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自2024年12月下旬以来,Stellar(XLM)一直在下降渠道内进行交易。在12月的强劲集会上,价格强劲,价格开始下降。
Stellar (XLM) has been trading inside a descending channel since late December 2024. After a strong rally toward $0.45 in December, the price began to trend downward, forming lower highs and lower lows for several months.
自2024年12月下旬以来,Stellar(XLM)一直在下降频道内进行交易。在12月的强劲集会上涨到0.45美元之后,价格开始向下趋势,形成了较低的高点和较低的低点几个月。
This downturn was largely driven by Bitcoin’s performance, as it dropped from highs of around $105,000 to lows of $80,000 during that period. However, recently, Bitcoin has shown signs of recovery, rising back above $94,000. This could be a key factor to watch for Stellar’s recovery as well.
这种低迷的主要原因是比特币的性能,因为在此期间,它从高处降至80,000美元的低点。但是,最近,比特币显示出恢复的迹象,上升到94,000美元以上。这也是关注Stellar恢复的关键因素。
By mid-April 2025, the XLM price dropped to a key support zone between $0.22 and $0.24. That area has held strong multiple times before, including just ahead of the major breakout in November. Once again, it acted as a reliable base, XLM bounced more than 15% from that low and is now trading at around $0.2702 at the time of this post.
到2025年4月中旬,XLM价格下降到了0.22美元至0.24美元的钥匙支持区。该地区之前多次保持强劲的态度,包括在11月的重大突破之前。它再次充当可靠的基础,XLM从该低点弹起了15%以上,现在在此职位时的交易价格约为0.2702美元。
After a strong rally toward $0.45 in December 2024, the price of Stellar (XLM) dropped to a key support zone between $0.22 and $0.24 by mid-April 2025. This area, which has been tested several times before, acted as a reliable base for a bounce of more than 15%.
在2024年12月的强劲集会上涨到0.45美元之后,Stellar(XLM)的价格在2025年中期至4月中旬降至0.22至0.24美元之间。该区域已在几次之前进行了测试,作为可靠的基地,可轻率弹跳超过15%以上。
As the price dropped to the support zone, it also tested the lower boundary of a descending channel that had been forming since December. That channel is defined by connecting the peaks and troughs of the price with a downward-sloping line.
当价格下降到支撑区时,它还测试了自12月以来一直形成的降级渠道的下边界。该通道是通过将价格的峰值和低谷与向下倾斜线联系起来来定义的。
The upper boundary of the channel, which lies around $0.28 to $0.29, has acted as resistance several times before. As the price bounced off the lower zone and began to rise again, it encountered resistance at the upper channel boundary.
该渠道的上限约为0.28美元至0.29美元,在几次之前充当阻力。当价格从下部区域弹起并再次上升时,它在上通道边界遇到了阻力。
This resistance is evident in today’s daily candle, which shows a rejection at the top, and a long upper wick in the candle. This indicates that sellers might be stepping in at that level to prevent further gains.
在今天的每日蜡烛中,这种抵抗是显而易见的,该蜡烛在顶部表现出拒绝,蜡烛中的较长的较高的灯芯。这表明卖方可能会介入该水平,以防止进一步的收益。
If the price fails to break above $0.29 with good volume, it could be pushed back toward the lower part of the channel again. However, if Bitcoin can continue to show strength, a clean breakout above the channel could set the stage for a bullish shift.
如果价格未能以良好的价格突破0.29美元,则可以再次向后推回频道的下部。但是,如果比特币能够继续表现出力量,那么频道上方的干净突破就可以为看涨的转变奠定基础。
Pessimistic Scenario: $0.22 – $0.24
悲观情景:$ 0.22 - $ 0.24
In a bearish outcome, XLM gets rejected at $0.29 and drops back toward the April low. Weak volume, Bitcoin dipping below $85K, or a lack of meaningful developments in Stellar’s ecosystem, could send the price down to retest the $0.22–$0.24 support. If that zone breaks, $0.20 becomes the next likely target.
在看跌的结果中,XLM被拒绝为0.29美元,并回到四月低点。较弱的量,比特币低于$ 85K,或者在Stellar的生态系统中缺乏有意义的发展,可能会将价格降低以重新测试$ 0.22- $ 0.24的支持。如果该区域破裂,则为$ 0.20成为下一个可能的目标。
Realistic Scenario: $0.30–$0.32
现实情况:$ 0.30– $ 0.32
If Stellar (XLM) price manages to break above $0.29 with consistent buying pressure, a slow grind toward $0.30–$0.32 becomes possible. Bitcoin staying stable or gradually climbing, plus increased usage of Stellar’s USDC and green bond tools, could support this move. It’s a range-bound, steady climb unless major momentum kicks in.
如果恒星(XLM)的价格设法在$ 0.29的情况下以一致的购买压力中断超过$ 0.29,则可能会慢慢磨碎到0.30美元至0.32美元。比特币保持稳定或逐渐攀爬,加上Stellar的USDC和Green Bond工具的使用增加,可以支持这一举动。除非有很大的动力启动,否则这是一个范围内的稳定攀登。
Optimistic Scenario: $0.38–$0.42
乐观的场景:$ 0.38– $ 0.42
If Bitcoin heads toward $100K and XLM confirms a breakout above $0.30 with strong volume, the rally could extend much further. Strong headlines around Stellar’s enterprise growth, peer-to-peer energy settlements, or new tokenization pilots could bring renewed demand. In that case, XLM price might spike toward $0.38 or even $0.42, levels not seen since early 2022.
如果比特币朝$ 10万美元,XLM确认了超过0.30美元的突破,则集会可能会进一步延伸。围绕Stellar的企业增长,点对点能源定居点或新的令牌飞行员的头条新闻可能会带来新的需求。在这种情况下,XLM价格可能会达到0.38美元甚至0.42美元,这是自2022年初以来未见的水平。
May could be a breakout month for Stellar if it clears the $0.29 wall. But as long as it stays inside the channel, the $0.22–$0.24 support zone remains just as important as the resistance. With Bitcoin in play and adoption headlines stacking up, traders should be watching both levels closely.
如果这清除了$ 0.29的墙,则可能是恒星的突破月。但是,只要它留在频道内,$ 0.22- $ 0.24的支撑区仍然与阻力一样重要。随着比特币的游戏和收养头条堆积起来,交易者应该密切关注这两个水平。
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