Polymarket，Stablecoins和Genius Act：赌注是什么？

解码Polmarket对天才法案，Meme Coin ETF和怀俄明州的Stablecoin Play的预测。加密法规是要实现的吗？

What's cookin' in the crypto kitchen? All eyes are on the potential passage of the GENIUS Act, Wyoming's stablecoin experiment, and even the meme coin ETF buzz. Let's break it down, New York style.

加密厨房里的厨师是什么？所有人的目光都关注天才行为的潜在传递，怀俄明州的Stablecoin实验，甚至模因硬币ETF嗡嗡声。让我们分解，纽约风格。

The GENIUS Act: A Bet on Stablecoin Regulation

天才法：赌稳定法规的押注

So, the Senate passed the GENIUS Act, and now everyone's wondering if it'll actually become law. Polymarket, the online betting platform, has folks putting their money where their mouth is. Currently, the odds are at 89% that the GENIUS Act will pass both the Senate and House, and get signed into law before 2026. That's a pretty confident bet, right?

因此，参议院通过了《天才法》，现在每个人都想知道这是否会真正成为法律。 Polymarket是一个在线博彩平台，人们将钱放在他们的嘴里。目前，《天才法案》将通过参议院和众议院，并在2026年之前签署法律。

This GENIUS Act aims to regulate payment stablecoins, and Trump himself has urged the House to pass a "clean" version of the bill ASAP. No delays, no add-ons – just straight to his desk. If this happens, it could open the floodgates for companies to issue their own stablecoins. Apple, Google, and even Meta have been rumored to be eyeing the stablecoin space.

这项天才法案旨在规范付款稳定币，特朗普本人敦促众议院尽快通过该法案的“干净”版本。没有延误，没有附加组件 - 直接到他的桌子。如果发生这种情况，它可能会为公司发行自己的稳定币打开闸门。有传言说，苹果，谷歌甚至梅塔正在关注Stablecoin空间。

Wyoming's Stable Token: A State-Backed Play

怀俄明州的稳定令牌：一场国家支持的戏剧

Wyoming is diving headfirst into the stablecoin game with the Wyoming Stable Token (WYST). This token is a digital representation of the U.S. dollar, backed by state and fiat reserves. Governor Mark Gordon is talkin' about a "deliberate and conservative approach" to get it right, positioning Wyoming as a global finance and business hub. Senator Cynthia Lummis is also pushing for comprehensive market structure legislation to build on this initial step.

怀俄明州正在使用怀俄明州马stable代币（WYST）跳入Stablecoin游戏。这个令牌是以国家和法定储备为支持的美元的数字代表。州长马克·戈登（Mark Gordon）正在谈论一种“故意和保守的方法”，以使其正确，将怀俄明州定位为全球金融和商业中心。参议员辛西娅·卢米斯（Cynthia Lummis）也在推动全面的市场结构立法，以在这一第一步的基础上进行。

The WYST is set to launch on August 20th at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium in Jackson. Wyoming hopes to create securities, legal frameworks, and anti-speculation measures to keep things stable and viable long-term.

WYST定于8月20日在杰克逊的怀俄明州区块链研讨会上启动。怀俄明州希望创建证券，法律框架和反规范措施，以保持稳定和可行的长期事物。

Meme Coin ETFs: Seriously?

模因硬币ETF：认真吗？

Hold up, there's more. Meme coin ETFs might actually become a thing by 2026. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas thinks an actively managed meme coin ETF is a real possibility. Polymarket even predicts a 44% chance of a Dogecoin ETF approval by the end of 2025. Imagine an ETF that buys and sells meme coins based on their performance. Wild, right?

举起，还有更多。 Meme Coin ETF实际上可能是到2026年。彭博分析师Eric Balchunas认为积极管理的Meme Coin Coin ETF是真正的可能性。 Polymarket甚至可以预测到2025年底之前获得Dogecoin ETF批准的机会44％。想象一下，ETF根据其性能购买和出售模因硬币。狂野，对吗？

My Two Cents

我的两分钱

Okay, so here's the deal. The GENIUS Act has some serious momentum, and Trump's backing adds fuel to the fire. The fact that Polymarket shows such high odds of passage speaks volumes about investor sentiment. Wyoming's stablecoin initiative is an interesting experiment, but it's still early days. And meme coin ETFs? Well, that's crypto for ya – always keeping us on our toes. Balchunas's point on meme coins being ripe for active management due to their volatility actually makes a lot of sense.

好吧，这是交易。 《天才法》有一些严肃的动力，特朗普的支持为火灾增加了燃料。 Polymarket显示出如此高的通道几率的事实表达了关于投资者情绪的众多事实。怀俄明州的Stablecoin倡议是一个有趣的实验，但仍然是初期。和模因硬币ETF？好吧，这是Ya的加密货币 - 总是让我们保持脚趾。 Balchunas关于模因硬币的观点由于波动的波动而成熟，实际上很有意义。

The Takeaway

外卖

Whether it's betting on stablecoin legislation, launching state-backed tokens, or dreaming up meme coin ETFs, the crypto world is anything but boring. So, keep your eyes peeled, folks. Who knows what crazy idea will become the next big thing? In the meantime, I'm gonna grab a slice of pizza and watch the show. Later!

无论是押注Stablecoin立法，推出国家支持的代币还是梦想Meme Coin ETF，加密世界都丝毫无聊。因此，请睁大眼睛，伙计们。谁知道什么疯狂的想法将成为下一个大事？同时，我要抓住一片披萨并观看表演。之后！