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著名量化分析师 PlanB 预测,比特币 (BTC) 在当前市场周期中将大幅飙升,增长超过 400%。根据他的库存流量模型,PlanB 预计 2025 年的峰值价格至少为 50 万美元,有可能达到 60 万美元、70 万美元,甚至 100 万美元。尽管承认短期内价格可能下跌,但 PlanB 对比特币的长期前景仍然持乐观态度,建议在投资决策时保持耐心。

Quant Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Rally to Over $1 Million, Defying Market Skeptics
量化分析师预测比特币涨幅将超过 100 万美元,无视市场怀疑论者
Renowned quantitative analyst PlanB, known for his groundbreaking stock-to-flow model, has asserted with unwavering conviction that Bitcoin (BTC) is poised for an extraordinary rally that could eclipse $1 million in value.
以其开创性的股票流动模型而闻名的著名定量分析师 PlanB 坚定地断言,比特币 (BTC) 即将迎来非凡的反弹,其价值可能会超过 100 万美元。
In a recent strategy session with his vast YouTube following of 140,000 subscribers, PlanB emphasized his belief that the current bull market for Bitcoin is far from reaching its zenith. He cautioned against complacency with a price peak of $200,000, arguing that such an outcome would be deeply underwhelming.
在最近与拥有 14 万订阅者的 YouTube 广大粉丝举行的战略会议上,PlanB 强调了他的信念,即当前比特币的牛市还远未达到顶峰。他告诫不要对 20 万美元的价格峰值感到自满,认为这样的结果将非常令人沮丧。
PlanB's stock-to-flow model, which measures the scarcity of an asset by dividing its circulating supply by its annual production rate, provides a compelling basis for his bullish prediction. According to his analysis, Bitcoin is poised for an over 660% rally from current levels before the market cycle concludes.
PlanB 的库存流量模型通过将资产的流通供应量除以年生产率来衡量资产的稀缺性,为他的乐观预测提供了令人信服的基础。根据他的分析,在市场周期结束之前,比特币有望从当前水平上涨 660% 以上。
"The next top will not be in this year, 2024, but in the following year, 2025," PlanB asserted. "Some proponents have suggested a price target of $200,000, but as this chart demonstrates, that would pale in comparison to what the stock-to-flow model projects. We anticipate a peak significantly surpassing the $500,000 average, potentially reaching $600,000, $700,000, or even $1,000,000."
PlanB 断言:“下一个顶峰不会出现在今年 2024 年,而是出现在明年 2025 年。” “一些支持者建议将目标价格定为 20 万美元,但正如该图表所示,与库存流量模型预测的价格相比,这显得苍白无力。我们预计峰值将大大超过 50 万美元的平均水平,可能达到 60 万美元、70 万美元或甚至 1,000,000 美元。”
However, PlanB acknowledged that Bitcoin's ascent will not be without periodic setbacks. He forecasted multiple corrections in the coming months as the cryptocurrency navigates towards its ultimate target.
然而,PlanB 承认,比特币的上涨不会没有周期性的挫折。他预测,随着加密货币朝着最终目标前进,未来几个月将出现多次调整。
"Volatility is an inherent characteristic of the market," he cautioned. "The trajectory will not be a smooth, upward slope. There will be fluctuations, including dips of 20% to 30%. This is entirely normal. For the next 12 months, I intend to remain cautious and re-evaluate my strategy once the market transitions from a bull to a distribution phase."
“波动性是市场的固有特征,”他警告说。 “轨迹不会是平滑的、向上的斜坡。会有波动,包括 20% 到 30% 的下跌。这完全正常。在接下来的 12 个月里,我打算保持谨慎,一旦出现这种情况,我会重新评估我的策略。市场从牛市过渡到分配阶段。”
PlanB's bold forecast stands in stark contrast to the skepticism prevalent among some market analysts. Despite Bitcoin's recent rally to over $65,000, naysayers continue to question its long-term viability and intrinsic value. However, PlanB's rigorous analysis and track record as a highly respected quant analyst lend significant credibility to his bullish outlook.
PlanB 的大胆预测与一些市场分析师普遍持的怀疑态度形成鲜明对比。尽管比特币最近反弹至 65,000 美元以上,但反对者仍然质疑其长期可行性和内在价值。然而,PlanB 作为一位备受尊敬的量化分析师的严格分析和业绩记录为他的乐观前景提供了极大的可信度。
As the Bitcoin market continues to evolve, PlanB's unwavering belief in its potential growth serves as a beacon of optimism for investors who recognize the transformative power of this revolutionary digital asset. The cryptocurrency's journey towards $1 million and beyond remains a captivating prospect that will undoubtedly captivate the global financial landscape for years to come.
随着比特币市场的不断发展,PlanB 对其潜在增长的坚定信念为那些认识到这种革命性数字资产的变革力量的投资者带来了乐观的灯塔。这种加密货币迈向 100 万美元及以上的旅程仍然是一个诱人的前景,毫无疑问将在未来几年吸引全球金融格局。
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