USDT 的主导地位如何预示着比特币的高位

加密货币分析师使用了许多链上指标和指标来调查比特币是否已经达到本次牛市的高点。

Crypto analysts have been using a number of on-chain metrics and indicators to investigate whether or not the Bitcoin high is already in for this bull run. Previously, several analysts used the Put-Call Ratio to predict the top of the bull run in 2021, and now, another analyst has used USDT’s Dominance to find out Bitcoin’s market high.

加密货币分析师一直在使用许多链上指标和指标来调查比特币是否已经达到本次牛市的高位。此前，多位分析师使用看跌期权比率来预测 2021 年牛市的见顶，而现在，另一位分析师使用 USDT 的 Dominance 来找出比特币的市场高点。

How USDT’s Dominance Predicts The High For Bitcoin

USDT 的主导地位如何预示比特币的高位

Crypto analyst Thomas took to X (previously Twitter) to note that USDT Dominance has predicted each Bitcoin native high for the final six years. He added that there’s at all times been a transparent native high for Bitcoin each time the USDT dominance touches the underside of a trendline, which the analyst highlighted on the chart. Anyone who used this metric would have offered the highest each time within the earlier cycles, in keeping with Thomas.

加密货币分析师 Thomas 在 X（之前为 Twitter）上指出，USDT Dominance 预测了过去六年中比特币的每一个原生高点。他补充说，每当 USDT 的主导地位触及趋势线的底部时，比特币就会出现明显的原生高点，分析师在图表中强调了这一点。托马斯表示，任何使用这一指标的人都会在早期周期中每次提供最高的报价。

The crypto analyst stated it is sensible that USDT’s dominance can be utilized to foretell Bitcoin’s high because the pattern of USDT-D over an extended timeframe needs to be optimistic, as coin distribution occurs over time. He added that the USDT-D is critical because the market is ruled by swaps out and in of stablecoins.

这位加密货币分析师表示，利用 USDT 的主导地位来预测比特币的高点是明智的，因为 USDT-D 在较长时间内的模式需要保持乐观，因为硬币的分配是随着时间的推移而发生的。他补充说，USDT-D 至关重要，因为市场是由稳定币的换出和换入决定的。

In the meantime, Thomas talked about that USDT dominance will also be utilized inversely and used to foretell the native backside for Bitcoin. He famous that it was additionally used to foretell each native backside for the earlier bear markets. The analyst admitted that the USDT.D doesn’t essentially give a exact estimate of the underside, though he added that it “provides a great ballpark.”

与此同时，Thomas表示USDT的主导地位也将被反向利用，并被用来预示比特币的原生趋势。他指出，它还被用来预测早期熊市的各个本土背面。这位分析师承认，USDT.D 本质上并没有给出底部的准确估计，尽管他补充说它“提供了一个很好的大概”。

The Native High Could Already Be In For Bitcoin

比特币可能已经迎来了原生高点

Based mostly on the chart shared by the analyst, Bitcoin’s native high could already be in, seeing because the USDT.D has once more touched the trendline highlighted by Thomas. When quizzed by considered one of his followers about whether or not that was the case and whether or not Bitcoin was heading for brand spanking new lows, the analyst replied that wasn’t essentially what was going to occur, because the market can return up and faucet the decrease finish of the USDT.D chart, similar to it did within the final bull run.

主要根据分析师分享的图表，比特币的原生高点可能已经出现，因为 USDT.D 再次触及托马斯强调的趋势线。当他的一位追随者询问情况是否如此，以及比特币是否会创下新低时，这位分析师回答说，这本质上不会发生什么，因为市场可能会回升，点击 USDT.D 图表的下跌终点，与最后牛市中的情况类似。

The analyst is optimistic it will occur, as he stated that he thinks the market will retest the assist line “just a few occasions over the approaching months.” This might in the end imply that Bitcoin has extra room to run on this market cycle earlier than reaching its bull run peak. Different crypto analysts, like Rekt Capital, have already affirmed that the cycle high isn’t but in and that historic traits recommend that the market high will come someday subsequent yr.

这位分析师对这种情况的发生持乐观态度，他表示，他认为市场将“在未来几个月内仅几次”重新测试支撑线。这最终可能意味着比特币在达到牛市高峰之前在这个市场周期中还有额外的运行空间。 Rekt Capital 等其他加密货币分析师已经确认，周期高点尚未到来，历史特征表明市场高点将于明年某一天到来。

Within the meantime, Thomas revealed that he’ll use the USDT.D trendline to information his longer-term trades in BTC/ETH. He plans to purchase each time USDT’s dominance is on the high of the trendline and promote each time it hits the underside.

与此同时，托马斯透露，他将使用 USDT.D 趋势线来了解他的 BTC/ETH 长期交易。他计划每次 USDT 的主导地位处于趋势线的高点时买入，并在每次跌至趋势线的低点时买入。

On the time of writing, Bitcoin is buying and selling at round $56,400, up over 4% within the final 24 hours, in keeping with information from CoinMarketCap.

根据 CoinMarketCap 的信息，截至撰写本文时，比特币买卖价格约为 56,400 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 4% 以上。