币安著名交易员预测比特币 (BTC) 将在年底前创下历史新高

交易员 Alphawifhat 在他的社交媒体账户上表示，在经历了一段强劲的宏观看涨期之后，市场正在喘口气。

A prominent Binance trader is anticipating an all-time high for Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) by the end of the year.

一位著名的币安交易员预计，比特币（加密货币：BTC）到今年年底将创下历史新高。

What Happened: Trader Alphawifhat suggested on his social media account that the market is taking a breather following a period of strong macro bullishness.

发生了什么：交易员 Alphawifhat 在他的社交媒体账户上表示，在经历了一段强劲的宏观看涨期之后，市场正在喘口气。

He noted that Bitcoin has finally made an important higher high on a daily basis, after a series of lower highs since March.

他指出，自 3 月份以来，比特币在经历了一系列较低的高点之后，终于在每日基础上创下了一个重要的更高高点。

"The stars are aligned for Q4 to be bullish. Now is the time to have conviction in the projects you’re bullish on. Dips are for buying."

“第四季度的前景看好。现在是对你看好的项目抱有信心的时候了。逢低买入。”

His shopping list of cryptocurrencies includes, Solana (CRYPTO: SOL), Dogwifhat (CRYPTO: WIF), Pepe (CRYPTO: PEPE), Popcat (CRYPTO: POPCAT), Aave (CRYPTO: AAVE), Pendle (CRYPTO: PENDLE) and a few others.

他的加密货币购物清单包括 Solana (CRYPTO: SOL)、Dogwifhat (CRYPTO: WIF)、Pepe (CRYPTO: PEPE)、Popcat (CRYPTO: POPCAT)、Aave (CRYPTO: AAVE)、Pendle (CRYPTO: PENDLE) 和其他人很少。

Why It Matters: Alphawifhat highlighted that in the past decade, whenever September closed green, the period from October to December also closed green.

为什么重要：Alphawifhat 强调，在过去的十年中，每当 9 月收盘为绿色时，10 月至 12 月期间也会收盘为绿色。

The Federal Reserve’s easing cycle, China’s aggressive stimulus and the continued rise in global money supply correlates highly with Bitcoin’s price, according to the trader.

该交易商表示，美联储的宽松周期、中国的激进刺激措施以及全球货币供应量的持续增长与比特币的价格高度相关。

On the other hand, on-chain analytics provider CryptoQuant stated that active Bitcoin and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) addresses have been declining since early 2024.

另一方面，链上分析提供商 CryptoQuant 表示，自 2024 年初以来，活跃的比特币和以太坊（CRYPTO：ETH）地址一直在下降。

The current data shows a decrease in active addresses, from 1.17 million to 855,000 for Bitcoin and from 382,000 to 312,000 for Ethereum.

目前的数据显示，比特币的活跃地址从 117 万减少到 855,000 个，以太坊从 382,​​000 个减少到 312,000 个。

But for the bulls to dominate, new investor influx is a crucial point. Despite anticipation, the market did not rally following the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut.

但对于多头来说，新投资者的涌入是一个关键点。尽管有预期，但美联储首次降息后市场并未反弹。

Cryptoquant attributes this to the Fed’s ongoing quantitative tightening, which involves withdrawing liquidity from the market.

Cryptoquant 将其归因于美联储持续的量化紧缩，其中涉及从市场撤回流动性。

The provider believes that the Fed will eventually shift back to quantitative easing, pumping liquidity back into the market. If this happens, the long-awaited hype will arrive, leading to a rise in active addresses.

该提供商认为，美联储最终将转向量化宽松，将流动性重新注入市场。如果发生这种情况，期待已久的炒作就会到来，导致活跃地址增加。

What’s Next: The influence of Bitcoin as an institutional asset class is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga’s upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.

下一步： Benzinga 将于 11 月 19 日举行的“数字资产的未来”活动预计将彻底探讨比特币作为机构资产类别的影响。