量化分析师 PlanB 表示，根据一项基准指标，比特币 (BTC) 仍有望达到 50 万美元

PlanB 在社交媒体平台 X 上告诉他的近 190 万粉丝，尽管比特币已经经历了数月的横盘整理，但他仍将其六位数的比特币价格预测加倍下注。

Quant analyst PlanB is still convinced that Bitcoin (BTC) is on track to hit $500,000 based on one key indicator.

量化分析师 PlanB 仍然坚信，根据一项关键指标，比特币 (BTC) 有望达到 50 万美元。

PlanB tells his nearly 1.9 million followers on the social media platform X that he’s doubling down on his massive six-figure price prediction for Bitcoin despite months of sideways movement.

PlanB 在社交媒体平台 X 上告诉他的近 190 万粉丝，尽管比特币经历了数月的横盘整理，但他仍将其六位数的巨大价格预测加倍下注。

Responding to a follower asking about BTC’s recent chop, PlanB says he still believes Bitcoin is on track to hit an average price of $500,000 between now and 2028.

在回答一位关注者询问 BTC 最近价格下跌的问题时，PlanB 表示，他仍然相信从现在到 2028 年，比特币的平均价格有望达到 50 万美元。

“Great question. The boring six-month trading range did not really surprise me. Of course, my hope was for a sooner pump. But I have become very patient: as long as Bitcoin stays within the (wide) flight envelope (which it does!) it’s all OK. So my target (since 2019) is $500,000 average for 2024-2028 halving period, with $250,000-$1 million range.”

“好问题。无聊的六个月交易区间并没有让我感到惊讶。当然，我的希望是尽快泵。但我已经变得非常耐心：只要比特币保持在（宽）飞行包线内（它确实如此！），那就一切都好。因此，我的目标（自 2019 年以来）是 2024 年至 2028 年减半期间的平均 50 万美元，范围为 25 万至 100 万美元。”

PlanB says that based on Bitcoin’s historical behavior after touching the 200-week moving average (MA), BTC may have somewhere between a 7 and 10x move approaching.

PlanB 表示，根据比特币在触及 200 周移动平均线 (MA) 后的历史行为，比特币可能会出现 7 到 10 倍的波动。

“Bitcoin increased 4x from the bottom in 2022 to now. Historically 7-10x follows from here. What do you think Bitcoin will do next 12 months?”

“比特币从 2022 年触底到现在增长了 4 倍。从历史上看，从这里开始是 7-10 倍。您认为比特币未来 12 个月会发生什么？”

The analyst also suggests that increased institutional adoption of Bitcoin won’t alter BTC’s course, but instead contribute to its market cycles.

这位分析师还表示，机构对比特币的采用增加不会改变比特币的发展方向，反而会促进其市场周期。

“No, I don’t think institutional investors like [BlackRock] change the pattern, they are part of the (adoption) pattern, we need them to continue the pattern!”

“不，我不认为像贝莱德这样的机构投资者会改变这种模式，他们是（采用）模式的一部分，我们需要他们继续这种模式！”

Bitcoin is trading for $63,588 at time of writing, down slightly in the last 24 hours.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 63,588 美元，在过去 24 小时内略有下跌。