Toncoin的价格摇摆：吞噬蜡烛有关键吗？

Toncoin在价格下跌，交易员着眼于吞噬蜡烛的主要支持。它会持有，还是熊会接管？让我们深入研究分析。

Toncoin's Price Wobbles: Engulfing Candle Holds the Key?

Toncoin的价格摇摆：吞噬蜡烛有关键吗？

Toncoin (TON) is experiencing some turbulence, and all eyes are on a specific technical pattern: an engulfing candle. This pattern, along with key support and resistance levels, is shaping TON's near-term destiny.

吨币（吨）正在经历一些动荡，所有人的眼睛都采用特定的技术模式：吞没蜡烛。这种模式以及关键的支撑和阻力水平正在塑造吨的近期命运。

The Engulfing Candle: A Battleground for Bulls and Bears

吞噬蜡烛：公牛和熊的战场

Remember that big green engulfing candle from June? Well, its bottom, around $2.68-$2.73, is now a critical support zone. CryptoChiefs on X (formerly Twitter) pointed this out, and it's a level many traders are watching closely. After a mid-June dip, TON bounced off this level, but since then, it's been stuck in a range between $2.73 and $2.90.

还记得六月的大绿色吞噬蜡烛吗？好吧，它的底部约为2.68-2.73美元，现在是一个关键的支撑区。 X（以前是Twitter）上的Cryptochiefs指出了这一点，这是许多交易者正在密切关注的水平。在6月中旬下降后，Ton弹起了这个水平，但是从那以后，它被卡在2.73美元至2.90美元之间。

Buyers have tried to push the price above $2.90 multiple times, but sellers keep pushing back. A recent red daily candle confirms sellers are still in control. Unless TON can close above the $2.91–$2.93 range, the overall structure remains bearish.

买家试图将价格推高超过2.90美元，但卖家不断推迟。最近的红色每日蜡烛证实卖家仍在控制中。除非吨超过$ 2.91- $ 2.93的范围，否则整体结构仍然是看跌。

Trend Analysis: Lower Highs and Lower Lows

趋势分析：较低和较低的低点

Zooming out, the broader trend isn't exactly screaming "bull market." TON is still making lower highs and lower lows, which is textbook downtrend behavior. Any short-term bounce is likely just that—short-lived. The move up after June 22nd looked promising initially, but it didn't last. As long as the price stays below that rejection zone around $2.91, it's tough to say the trend has shifted.

放大，更广泛的趋势并不是完全尖叫的“牛市”。吨仍在降低高潮和较低的低点，这是教科书的下降行为。任何短期反弹都可能就是这样 - 寿命。 6月22日之后的前进最初看起来很有希望，但并没有持续。只要价格保持在2.91美元左右的拒绝区以下，就很难说趋势发生了变化。

Key Price Zones: Where's the Support?

关键价格区：支持在哪里？

That shaded area between $2.68 and $2.73 is the main zone to watch. It was the base of the bullish engulfing candle, so it might act as support again. If TON dips into that zone, traders will be watching closely to see if buyers step back in. A strong reaction could lead to another short-term bounce. But if it breaks down, the next likely support could be around $2.55 or even $2.42.

在$ 2.68到$ 2.73之间的阴影区域是要观看的主要区域。这是看涨吞噬蜡烛的基础，因此可以再次充当支持。如果吨倒入该区域，交易者将密切关注以查看买家是否介入。强烈的反应可能导致另一个短期反弹。但是，如果破裂，下一个可能的支持可能约为2.55美元甚至2.42美元。

Analyst Insights and Price Predictions

分析师的见解和价格预测

Crypto analyst Nehal has identified four critical price zones using Glassnode data. These zones represent areas where large concentrations of Toncoin are held by investors:

加密分析师Nehal使用玻璃节数据确定了四个关键价格区。这些区域代表了投资者持有大量吨币的地区：

• $2.01–2.05 (1.32B TON)
• $2.18–2.22 (535M TON)
• $2.91–2.98 (863M TON)
• $3.83–3.87 (261M TON)

These levels often influence future price movements by creating support or resistance. DigitalCoinPrice is quite bullish, predicting TON could exceed $6.29 by the end of 2025. Changelly offers a more varied perspective, forecasting TON could reach as high as $11.17 by the end of 2024, but a more conservative $3.61 and $3.80 for June 2025.

这些水平通常通过创造支持或抵抗来影响未来的价格变动。 DigitalCoinPrice非常看好，预计到2025年底，TON可能会超过6.29美元。Changelly提供了更多种多样的视角，预测吨的价格可能会在2024年底达到11.17美元，但在2025年6月6月的3.61美元和3.80美元更为保守。

Final Thoughts: Keep an Eye on That Candle!

最终想法：请密切关注那支蜡烛！

So, what's the takeaway? Toncoin's price action is at a crucial juncture. The engulfing candle support is a key level to watch. If it holds, we might see another bounce. If it breaks, brace for further downside. Either way, it's going to be an interesting ride. Buckle up, crypto enthusiasts, and let's see where TON takes us next!

那么，收获是什么？吨币的价格行动处于关键时刻。吞噬的蜡烛支撑是值得关注的关键水平。如果它成立，我们可能会看到另一次反弹。如果破裂，请支撑进一步的缺点。无论哪种方式，这都是一个有趣的旅程。搭扣，加密爱好者，让我们看看Ton将接下来带我们到哪里！