Toncoin（TON）价格预测：吨可以打破抵抗力吗？

开放网络的本地资产Toncoin（TON）经过长时间的下降趋势重新焦点。一旦交易远高于$ 5，吨就一直在合并

The native asset of The Open Network (TON), Toncoin (TON), is back in focus after a long downtrend. Once trading well above $5, TON has been consolidating under the $3.50 mark for weeks, but recent price action suggests a possible change in momentum.

经过长时间的下降趋势，开放网络（TON）的本地资产（TON）（TON COIN（TON））重新焦点。一旦交易远高于5美元，TON的汇总已在数周的3.50张中巩固，但最近的价格行动表明，势头可能会发生变化。

Backed by improving technicals, rising volume, and renewed investor interest, Toncoin price may be heading toward a breakout phase. Let's delve into the latest chart data to unpack what's unfolding.

在不断提高的技术，数量上升和更新的投资者利息的支持下，吨币的价格可能正朝着突破阶段发展。让我们深入研究最新的图表数据，以解开正在进行的内容。

Toncoin Price Prediction: Can TON Break Past Resistance?

吨币价格预测：吨可以超越阻力吗？

On the daily chart, TON price is currently trading at $3.17, attempting to recover from its sharp decline earlier this year. The price is moving around a confluence of major moving averages. The 20-day SMA ($3.08), 50-day SMA ($3.33), and 100-day SMA ($3.53) are tightly packed, creating a resistance zone that TON has struggled to clear. This compression often precedes explosive moves.

在每日图表上，Ton Price目前的交易价格为3.17美元，试图从今年早些时候的急剧下降中恢复过来。价格正在绕过主要移动平均的汇合。 20天的SMA（$ 3.08），50天SMA（$ 3.33）和100天SMA（$ 3.53）紧紧打包，创造了一个阻力区，吨很难清除。这种压缩通常在爆炸性移动之前。

A key bullish sign is that TON price has managed to stay above the 20-day SMA, forming a short-term higher low pattern. The Advance-Decline Line (ADL) is steadily increasing, showcasing improving market breadth and buyer dominance. However, the 200-day SMA at $4.56 is still a significant factor, suggesting that any meaningful breakout must pierce through $3.50 to test the longer-term trendline.

一个关键的看涨迹象是，吨价格已经设法保持在20天的SMA之上，形成了短期的低模式。 Advance-Decline线（ADL）正在稳步增长，展示了市场广度和买方优势。但是，200天的SMA为$ 4.56仍然是一个重要因素，这表明任何有意义的突破都必须刺穿3.50美元才能测试长期趋势线。

Hourly Chart Signals: Bullish Reversal or False Alarm?

每小时图表信号：看涨逆转还是错误的警报？

Zooming into the hourly chart, TON price appears to be forming a minor ascending triangle pattern - a bullish continuation setup. The price is testing resistance at $3.20, and all short-term moving averages (20, 50, 100, and 200 SMA) are converging in a narrow band between $3.17-$3.23. This setup often acts like a coiled spring - a break above the resistance could quickly propel the price toward $3.35 or even $3.50.

缩放到小时图表中，Ton Price似乎形成了一个较小的上升三角形模式 - 看涨的延续设置。价格为3.20美元的测试阻力，所有短期移动平均（20、50、100和200 SMA）都在狭窄的乐队中汇聚在$ 3.17- $ 3.23之间。这种设置通常像卷曲的弹簧一样 - 超过阻力的休息可能会将价格迅速推向3.35美元甚至3.50美元。

The ADL on the hourly chart is currently flat but recently ticked higher, indicating potential accumulation. If we observe increased volume and a clean hourly candle close above $3.25, it could signal the beginning of a short-term rally.

每小时图表上的ADL目前是平坦的，但最近被勾选了，表明潜在的积累。如果我们观察到增加的体积增加，并且每小时的清洁蜡烛在3.25美元以上，则可能标志着短期集会的开始。

What's Driving Toncoin's Momentum?

是什么驱动吨币的势头？

Toncoin's ecosystem has been expanding with recent DeFi integrations and NFT launches, all of which contribute to stronger fundamentals.

随着最近的Defi集成和NFT的发布，Toncoin的生态系统一直在扩展，所有这些都促进了更强大的基本面。

Additionally, the broader Layer-1 narrative has been gaining momentum, which could bring renewed interest to projects like TON, which were previously overshadowed.

此外，更广泛的第1层叙事一直在增强势头，这可能会引起人们对以前被蒙上阴影的项目的新兴趣。

Another crucial factor is market psychology. With many altcoins showing signs of recovery, TON's prolonged period of consolidation below $3.50 is beginning to resemble a base-building phase. Traders will be looking for confirmation of this breakout with volume and the breakout candle.

另一个关键因素是市场心理学。由于许多AltCoins都显示出恢复的迹象，Ton的延长合并时间低于3.50美元，就像基本建设阶段一样。贸易商将寻求用数量和突破蜡烛确认这一突破的确认。

Key Levels to Watch

观看的关键水平

The immediate resistance is at $3.25, followed by $3.50, which also coincides with the 100-day SMA. On the support side, $3.00 is a psychological and structural level. A candle close below that would negate the bullish structure and could open the door for a steeper correction toward $2.80.

直接电阻为3.25美元，其次是3.50美元，这也与100天的SMA相吻合。在支持方面，$ 3.00是心理和结构层面。下面下方的蜡烛将抵消看涨的结构，并可以为2.80美元的更陡峭的校正打开门。

If TON price manages to break through $3.50 with strong volume, the next target could be $4.00, a round-number resistance and the previous breakdown level from February. This would amount to a 25% gain from current price levels.

如果Ton Price设法以强劲的价格突破3.50美元，则下一个目标可能为4.00美元，圆形阻力和以前的击穿水平。这将达到当前价格水平的25％。

Toncoin Price Prediction: 30-Day Price Forecast

吨币价格预测：30天价格预测

Assuming continued strength in altcoins and Bitcoin remaining above key levels, Toncoin price could realistically reach the $3.50-$4.00 zone within the next 30 days. However, this depends on broader market stability and TON closing above $3.25 with sufficient volume to confirm the breakout.

假设在替代币和比特币的持续强度较高，则在接下来的30天内，Toncoin的价格实际上可以实际达到3.50- $ 4.00的区域。但是，这取决于更广泛的市场稳定性和吨位超过3.25美元，并有足够的数量来确认突破。

If bearish pressure resumes, we could see a swifter decline to $3.00 or even $2.80. Hence, traders must prioritize risk management strategies in their trading plans.

如果看跌压力恢复，我们可能会看到Swifter下降到3.00美元甚至2.80美元。因此，交易者必须在其交易计划中优先考虑风险管理策略。