TONCOIN [TON]价格预测：代币是否会破坏支持并继续下降趋势？

在过去一个月中，吨[吨]仍然是看跌，下降了8.10％。但是，在过去的24小时内动量减慢，下降了0.79％。

Toncoin [TON] was bearish over the last month, with price decreasing by 8.10%. However, momentum has slowed over the last 24 hours, with a smaller 0.79% drop.

Toncoin [ton]在上个月占看跌，价格下降了8.10％。但是，在过去的24小时内，动量减慢了，下降了0.79％。

Still, market sentiment suggests a high likelihood of further decline. AMBCrypto analysis gives a clear insight into what could happen.

尽管如此，市场情绪仍表明进一步下降的可能性很高。 Ambcrypto分析可以清楚地了解可能发生的事情。

Support level could be lost on TON

支持水平可能会损失

At the time of writing, TON was trading directly on a critical support level. A red candle formed just above this zone, signaling a potential breakdown.

在撰写本文时，Ton直接在关键的支持水平上进行交易。在该区域上方形成的红色蜡烛，标志着潜在的崩溃。

This bearish sentiment, combined with the candlestick pattern, appears within a broader bullish pattern, which is known as the symmetrical triangle.

这种看跌的情绪与烛台模式相结合，出现在更广泛的看涨模式中，被称为对称三角形。

Source: TradingView

资料来源：TradingView

Typically, the bottom support level is used as a launch point, pushing the asset toward the pattern’s peak at $4.9.

通常，底部支撑级用作发射点，将资产推向图案的峰值为$ 4.9。

However, with a bearish candle forming at the support, it is likely that TON will trade lower.

但是，随着看跌蜡烛在支持下形成，吨很可能会降低交易。

Key levels to watch for a potential rebound are $2.8, $2.5, and $2.3. The strength of buy orders at these levels will determine whether TON can regain bullish momentum and re-enter the pattern.

关注潜在反弹的关键水平为$ 2.8，2.5美元和2.3美元。在这些水平上购买订单的强度将决定吨是否可以恢复看涨的动力并重新进入模式。

Which path will it take?

它会采取哪种路径？

Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) are two technical indicators that can be used to gauge the potential direction of an asset’s price movement.

相对强度指数（RSI）和移动平均收敛差异（MACD）是两个技术指标，可用于评估资产价格转移的潜在方向。

In the case of TON, both RSI and MACD suggest that the altcoin is more likely to continue moving downwards.

就TON而言，RSI和MACD都表明，Altcoin更有可能继续向下移动。

RSI, which indicates market trend direction and whether the altcoin is oversold or overbought, signaled a bearish trend.

RSI表明市场趋势方向以及山寨币是超卖还是超买，这标志着看跌趋势。

A bearish trend occurs when the RSI is reading between 50 and 30.

当RSI读数50到30之间时，就会发生看跌趋势。

TON’s reading was at 44.21 and decreasing, signaling that a further drop is likely.

Ton的阅读量为44.21，并且减少了，这表明可能会进一步下降。

Source: TradingView

资料来源：TradingView

At the same time, the MACD backed this view. The MACD Line fell to -0.040, and the Signal Line was at -0.021.

同时，MACD支持了此视图。 MACD线降至-0.040，信号线为-0.021。

The bearish crossover, which occurs when the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line, reinforced seller dominance, hinting that lower lows may follow unless momentum reverses soon.

当MACD线越过信号线以下时，发生的看跌跨界也会加强卖方的优势，暗示除非动量很快逆转，否则较低的低点可能会遵循。

Users are flocking away

用户正在蜂拥而至

On top of that, TON’s DEX Trading Volume across decentralized exchanges dropped drastically and was at $3.3 million. That is the lowest this year, which is clear on the chart.

最重要的是，吨的跨分散交易所的DEX交易量急剧下降，为330万美元。那是今年最低的，这在图表上很明显。

Source: Artemis

资料来源：Artemis

This sharp decline in activity suggests a rapid decrease in interest in TON’s ecosystem. With fewer users and weaker liquidity, both investor confidence and price stability appear compromised.

活动的急剧下降表明，对吨生态系统的兴趣迅速下降。由于用户较少，流动性较弱，投资者的信心和价格稳定似乎受到损害。

Unless on-chain demand returns or technicals reset, TON may lose the key support and move further away from the bullish triangle.

除非链上需求的回报或技术重置，否则TON可能会失去关键支持并远离看涨的三角形。