Solana（Sol）价格将在2029年创下500美元的新记录，但直到找到一个新市场

宪章说，直到找到一个新市场，它的价格将不足以太性。

Activity on Solana has plummeted since the frenzy over memecoins quickly fizzled out earlier this year, an analyst at Standard Chartered said on Tuesday.

《标准宪章》（Standard Chartered）周二的一位分析师周二说，自从今年早些时候的狂热对索拉纳（Solana）的活动暴跌。

That’s bad news for the blockchain, which saw its moment in the sun earlier this year as users flocked to mint and trade joke coins on the network.

对于区块链来说，这是个坏消息，这是今年早些时候在阳光下看到的时刻，用户涌向网络上的薄荷和交易笑话硬币。

The good news? Solana is expected to hit a new record of $500.

好消息？预计Solana将获得500美元的新记录。

The bad news? It won’t happen until 2029, the analyst said in a note to investors.

坏消息？这位分析师在向投资者的票据中说，直到2029年才发生。

That’s because the network doesn’t have a new business engine as powerful as joke coins, the UK bank's analyst said.

英国银行分析师说，这是因为该网络没有像笑话硬币那样强大的新业务引擎。

While the memecoin frenzy proved the network’s ability to handle high trading volumes at low cost, recent data indicate that this trend has cooled dramatically, said Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets research at Standard Chartered.

Standard Chartered Digital Assets Research负责人Geoff Kendrick表示，虽然Memecoin Frenzy证明了网络以低成本处理高交易量的能力，但最近的数据表明，这一趋势已经大幅冷却了。

More than 70,000 memecoins were launched on Pump.fun at its peak on January 23, according to onchain data.

根据OnChain数据，1月23日在泵的峰值上启动了超过70,000个Memecoins。

That figure has since more than halved.

从那以后，这个数字已经减少了一半。

“If meme-related activity has peaked, then activity on Solana is unlikely to bounce back to its January 2025 peak,” Kendrick said.

肯德里克说：“如果与模因有关的活动达到顶峰，那么Solana上的活动不太可能弹回2025年1月的峰值。”

Solana’s native SOL token hit an all-time high of $293 on January 19, the day after President Donald Trump released his memecoin on the network.

1月19日，索拉纳（Solana）的祖国索尔（Sol）代币在1月19日的历史最高点上达到了293美元，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）在网络上发布了他的成员。

It’s trading at $177 on Tuesday.

周二的交易价格为177美元。

And until it finds its next niche, Kendrick predicts that the price of SOL will drag its closest competitor, Ethereum, for at least the next two or three years.

在发现下一个利基市场之前，肯德里克（Kendrick）预测，至少在接下来的两三年中，SOL的价格将拖延其最接近的竞争对手以太坊。

“Solana is in a difficult spot in terms of development,” said Kendrick. “It has proven its ability to handle large transaction volumes via memecoin trading, but that sector is now likely past its peak.”

肯德里克说：“在发展方面，索拉纳处于艰难的位置。” “它已经证明了其通过Memecoin交易处理大型交易量的能力，但该行业现在可能已经超过了其高峰。”

His predictions coincide with bettors on crypto prediction market Polymarket, giving Solana a 49% chance of breaking a new record in 2025.

他的预测与加密预测市场多个市场上的投注者相吻合，使Solana在2025年打破了新纪录的机会49％。

Kendrick identifies several key markets that can help Solana outpace its biggest competitor.

肯德里克（Kendrick）确定了几个可以帮助Solana超过其最大竞争对手的关键市场。

He highlighted trading and finance apps that demand high throughput, as well as social media apps.

他强调了需要高通量以及社交媒体应用程序的交易和财务应用程序。

Each of these sectors would leverage Solana’s advantages, said Hendrick.

亨德里克说，这些部门中的每个部门都将利用索拉纳的优势。

But scaling these businesses won’t happen overnight.

但是扩大这些业务不会在一夜之间发生。

“We expect Solana to underperform Ethereum over the next two to three years, before catching up in 2028 and ’29,” Kendrick said.

肯德里克说：“我们希望索拉纳在未来两到三年内表现不佳，然后在2028年和29年赶上。”