为什么现在是积累比特币的好时机，因为“Uptober”和美国大选迫在眉睫

今天比特币跌至 5.4 万美元以下，这意味着 BTC 价格在过去 7 天内下跌了 10%。

Bitcoin price dropped to below $54k today and this means that BTC price is now down 10% in the last 7 days.

今天比特币价格跌至 5.4 万美元以下，这意味着 BTC 价格在过去 7 天内下跌了 10%。

However, if we look at the Bitcoin performance since the beginning of September, we can see that BTC lost 6.19% of its value. But, we can say this is typical for this month considering Bitcoin had a single-digit plunge in September in 2022, 2021, 2020, 2018 and 2017.

然而，如果我们看一下 9 月初以来的比特币表现，我们可以看到 BTC 损失了 6.19% 的价值。但是，考虑到比特币在 2022 年、2021 年、2020 年、2018 年和 2017 年 9 月出现个位数暴跌，我们可以说这是本月的典型情况。

In another tweet, Rekt Capital again reminded us that this is a halving year and we can therefore compare Bitcoin performance in September and October in halving years.

在另一条推文中，Rekt Capital 再次提醒我们，今年是减半年，因此我们可以比较减半年中 9 月和 10 月的比特币表现。

“2016: +6% September upside followed by +14% October upside

“2016 年：9 月上涨 6%，随后 10 月上涨 14%

2020: -7.5% September downside followed by +27.7% October upside

2020 年：9 月下跌 -7.5%，10 月上涨 +27.7%

2024: Currently -9% September downside… Potential double-digit October upside awaits.”

2024 年：目前 9 月下跌 -9%……10 月潜在的两位数上涨正在等待。”

#BTC Bitcoin is currently in a Halving year

#BTC 比特币目前正处于减半年

So it makes most sense to compare 2024 with previous Halving years

因此，将 2024 年与之前的减半年份进行比较是最有意义的

2016: +6% September upside followed by +14% October upside

2016 年：9 月上涨 +6%，随后 10 月上涨 +14%

2020: -7.5% September downside followed by +27.7% October upside

2020 年：9 月下跌 -7.5%，10 月上涨 +27.7%

2024: Currently -9% September… pic.twitter.com/PKQogNsiJf

2024 年：目前 9 月为 -9%…… pic.twitter.com/PKQogNsiJf

If Bitcoin is to follow October’s performance in halving years, it means that the BTC price at the end of next month could range from $61,200 to $68,500 levels.

如果比特币在减半年中遵循 10 月份的表现，则意味着下个月底的 BTC 价格可能会在 61,200 美元至 68,500 美元的水平之间波动。

Of course, historical performances don’t have to mean anything, these are only indicators.

当然，历史表现并不一定意味着什么，这些只是指标。

Bitcoin also tends to do well after the US elections. In 2020, the BTC price pumped from around $14,000 to $24,000 between US elections and the end of that year. (This represents a 71.4% increase). In 2016, the Bitcoin price pumped from $740 to $960 during the same period (a 30% increase).

美国大选后，比特币也往往表现良好。 2020 年，从美国大选到当年年底，比特币价格从 14,000 美元左右飙升至 24,000 美元。 （这意味着增加了 71.4%）。 2016 年，同期比特币价格从 740 美元飙升至 960 美元（上涨 30%）。

Despite the dip this month, Bitcoin price is doing fairly ok considering historically bad month for BTC and crypto and also constant Bitcoin ETFs outflows.

尽管本月有所下跌，但考虑到 BTC 和加密货币历史上表现不佳的月份以及比特币 ETF 的持续流出，比特币价格表现还不错。

The main point I am trying to get to here is that now might just be the time to accumulate Bitcoin. With expected jump in October and then after US elections, the king of crypto could be a hold until the end of the year where we could think about some profit-taking if we get to $80-85k area (which is possible when we look at previous halving and US election years).

我想说的要点是，现在可能正是积累比特币的时候。随着 10 月份以及美国大选之后的预期上涨，加密货币之王可能会一直持有到今年年底，如果我们达到 80-85k 美元的区域，我们可以考虑进行一些获利了结（当我们考虑时，这是可能的）之前的减半和美国大选年）。

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