Pyth Builds Bearish Momentum Before Unlock

Pyth Network (PYTH)

PYTH Coin price is currently at around $0.139 , which shows a slight recovery from yesterday’s lows. However, it’s important to note that PYTH has suffered significant decline from early December when it was trading above $0.55 . Additionally, there is impending unlock volatility to consider with more than $86M in tokens about to enter circulating supply.

The immediate support zone at $0.12 is pivotal to watch as it has held thus far. The next key resistances are :

$0.215 (23.6% Fibonacci) —> key breakout area

$0.275 (38.2% Fibonacci) —> observe for new momentum

The RSI at ~45.28 shows a slighter strength in momentum but still below the neutral-50 level. The CMF (around +0.08–0.12) indicates a steady inflow of capital which is encouraging. However, the OBV at ~1.07B is yet to recover to its recent high (around 1.2B) which suggests softer buying pressure persists.

The price is still under all major EMAs (20/50/100/200) which further indicates the bearish broader trend. If $0.12 breaks then next critical level on the downside is around $0.10 which could bring more selling pressure.

Overall the bias remains bearish heading into the unlock , unless PYTH can breakout above $0.215 sooner, if discounting any potential momentum flip /catalyst. Just watch most possibly for short squeezes , if sentiment turns.

Optimism (OP)

Presently, Optimism OP Coin is trading at around the $0.632 level. It has seen a long and slow decline from its peak of $2.773 in December 2024. Adding to volatility perceptions, a large token unlock at Block 16,494, occurs on May 31 (~386m OP worth ~$587m about to drop into networks).

The RSI indicator on the Daily chart below has nearly fallen to the oversold zone of ~36. This shows sellers are in control but opens OP up to a short term bounce potential should shorts become overcrowded.

The EMA 20/50/100/200 stack shows OP remaining in a down trend under all major averages, with bearish slope confirmation. Again, a meaningful recovery will require OP to reclaim at least the $1.071 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement).

On the volume side, our OBV has now made lower lows near |~415m| and deterioration has persisted. CMF has made lower lows as well recently, at around –0.04, which signals continued net capital outflows.

Structurally, OP’s price remains compressing within a descending channel / falling wedge and is testing the critical support zone of $0.545–$0.600. Should we break this level, the next downside risk opens up below the $0.50 range.

The first bullish signal we need to see would be reclaiming the $1.071–$1.4 resistance band (23.6–38.2% Fibonacci) which is no doubt going to be predicated on seeing some rotational volume and sentiment shift post the unlock.

Derivatives Insight: PYTH and OP Show Diverging Risks Ahead of Token Unlocks

PYTH Network (PYTH)

Coinglass data shows that PYTH’s aggregated open interest has fallen sharply from ~$80 million in December to around ~$40–50 million today, signalling that traders are de-risking ahead of the massive May 20 token unlock. Liquidation data shows limited recent action, but the last big wipeout in