10x 研究预测，随着销售量激增，比特币价格将急剧下跌至 5 万美元

据 10x Research 权威人士（来自 Cointelegraph）称，比特币预计将从 7 月 4 日的 60,000 美元以上跌至 57,000 美元以下。

Bitcoin price is set to drop below $57,000 as accelerating sell flows and a marked decrease in buy flows have caused the BTC price to drop from over $60,000 on July 4. The price may continue to drop to $50,000.

比特币价格预计将跌至 57,000 美元以下，因为抛售流量加速而购买流量显着减少，导致 BTC 价格从 7 月 4 日的 60,000 美元以上下跌。价格可能会继续跌至 50,000 美元。

The psychological $60,000 benchmark was breached, leading to a rapid shift in market sentiment. This shift is attributed to the fact that buy flows have dried up while sell flows are accelerating, according to 10x Research.

60,000 美元的心理基准被突破，导致市场情绪迅速转变。 10x Research 表示，这种转变是由于买入流已经枯竭而卖出流正在加速这一事实。

“Our data from early June already hinted at an overbought market ripe for correction,” 10x Research analyst Markus Thielen said of the downtrend.

10x Research 分析师马库斯·蒂伦 (Markus Thielen) 在谈到下行趋势时表示：“我们 6 月初的数据已经暗示，市场已经处于超买状态，需要进行修正。”

The steep 5.44% decrease in the Bitcoin price has impacted investor sentiment and market liquidity, as evident in the 57% increase in trading volume and the $1.1 billion market capitalization of BTC, respectively.

比特币价格暴跌 5.44%，影响了投资者情绪和市场流动性，从比特币交易量增长 57% 和市值 11 亿美元即可看出。

As the 10x Research report noted, the price drop could accelerate as sellers seek liquidity and support is breached, following the breaking of the “key level for Bitcoin miners and spot Bitcoin ETF buyers.”

正如 10x 研究报告指出的那样，随着卖家寻求流动性，并且在“比特币矿商和现货比特币 ETF 买家的关键水平”被突破后，价格可能会加速下跌。

The sell-off coincides with the anticipated commencement of Mt. Gox repayments in July, amounting to $8.5 billion in BTC.

此次抛售恰逢 Mt. Gox 预计于 7 月开始偿还 BTC，金额达 85 亿美元。

“Only ill-informed traders are willing to buy here,” the 10x Research report states following the breach of $60,000 support.

10x 研究报告在突破 60,000 美元支撑位后指出：“只有消息不灵通的交易者才愿意在这里买入。”

10x Research Urges Caution as Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Cash Out, Heightening Market Volatility

10x 研究敦促长期比特币持有者套现，加剧市场波动，需保持谨慎

The 10x Research report advises caution regarding the BTC price and urges speculators to prioritize risk management in light of the continuing volatility.

10x 研究报告建议对 BTC 价格保持谨慎，并敦促投机者鉴于持续波动，优先考虑风险管理。

“We warned that this was not the time to be complacent.”

“我们警告说，现在不是自满的时候。”

According to the latest analysis by IT Tech, the downtrend is driven by long-term holders cashing out substantial profits.

根据IT Tech的最新分析，下跌趋势是由长期持有者套现大量利润推动的。

On July 3, the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for long-term holders exceeded 10, indicating that the BTC was sold for at least 10 times the initial purchase price.

7 月 3 日，长期持有者的支出产出利润率（SOPR）超过 10，表明 BTC 的出售价格至少是初始购买价格的 10 倍。

The analysis suggests that the selling pressure in the market is being exacerbated by long-term BTC holders, who typically hold their coins for periods ranging from five to seven years.

分析表明，长期比特币持有者（通常持有比特币的期限为五到七年）正在加剧市场的抛售压力。

Photo: Microsoft Bing

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