共识仍然遥远。毫不奇怪，这种监管迷雾导致了风险资产的撤退，与 XRP 挂钩的交易所交易基金经历了最大的单日撤资——9300 万美元的撤资，反映出未平仓合约总量大幅下滑至数月低点。

Beneath the Surface: Hints of Resilience?

表面之下：韧性的暗示？

While the price action paints a somewhat grim picture, it's not all doom and gloom beneath the surface. Ripple’s ecosystem continues its quiet expansion. The Ripple USD (RLUSD) stablecoin has impressively achieved a market capitalization of $1.34 billion, and the integration of GTreasury into the Ripple Treasury platform is ongoing, aiming to optimize cross-border payments. Perhaps most interestingly, on-chain metrics reveal a subtle yet significant trend: the number of wallets holding over 1 million XRP has actually increased since the start of the year. This suggests that some larger market participants—the savvy whales, if you will—might be viewing the current price dip not as a disaster, but as a strategic accumulation opportunity. It’s a classic contrarian play, a testament to the enduring belief in XRP's long-term utility, even as its own CTO Emeritus, David Schwartz, famously expressed skepticism about the token ever hitting figures like $100, having sold his own holdings when XRP barely touched $0.10.

虽然价格走势描绘出一幅有些严峻的景象，但表面之下并不全是厄运和悲观。 Ripple 的生态系统继续悄然扩张。 Ripple USD (RLUSD) 稳定币的市值已令人印象深刻地达到 13.4 亿美元，GTreasury 与 Ripple Treasury 平台的整合正在进行中，旨在优化跨境支付。也许最有趣的是，链上指标揭示了一个微妙但重要的趋势：自今年年初以来，持有超过 100 万个 XRP 的钱包数量实际上有所增加。这表明，一些较大的市场参与者（如果你愿意的话，是精明的鲸鱼）可能不会将当前的价格下跌视为灾难，而是将其视为战略积累机会。这是一场经典的逆势操作，证明了人们对 XRP 长期效用的持久信念，尽管该公司的名誉首席技术官 David Schwartz 曾对 XRP 触及 100 美元这样的数字表示怀疑，并在 XRP 几乎触及 0.10 美元时出售了自己持有的股票。

The Road Ahead: A Tightrope Walk

前方的道路：走钢丝

So, where does that leave XRP? On a tightrope, it seems. The convergence of regulatory decisions, macroeconomic shifts, and the ongoing dance between support and resistance levels means the coming days are absolutely critical. While the short-term outlook is undoubtedly challenging, with analysts eyeing those critical $1.70 and $1.50 support levels, the underlying ecosystem growth and strategic accumulation suggest that XRP isn't out of the fight. It's a reminder that in the fast-paced world of digital assets, what seems impossible today might just be a party-worthy milestone tomorrow. After all, wasn't $0.25 once considered an 'impossible' dream for XRP? Just saying.

那么，XRP 将何去何从呢？看来是在走钢丝。监管决策的趋同、宏观经济的转变以及支撑位和阻力位之间的持续变化意味着未来几天绝对至关重要。虽然短期前景无疑充满挑战，分析师关注 1.70 美元和 1.50 美元的关键支撑位，但潜在的生态系统增长和战略积累表明 XRP 并未退出战斗。这提醒我们，在快节奏的数字资产世界中，今天看似不可能的事情明天可能只是一个值得聚会的里程碑。毕竟，0.25 美元对于 XRP 来说不是曾经被认为是一个“不可能”的梦想吗？只是说。