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比特币(BTC)在地缘政治危机期间慢慢失去了作为“避风港”的优势,以太坊处于下降状态
In a surprising turn of events, Bitcoin (BTC) seems to be slowly losing its edge as a “safe haven” during geopolitical crises, and Ethereum is in a state of decline, while XRP is emerging as a key contender for the largest cryptocurrency’s “digital Gold” narrative in 2025.
令人惊讶的是,比特币(BTC)在地缘政治危机期间似乎正在慢慢失去其作为“避风港”的优势,而以太坊处于下降状态,而XRP则成为2025年最大的加密货币“数字黄金”叙述的关键竞争者。
As the SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit draws to an end, with the court documents revealing the final t’s crossed and i’s dotted, and the parties settling for $50 million, institutional trust and demand for XRP are on the rise.
随着SEC诉Ripple诉讼的结束,法院文件显示了最后的T越过,我点缀了我,而当事各方以5000万美元的价格和解,机构信托和对XRP的需求正在上升。
However, despite Bitcoin's recent recovery above $91,000 for the first time in 45 days, XRP has outperformed it with year-to-date gains of 3.71 percent and six-month gains of over 300 percent, according to TradingView.
但是,尽管比特币最近在45天内首次收回了91,000美元,但XRP的表现优于它,其毕业生收益为3.71%,六个月的收益超过300%。
While Bitcoin's detachment from U.S. equities and gold's rally to a new all-time high are shaping the current market cycle, analysts at JP Morgan noted increased pressure on Bitcoin’s narrative as digital gold under current conditions.
虽然比特币与美国股票的分离以及戈德(Gold)在新的历史最高水平上的集会正在塑造当前的市场周期,但JP Morgan的分析师指出,在当前条件下,比特币对比特币叙事的压力增加了。
"The current market condition has increased pressure on Bitcoin’s narrative as digital Gold. ” JP Morgan analysts said in a written note.
JP Morgan分析师在书面票据中说:“目前的市场状况增加了比特币叙事的压力。”
As the shiny metal benefits from economic uncertainty and gains from stronger demand, “Bitcoin’s volatility and correlation with equities raises questions over its ‘digital gold’ narrative. Looking forward, we see Gold continuing to rise as the major beneficiary of the debasement trade.” says Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, Managing Director at JP Morgan.
随着闪亮的金属受益于经济不确定性和从更强劲的需求中获得的收益,“比特币的波动和与股票的相关性引发了对其'数字黄金'叙事的疑问。 JP Morgan董事总经理Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou说。
The “debasement trade,” which fuels demand for inflation-resistant assets like gold and Bitcoin, appears to be favoring gold more strongly. With investors adopting a risk-off stance, capital has been flowing out of equities and crypto into gold.
“贬低贸易”燃料要求对抗通货膨胀的资产(如黄金和比特币)的需求更加强烈地赞成黄金。随着投资者采取冒险立场,资本一直从股票中流出,加密货币融化为黄金。
Bitcoin’s volatility puts it at par with technology stocks for investors, in terms of risk-reward and JP Morgan analysts believe BTC value is $62,000, if estimated production cost is considered and has a volatility-adjusted value of $71,000.
比特币的波动率与投资者的技术股票相提并论,就风险回报而言,摩根大通分析师认为,如果考虑到估计的生产成本并且具有波动性调整后的价值为71,000美元,则BTC价值为62,000美元。
Could XRP become digital Gold?
XRP可以成为数字黄金吗?
XRP led all other assets in weekly inflows among global crypto funds, attracting $37.7 million. In contrast, Ethereum and Bitcoin exchange-traded products recorded outflows of $26.7 million and $6 million respectively, according to CoinShares.
XRP在全球加密基金中每周流入的所有其他资产领先,吸引了3770万美元。相比之下,据Coinshares称,以太坊和比特币交易所交易产品的流出分别为2670万美元和600万美元。
XRP is now the third most successful crypto asset this year, with $214 million in net inflows. The combination of investor returns, ETF filings, and renewed demand supports the growing narrative that XRP could be seen as a “digital gold” alternative.
XRP现在是今年第三大成功的加密资产,净流入为2.14亿美元。投资者收益,ETF申请和新需求的结合支持了越来越多的叙述,即XRP可以被视为“数字黄金”替代方案。
President Donald Trump’s proposed inclusion of XRP in a federal crypto reserve could further strengthen this outlook, especially as Bitcoin continues to lack utility for everyday users outside the crypto ecosystem.
唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)总统提议将XRP纳入联邦加密保护区,可以进一步加强这种前景,尤其是因为比特币继续缺乏加密生态系统以外的日常用户的效用。
XRP price forecast
XRP价格预测
XRP/USDT daily price chart shows two key momentum indicators, the RSI and MACD support a bullish thesis for the second-largest altcoin. XRP could rally 16% to re-test sticky resistance at $2.50.
XRP/USDT每日价格图显示了两个关键动量指标,RSI和MACD支持第二大山寨币的看涨论文。 XRP可能会召集16%以重新测试粘性阻力,价格为2.50美元。
The level coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the decline from the January 2025 high of $3.40 to the April 7 low of $1.61. A 40% rally could push XRP to re-test the psychologically important $3 level.
该水平与从2025年1月的3.40美元到4月7日低点1.61美元的斐波那契逆转的50%回升相吻合。 40%的集会可以推动XRP重新测试心理重要的$ 3级别。
The RSI is trending upward and currently reads 52, above the neutral 50 mark. MACD is also bullish, with green histogram bars rising above the neutral line. This suggests underlying strength in XRP’s price action as the broader crypto market recovers.
RSI趋势上升,目前读取52,高于中性50分。 MACD也是看好的,绿色直方图杆升高到中性线之上。这表明,随着更广泛的加密市场恢复,XRP的价格行动的基本强度。
In the event of a correction or flash crash, XRP could revisit support at $2 before moving lower.
如果进行校正或闪存崩溃,XRP可以在$ 2的价格上重新访问支撑,然后再移动下降。
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