以太币现货 ETF 获批可能会在 2-3 个月内将 ETH 推至 4000 美元，原因如下

截至发稿时，以太坊（$ETH）已跌破 3,200 美元，交易价格为 3,146.23 美元。这是在过去 24 小时内下跌 5.11% 之后的结果。

Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) price has fallen below $3,200 and was trading at $3,146.23 at the last check. This follows a 5.11% decline in the last 24 hours. It is difficult to pinpoint a factor behind this fall, but it is not wrong to assume that Spot Ether ETF is a golden egg for the community. It can trigger upswings and bull runs simply by securing the final nod of approval from the US Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC).

以太坊（加密货币：ETH）价格已跌破 3,200 美元，上次检查时交易价格为 3,146.23 美元。过去 24 小时内下跌 5.11%。很难确定这次下跌背后的因素，但认为现货以太 ETF 是社区的金蛋并没有错。只需获得美国证券交易委员会（SEC）的最终批准，它就可以引发上涨和牛市。

Spot Ether ETF has already received approval for Form 19b-4. The final registration Form S-1 could be approved as early as July 08, 2024. It was earlier speculated that the form will get a green light on July 04, 2024, but the timeline has been pushed to coming Monday as the next expected approval date for Ethereum’s native investment vehicle.

现货以太坊 ETF 已获得表格 19b-4 的批准。最终登记表 S-1 最早可能于 2024 年 7 月 8 日获得批准。此前推测该表格将于 2024 年 7 月 4 日获得批准，但时间表已被推迟到周一，因为下一次预计会获得批准以太坊原生投资工具的日期。

Another round has started, and traders are left to ponder the impact that the approval of Spot Ether ETF could have.

新一轮融资已经开始，交易者们需要思考现货以太坊 ETF 的批准可能产生的影响。

For starters, the approval will lead to an uptick in the token’s value. ETH could massively surge to $4,000 in the next 2-3 months. It will have to test a closer resistance first and may even test the patience of the community with a lower value. At best, it could breach the mark by the end of this year. That is something that will still instill a sense of optimism among retail and institutional traders.

首先，批准将导致代币价值上涨。 ETH 可能在未来 2-3 个月内大幅飙升至 4,000 美元。它必须首先测试更接近的阻力，甚至可能用较低的值来测试社区的耐心。充其量，它可能会在今年年底突破这一目标。这仍然会给散户和机构交易者灌输乐观情绪。

Second, approving Spot Ether ETF will reflect a sentiment of adoption and recognition. Thereby attracting more traders and investors to invest in the said ETF. This would, notably, also represent diversification in crypto ETFs. Most of them may certainly have invested in Spot Bitcoin ETF. Therefore, allocating a portion to Ether would enable them to create a secondary layer in their crypto holdings without holding or storing it in their wallets.

其次，批准现货以太ETF将反映出采用和认可的情绪。从而吸引更多的交易者和投资者投资该ETF。值得注意的是，这也代表了加密 ETF 的多元化。他们中的大多数人肯定投资了现货比特币 ETF。因此，将一部分分配给以太坊将使他们能够在其加密资产中创建第二层，而无需将其持有或存储在钱包中。

Finally, the inflow would demonstrate the demand for crypto ETFs. Spot Ether ETFs are predicted to fetch inflows between 20% and 30% of the Spot Bitcoin ETF. The first five months are projected to see inflows worth $3.1 billion or a maximum of $4.8 billion. The number of tokens that may move is between 800k and 1.26 million.

最后，资金流入将证明对加密 ETF 的需求。现货以太坊 ETF 预计将吸引现货比特币 ETF 的 20% 至 30% 的资金流入。预计前 5 个月的资金流入额为 31 亿美元，最高可达 48 亿美元。可以移动的代币数量在 80 万到 126 万之间。

Grayscale poses a threat of outflows via converting Grayscale Ethereum Trust into a spot investment instrument. The fee is anticipated to be higher to further support the outflows.

灰度通过将灰度以太坊信托转换为现货投资工具而构成资金外流的威胁。预计费用将会更高，以进一步支持资金外流。

Meanwhile, there has been a significant surge in 24-hour trading volume. Figures are up by 68.05% at the time of writing this article, while the market cap is down by 5.10%. Near-term predictions have lowered their values and are now hovering around $3,300 for the monthly high. The overall trend is bearish, and the FGI has rewarded 44 points amid the volatility of 3.75%. The 14-day RSI is 37.31.

与此同时，24小时交易量大幅增加。截至撰写本文时，该数字上涨了 68.05%，而市值却下降了 5.10%。近期预测已降低其价值，目前徘徊在月度高点 3,300 美元左右。整体趋势偏空，FGI在3.75%的波动中已奖励44点。 14 天 RSI 为 37.31。