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加密货币新闻

根据投资者的成本基础分配,即将到来的狗果币水平可能被证明是抵抗

2025/05/15 08:30

链上的数据表明,根据投资者成本基础分配,即将到来的Dogecoin水平可能被证明是阻力墙。

根据投资者的成本基础分配,即将到来的狗果币水平可能被证明是抵抗

A Large Amount Of Dogecoin Was Last Purchased At $0.36

上次以0.36美元的价格购买了大量狗狗币

In a new post for X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about levels that appear significant on the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) of the memecoin. The “URPD” is an on-chain indicator that tells us how much of an asset’s supply was last purchased at which price levels. The metric determines this cost basis for each token by checking its transaction history to see its last transfer price.

在X的新帖子中,分析师阿里·马丁内斯(Ali Martinez)谈到了在Memecoin的UTXO实现的价格分布(URPD)中显着的水平。 “ URPD”是一个链上的指标,它告诉我们上次购买的资产供应量是多少。该指标通过检查其交易历史记录以查看其最后转移价格来确定每个代币的成本基础。

As displayed in the above graph, there are no levels immediately nearby to the current price that hold the break-even mark of a significant portion of the supply. The closest level that stands out in the URPD is around $0.21, which hosts the acquisition point of 7.5% of the asset’s supply. For the up direction, there aren’t any notable cost basis centers until all the way to $0.36, where investors last bought about 3.8% of all tokens in existence.

如上图中所示,目前价格附近没有任何水平,这些水平占据了很大一部分供应的分数。在URPD中脱颖而出的最接近的水平约为0.21美元,其收购点是资产供应量的7.5%。对于UP指导,直到$ 0.36,投资者上次购买了存在的所有代币的3.8%,才有任何显着的成本基础中心。

Now, what’s the relevance of these levels to the cryptocurrency? To answer that question, we must first understand investor psychology. To any holder, their cost basis is naturally an important level, so they can be prone to showing some kind of reaction when a retest of it happens.

现在,这些级别与加密货币的相关性是什么?要回答这个问题,我们必须首先了解投资者心理学。对于任何持有人来说,他们的成本基础自然是一个重要的水平,因此当重新进行重新测试时,它们很容易表现出某种反应。

However, this reaction isn’t significant if only a few investors are showing it. But for retests of levels that host the cost basis of a large amount of holders, the story can be different. The aforementioned levels could be important ones from this perspective.

但是,如果只有少数投资者表现出来,这种反应并不重要。但是,对于拥有大量持有人的成本基础的重新测试级别,故事可能会有所不同。从这个角度来看,上述水平可能是重要的。

Generally, investors tend to react by buying if the retest is happening from above, granted the mood in the market is bullish. This is because these holders, who were in profit prior to the retest, might be looking at the price decline as just a ‘dip.’

通常,投资者倾向于通过购买是否从上面进行重新测试来做出反应,将市场的情绪视为看涨。这是因为这些持有人在重新测试之前获得了利润,可能只是将价格下跌视为“蘸酱”。

On the other hand, the holders who were in loss before the retest may decide to sell their tokens, as they could fear that this might be their last opportunity to exit at their break-even for a while.

另一方面,在重新测试之前失去损失的持有者可能会决定出售其令牌,因为他们可能会担心这可能是他们最后一次退出的机会,即暂时退出。

As such, major supply walls below the spot price can act as potential support zones, while those above it may prove to be resistance areas. Given that the closest two such levels are at $0.21 and $0.36 for the asset right now, they may be where the coin could be the most probable to encounter strong support and resistance, respectively.

因此,低于现货价格的主要供应墙可以充当潜在的支撑区,而上面的供应墙可能被证明是电阻区域。鉴于现在最接近的两个这样的级别为$ 0.21和0.36美元,因此它们可能是币最有可能遇到强大的支持和抵抗力的最可能的地方。

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