到 2025 年，XRP 可能会翻倍至 1 美元，但不要指望它会从此飙升

一旦 Ripple（XRP 代币背后的公司）解决了与 SEC 的长期法庭纠纷，XRP（加密货币：XRP）的价值应该会飙升。

XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) was supposed to skyrocket in value as soon as Ripple (the company behind the XRP token) resolved its long-running court battle with the SEC. But that simply hasn’t happened. The news of a big Ripple win broke on Aug. 7, and since then, the price of XRP has increased from $0.50 to $0.60. (Yawn.) For the year, XRP is still down 2%.

一旦 Ripple（XRP 代币背后的公司）解决了与 SEC 的长期法庭纠纷，XRP（加密货币：XRP）的价值应该会飙升。但这根本没有发生。 Ripple 大获全胜的消息于 8 月 7 日传出，此后，XRP 的价格从 0.50 美元上涨至 0.60 美元。 （打哈欠。）今年以来，XRP 仍下跌 2%。

So there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical about XRP’s prospects. Add in the fact that the crypto market recently witnessed a mini-crash, and it’s easy to see why investors might be scared off speculative risk assets like XRP. That being said, there’s a clear path to XRP doubling in price to $1 by 2025, and I think that will be the next big move for Ripple’s XRP.

因此，有很多理由对 XRP 的前景表示怀疑。再加上加密货币市场最近经历了一次小规模崩盘，很容易理解为什么投资者可能会害怕 XRP 等投机性风险资产。话虽这么说，到 2025 年 XRP 价格将翻倍至 1 美元，这是一条明确的道路，我认为这将是 Ripple 的 XRP 的下一个重大举措。

XRP’s path to $1

XRP 走向 1 美元之路

What’s particularly perplexing about XRP’s recent performance is that it doubled in value to the $1 mark last summer on similar news of a big legal win. Last July, the judge in the SEC court case ruled that XRP was a security when sold to institutional investors, but not a security when sold to retail investors. That might sound confusing, but the market took it as an unambiguous signal that Ripple was eventually going to triumph over the SEC.

XRP 最近的表现尤其令人困惑的是，去年夏天，由于类似的重大法律胜利消息，它的价值翻了一番，达到 1 美元大关。去年 7 月，SEC 法庭案件的法官裁定 XRP 在出售给机构投资者时是证券，但在出售给散户投资者时不是证券。这听起来可能令人困惑，但市场将其视为 Ripple 最终将战胜 SEC 的明确信号。

However, this long-running crypto courtroom drama is filled with twists and turns, and it’s not clear if the SEC is going to appeal the most recent court decision. If it does, then it could mean more protracted legal wrangling and more regulatory uncertainty. Add in the fact that the court fined Ripple $125 million in civil penalties, and it’s easy to see why the price of XRP hasn’t soared as expected.

然而，这场旷日持久的加密货币法庭戏剧充满了曲折，目前尚不清楚 SEC 是否会对最新的法院判决提出上诉。如果确实如此，那么可能意味着更旷日持久的法律争论和更多的监管不确定性。再加上法院对 Ripple 处以 1.25 亿美元的民事罚款，就不难理解为什么 XRP 的价格没有按预期飙升。

How high can XRP go?

XRP 能涨到多高？

If you think that all of its legal and regulatory headaches are behind it, XRP hitting a price of $1 seems to be a no-brainer. But can Ripple skyrocket from there? After all, the all-time high for XRP is just $3.84, and that happened nearly seven years ago. For the past three years, XRP has struggled mightily.

如果你认为所有的法律和监管问题都是其背后的原因，那么 XRP 价格达到 1 美元似乎是理所当然的。但瑞波币能从此一飞冲天吗？毕竟，XRP 的历史最高价仅为 3.84 美元，而这发生在近七年前。在过去的三年里，XRP 一直在苦苦挣扎。

Of course, you can come up with all kinds of reasons why XRP has been such a market underachiever. The SEC court case, of course, is at the top of the list. But when will investors tire of all these excuses? At the end of the day, XRP is the only Top 10 crypto (as ranked by market cap) that is down for the year. By way of comparison, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC), is up 44% for the year.

当然，你可以想出各种各样的理由来解释 XRP 在市场上表现不佳的原因。当然，美国证券交易委员会的法庭案件位居榜首。但投资者什么时候才会厌倦这些借口呢？最终，XRP 是今年唯一下跌的前 10 名加密货币（按市值排名）。相比之下，比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）今年上涨了 44%。

I can envision some scenarios in which XRP soars past $1 to hit a new all-time high. One scenario involves the launch of new spot ETFs for XRP. And, indeed, there has been speculation that XRP could be next in line after Bitcoin and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) to get a spot ETF product. Another scenario involves a potential IPO for Ripple, in which case the price of XRP could go parabolic.

我可以想象一些 XRP 飙升至 1 美元以上并创下历史新高的情景。一种情况是推出新的 XRP 现货 ETF。事实上，有人猜测 XRP 可能会成为继比特币和以太坊（加密货币：ETH）之后的下一个现货 ETF 产品。另一种情况涉及 Ripple 潜在的 IPO，在这种情况下，XRP 的价格可能会呈抛物线走势。

Don’t forget: Ripple is a real company with a real financial product (a cross-border payment system powered by XRP), so clearing the deck of all legal obstacles means that Ripple can go back to business as usual. Ripple already has extensive relationships within the banking and financial community, and Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse is a regular guest at high-profile events, such as the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

不要忘记：Ripple 是一家真正的公司，拥有真正的金融产品（由 XRP 提供支持的跨境支付系统），因此清除所有法律障碍意味着 Ripple 可以恢复正常业务。 Ripple 已经在银行和金融界建立了广泛的关系，Ripple 首席执行官布拉德·加林豪斯 (Brad Garlinghouse) 是一些备受瞩目的活动的常客，例如瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛。

Due to the SEC court case, Ripple has been forced to put its U.S. expansion plans on hold. So these could finally be ready to move forward in 2025. As proof of this, Ripple recently announced testing of a new stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar.

由于 SEC 的法庭案件，Ripple 被迫搁置其美国扩张计划。因此，这些最终可能会在 2025 年做好准备。作为证明，Ripple 最近宣布测试一种与美元挂钩的新稳定币。

Is XRP a long-term buy?

XRP 是长期购买吗？

While I’m convinced that XRP can double in value over the short term, I’m much less optimistic about its long-term prospects. In a way, that’s really a shame. In a perfect world, patient long-term investors who held on to their XRP during the really lean years should be handsomely rewarded. But this is Wall Street, not Hollywood, and the long-term outlook for XRP remains uncertain at best.

虽然我相信 XRP 的价值可以在短期内翻倍，但我对其长期前景不太乐观。从某种意义上说，这确实是一种耻辱。在一个完美的世界中，在经济困难时期持有 XRP 的耐心长期投资者应该会获得丰厚的回报。但这是华尔街，而不是好莱坞，XRP 的长期前景充其量仍然不确定。

If you are already holding XRP, then it makes sense to hold on to it even longer. It could be your winning crypto lottery ticket. But, if you’re a first-time crypto investor, you’re probably better off just buying Bitcoin, which continues to outpe

如果您已经持有 XRP，那么持有更长时间是有意义的。这可能是您中奖的加密彩票。但是，如果您是首次加密货币投资者，那么您最好只购买比特币，比特币的价值继续超过