大量流星的白银市场

白银市场在本周内大幅上涨，尤其是在乌克兰被俄罗斯入侵的情况下，但这个市场已经发生了相当大的转变，因为看起来激烈的战争不会扩展到乌克兰边境之外。

Silver markets rallied significantly during the week, especially as Ukraine was invaded by Russian forces. However, this market turned around quite drastically as it now appears that the kinetic war will not expand beyond Ukraine’s borders. Furthermore, the sanctions that the West levied on Russia were somewhat mild, suggesting that they are essentially willing to give up on Ukraine and that we should not see any further major problems.

本周白银市场大幅上涨，尤其是在乌克兰遭到俄罗斯军队入侵之际。然而，这个市场发生了相当大的转变，因为现在看来，激烈的战争不会扩展到乌克兰境外。此外，西方对俄罗斯的制裁有些温和，表明他们基本上愿意放弃乌克兰，我们应该不会看到任何进一步的重大问题。

SILVER Video 28.02.22

银牌视频 28.02.22

It is important to note that the silver market was simply following the gold market in a flight to safety, but I believe that many of the people left holding the bag near $25.50 are likely retail traders. Silver is not a major alternative to gold in the safety trade, so even though gold also pulled back drastically, silver is going to fall much further. At this point, the market is likely to head toward the bottom of the overall range, perhaps eyeing the $22 level below. If all things remain equal, the metals market seems poised to pull back, and silver should be even more aggressive to the downside.

值得注意的是，白银市场只是追随黄金市场的避险情绪，但我相信，在 25.50 美元附近留下的许多人可能都是散户交易者。在安全交易中，白银并不是黄金的主要替代品，因此，尽管黄金也大幅回调，但白银还将进一步下跌。此时，市场可能会走向整体区间的底部，或许会关注下方的 22 美元水平。如果一切保持不变，金属市场似乎准备回调，而白银的下跌幅度应该会更大。

If we do rally to the upside and break above the top of the shooting star, it is likely that we could go searching toward the $28 level. That would obviously be in some type of massive panic, so I think at this juncture it is highly unlikely to see that happen. If we do break down below the $22 level, there is about a $0.50 barrier there that we have to slice through in order to go much lower.

如果我们确实反弹并突破流星顶部，那么我们很可能会向 28 美元的水平迈进。这显然会造成某种类型的大规模恐慌，所以我认为目前这种情况不太可能发生。如果我们确实跌破 22 美元的水平，那么那里大约有 0.50 美元的障碍，我们必须突破它才能进一步走低。

This article was originally posted on FX Empire

本文最初发表于 FX Empire

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