XRP链活动：看涨还是看跌信号？

解码XRP的链链指标，用于看涨/看跌信号。钱包的下降是在集会前创造危险信号还是健康的校正？

XRP's on-chain activity is sending mixed signals, sparking debate among analysts. Is the recent decline a cause for concern, or a prelude to a bullish surge? Let's dive in.

XRP的链活动是发送混合信号，引发了分析师之间的辩论。最近的下降是引起人们关注的原因，还是看涨激增的前奏？让我们潜水。

XRP's Tale of Two Narratives

XRP关于两个叙述的故事

Recent data paints a conflicting picture of XRP's health. On one hand, we see a significant drop in new wallet creation, raising concerns about fading interest. On the other, some analysts argue this is merely a correction after an unsustainable surge.

最近的数据描绘了XRP健康状况的相互矛盾图片。一方面，我们看到新的钱包创造的大幅度下降，引起了人们对褪色兴趣的担忧。另一方面，一些分析师认为这仅仅是不可持续的激增后的校正。

The Bearish Perspective: Fading Momentum?

看跌视角：褪色的动力？

According to Coin Bureau, XRP's momentum might be fading. They highlight an 80% drop in new wallet creation since January 2025. This decline in network activity suggests that XRP may struggle to revisit the $3 level anytime soon. The analyst suggests that without new users entering the ecosystem or existing ones increasing XRP’s on-chain activity, the conditions necessary for an immediate $3 price reclaim aren’t present.

根据Coin Bureau的说法，XRP的势头可能正在消失。他们强调了自2025年1月以来的新钱包创造的80％下降。网络活动的这种下降表明，XRP可能很快就会很快重新审视3美元的水平。分析师建议，如果没有新用户进入生态系统或现有的用户增加XRP的链链活动，就不会立即获得3美元的价格收回所需的条件。

The Bullish Counterpoint: A Healthy Correction

看涨对立：健康的更正

However, Moon Lambo, another crypto expert, pushes back against this bearish narrative. They argue that the decline in activity is a healthy correction after an abnormal spike driven by macro excitement. Pointing to Google Trends data showing a broader market cool-off, they suggest XRP is maintaining relevance and attracting steady engagement even during quieter times.

但是，另一位加密专家Moon Lambo推翻了这种看跌的叙述。他们认为，在由宏观兴奋驱动的异常尖峰之后，活动的下降是一种健康的纠正。指出Google趋势数据显示了更广泛的市场冷静，它们表明XRP即使在更安静的时期也保持相关性并吸引稳定的参与度。

Technical Analysis: What the Charts Say

技术分析：图表怎么说

Looking at technical indicators, XRP is currently trading around $2.12. While it experienced a surge in volume, it's facing bearish pressure. A market poll showed XRP having 25.6% bullish interest, second to Cardano (ADA). The mixed signals from on-chain data and technical analysis create uncertainty.

查看技术指标，XRP目前的交易约为2.12美元。尽管它经历了数量激增，但面临看跌压力。市场民意测验显示，XRP的看涨利息为25.6％，其次是Cardano（ADA）。链接数据和技术分析的混合信号会产生不确定性。

Personal Take: Navigating the Noise

个人拍摄：导航噪音

It's tough to say definitively whether XRP is poised for a bullish or bearish run. The decline in wallet creation is concerning, but the argument that it's a correction holds water. Also, the broader market sentiment plays a big role. The truth is, the market is always uncertain and it’s important to look at the broader market and not XRP in isolation.

很难明确地说XRP是否有望看涨或看跌。钱包创造的下降是令人担忧的，但是这是一种纠正的论点含有水。此外，更广泛的市场情绪发挥了重要作用。事实是，市场总是不确定的，重要的是要孤立地看更广阔的市场而不是XRP。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

So, is XRP heading to the moon or crashing back to earth? Only time will tell. But one thing's for sure: the XRP saga continues to be a wild ride. Buckle up, folks!

那么，XRP是前往月球还是坠入地球？只有时间会证明。但是可以肯定的是：XRP传奇仍然是一个疯狂的旅程。搭扣，伙计们！