XRP 可能会爆发，但由于外部因素不会立即爆发：分析师

比特币在接下来的几个小时内即将发生的走势对于更广泛的情绪变化非常重要

The upcoming Bitcoin move in the next few hours is crucial for the broader sentiment to change.

未来几个小时即将到来的比特币走势对于更广泛的情绪变化至关重要。

With the market uncertainty, it is crucial to avoid excessive leverage. The decision, whether a 0.25% or 0.5% rate cut, will have a major impact on the markets. However, amid all the chaos, the question whether XRP could break out toward higher levels still remains a mystery.

在市场不确定性的情况下，避免过度杠杆至关重要。无论是降息0.25%还是0.5%，这一决定都将对市场产生重大影响。然而，在一片混乱之中，XRP 能否突破更高水平仍然是一个谜。

According to analyst Cheeky Crypto, yesterday's target range for XRP was set between 59.48 and 60 cents, aiming for a double top similar to Saturday's price movement. However, XRP peaked at 59.34 cents before pulling back.

据分析师 Cheeky Crypto 称，昨天 XRP 的目标区间设定在 59.48 至 60 美分之间，目标是类似于周六价格走势的双顶。然而，XRP 在回落之前达到了 59.34 美分的峰值。

This pullback occurred after finding support at the 50 EMA and SMA levels. Now, there's an impulsive breakdown. It's possible XRP is in wave four, with a structural target between 57.17 and 57.42 cents, which might align with support at the 200-hourly EMA.

这次回调是在 50 EMA 和 SMA 水平找到支撑后发生的。现在，冲动崩溃了。 XRP 可能处于第四波，结构性目标位于 57.17 至 57.42 美分之间，这可能与 200 小时均线的支撑位一致。

Within the price structure, a five-wave drop suggests an irregular flat pattern (ABC) for wave four, overlapping with wave one, pointing to a diagonal structure in wave five. The target range for the potential double top is 59.54 to 60.16 cents.

在价格结构中，五波下跌表明第四波的不规则平坦模式（ABC）与第一波重叠，指向第五波的对角线结构。潜在双顶的目标范围是 59.54 至 60.16 美分。

Despite the XRP chart showing higher lows and lower highs, which generally suggests a bullish breakout, he doesn't expect an immediate rise to the 75 to 85 cent range due to external factors.

尽管 XRP 图表显示出更高的低点和更低的高点，这通常表明看涨突破，但他预计由于外部因素，XRP 不会立即升至 75 至 85 美分的区间。

The analyst also noted a possible loss of the 50% level, with a retest of the lower trendline being likely before any major breakout occurs. Although there may be temporary stability or upward movements in the coming days, overall market liquidity remains low. This liquidity crunch, combined with external factors like interest rates, unemployment rates, and money supply, suggests selling pressure could increase.

该分析师还指出，可能会跌破 50% 的水平，在任何重大突破发生之前，可能会重新测试较低的趋势线。尽管未来几天可能会出现暂时的稳定或上涨，但整体市场流动性仍然较低。这种流动性紧缩，加上利率、失业率和货币供应等外部因素，表明抛售压力可能会增加。