Solana (SOL) 会成为下一个获得现货 ETF 的加密货币吗？

在监管预期中，市场分析师热切等待 SEC 批准或不批准以太坊 ETF 的决定。分析师对潜在的批准押注很高，这在金融界掀起了巨大的波澜。

Market analysts are eagerly awaiting the SEC’s decision on whether or not to approve an Ethereum ETF, a move that could have far-reaching implications for the cryptocurrency market.

市场分析师正在热切等待 SEC 关于是否批准以太坊 ETF 的决定，此举可能对加密货币市场产生深远影响。

If an Ethereum ETF is approved, it could open the door for other altcoins to follow suit, especially those that are already well-established and have a large market capitalization. Among the altcoins that are being mentioned as potential candidates for the next spot ETF are Solana (SOL), Litecoin (LTC), and Dogecoin (DOGE).

如果以太坊 ETF 获得批准，可能会为其他山寨币效仿打开大门，尤其是那些已经成熟且市值较大的山寨币。被认为是下一个现货 ETF 潜在候选者的山寨币包括 Solana (SOL)、Litecoin (LTC) 和 Dogecoin (DOGE)。

Solana has been the subject of speculation for the next ETF, with BKCM CEO Brian Kelly suggesting in a CNBC interview that SOL could be a strong candidate. Rumors from Hong Kong also indicate that an issuer is preparing for a SOL ETF. However, Solana faces unique challenges as it is currently classified as a security by the SEC, which could complicate its ETF prospects.

Solana 一直是下一个 ETF 猜测的主题，BKCM 首席执行官 Brian Kelly 在接受 CNBC 采访时表示 SOL 可能是一个强有力的候选者。来自香港的传言还表明，发行人正在准备 SOL ETF。然而，Solana 面临着独特的挑战，因为它目前被 SEC 归类为证券，这可能使其 ETF 前景变得复杂。

Altcoins like Solana (SOL) could be added if an Ethereum ETF is approved, which could trigger a domino effect, leading to more spot ETFs for various cryptocurrencies.

如果以太坊 ETF 获得批准，则可能会添加 Solana (SOL) 等山寨币，这可能会引发多米诺骨牌效应，从而导致各种加密货币的现货 ETF 出现更多。

Solana is currently lacking a futures ETF in the US, which could be a setback in terms of acquiring an ETF approval. Moreover, a major ETF issuer has expressed disinterest in launching ETFs beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, which could further narrow the possibilities.

Solana 目前在美国缺乏期货 ETF，这可能会成为获得 ETF 批准的障碍。此外，一家主要 ETF 发行人表示对推出比特币和以太坊以外的 ETF 不感兴趣，这可能会进一步缩小可能性。

Despite these challenges, Solana might still be in the running for the next ETF, considering its popularity, market demand, and the recent approval of a Grayscale SOL trust.

尽管存在这些挑战，考虑到 Solana 的受欢迎程度、市场需求以及最近批准的 Grayscale SOL 信托，Solana 可能仍在竞选下一个 ETF。

On the other hand, some analysts believe that altcoins like Litecoin (LTC) or Dogecoin (DOGE) might be more likely candidates for the next spot ETF, due to their proof-of-work consensus mechanisms aligning more closely with regulatory expectations.

另一方面，一些分析师认为，莱特币（LTC）或狗狗币（DOGE）等山寨币更有可能成为下一个现货 ETF 的候选者，因为它们的工作量证明共识机制更符合监管预期。

Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart suggested that the CFTC approval of a futures ETF could benefit a Solana SPOT ETF. Moreover, the FIT21 Crypto Bill might expedite this process. However, Seyffart also noted a lack of demand for ETFs for other altcoins like LTC and DOGE.

彭博社分析师 James Seyffart 表示，CFTC 批准期货 ETF 可能有利于 Solana SPOT ETF。此外，FIT21 加密货币法案可能会加快这一过程。然而，Seyffart 还指出，LTC 和 DOGE 等其他山寨币的 ETF 缺乏需求。

Cinneamhain Ventures partner Adam Cochran suggested that Litecoin (LTC) or Dogecoin (DOGE) might be more likely candidates for the next spot ETF, due to their proof-of-work consensus mechanisms aligning more closely with regulatory expectations.

Cinneamhain Ventures 合伙人 Adam Cochran 表示，莱特币 (LTC) 或狗狗币 (DOGE) 可能更有可能成为下一个现货 ETF 的候选者，因为它们的工作量证明共识机制更符合监管预期。

At the same time, Bitwise Investment CEO Hunter Horsley argued against the need for separate ETFs for altcoins, stating that Bitwise’s 10 Crypto Index Fund already exposes investors to Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and the top seven other altcoins.

与此同时，Bitwise Investment 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 反对为山寨币单独设立 ETF 的必要性，表示 Bitwise 的 10 加密货币指数基金已经让投资者接触到比特币、以太坊、Solana 和其他七大山寨币。

Bitcoin maximalists, on the other hand, strongly oppose the potential introduction of a Solana ETF. “The Bitcoin Therapist,” a notable Bitcoin maximalist, raised concerns on CNBC, arguing that the inclusion of Ethereum in the spot ETF market has led to a flood of lesser-known cryptocurrencies, often called “shitcoins.” He believes that expanding the ETF market to include altcoins like Solana could further dilute the perceived value and legitimacy of Bitcoin.

另一方面，比特币最大化主义者强烈反对可能引入 Solana ETF。著名的比特币极端主义者“比特币治疗师”在 CNBC 上提出了担忧，认为将以太坊纳入现货 ETF 市场导致大量不太知名的加密货币（通常被称为“垃圾币”）泛滥。他认为，扩大 ETF 市场以纳入 Solana 等山寨币可能会进一步削弱比特币的感知价值和合法性。

However, the chance of an ETH ETF approval remains doubtful due to regulatory issues with Ethereum and Solana. If an ETF is approved, it signifies approval of their legal status, which could complicate the process in the US. It’s worth noting that Solana currently lacks a futures-based ETF in the US.

然而，由于以太坊和 Solana 的监管问题，ETH ETF 获得批准的机会仍然令人怀疑。如果ETF获得批准，则意味着其法律地位得到批准，这可能会使美国的流程变得复杂。值得注意的是，Solana 目前在美国缺乏基于期货的 ETF。