Polkadot (DOT) 形成看跌头肩形态，价格可能下跌 50% 至 3.47 美元

截至发稿时，Polkadot (DOT) 的交易价格为 7.20 美元，24 小时内上涨了 2%。与此同时，山寨币的交易量下降了 9%

Polkadot (DOT) price movements have shown signs of slowing down over the last few days. After a 2% rise in 24 hours, DOT now trades at $7.20, while trading volume also saw a 9% decrease to hit $290 million, as observed on the one-day chart.

过去几天，Polkadot（DOT）价格走势出现放缓迹象。在 24 小时内上涨 2% 后，DOT 目前交易价格为 7.20 美元，而从单日图表来看，交易量也下降了 9%，达到 2.9 亿美元。

However, despite notching a 16% gain over the last seven days, bearish signals have emerged on Polkadot’s one-day chart, which could indicate an upcoming price correction.

然而，尽管过去 7 天上涨了 16%，但 Polkadot 的一日图表上出现了看跌信号，这可能预示着即将到来的价格调整。

Polkادت forms a head and shoulders pattern

Polkati 形成头肩形态

A closer inspection of Polkadot’s one-day chart reveals the formation of a bearish head and shoulders pattern. This pattern typically precedes a sharp downtrend.

仔细观察 Polkadot 的一日图表可以发现看跌头肩形态的形成。这种模式通常出现在急剧下降趋势之前。

As seen on the chart, DOT’s price attempts to rally toward the neckline, a crucial resistance level. Yet, multiple rejections at this resistance hint at a lack of activity among buyers.

从图表中可以看出，DOT 的价格试图反弹至颈线，这是一个关键的阻力位。然而，这种阻力的多次拒绝暗示买家缺乏活动。

If the resistance holds strong and DOT fails to break through, sellers are likely to enter the market, triggering a steep price drop of over 50% to reach the $3.47 support.

如果阻力位保持强劲且 DOT 未能突破，卖家可能会进入市场，引发价格大幅下跌超过 50%，达到 3.47 美元的支撑位。

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator tips south, revealing that selling pressure is higher than buying pressure, indicating a bearish momentum that could push DOT lower.

Chaikin 资金流向 (CMF) 指标向南倾斜，表明抛售压力高于购买压力，表明看跌势头可能会推低 DOT。

Furthermore, fading histogram bars on the Bollinger Band Trend indicator suggest a weak bullish momentum, which could also lead to a downtrend if buyers fail to re-enter the market.

此外，布林带趋势指标上的柱状图褪色表明看涨势头较弱，如果买家未能重新进入市场，也可能导致下跌趋势。

On the other hand, buyers might be waiting for a decisive breakout above the neckline at $7.56 to enter new positions. If this occurs, DOT could rally toward the next resistance level at $9.20.

另一方面，买家可能正在等待突破颈线 7.56 美元以建立新的头寸。如果发生这种情况，DOT 可能会反弹至下一个阻力位 9.20 美元。

Declining network activity could hinder gains

网络活动下降可能会阻碍收益

Polkادت’s network activity has shown signs of slowing down, which could potentially hinder further price gains. According to data from TokenTerminal, key network metrics like revenue and the number of users are now sitting at multi-week lows.

Polkati 的网络活动已显示出放缓迹象，这可能会阻碍价格进一步上涨。根据 TokenTerminal 的数据，收入和用户数量等关键网络指标目前处于数周低点。

Moreover, the number of daily active users on the network also dropped to 4,200, marking the lowest level in 30 days. Simultaneously, daily revenues fell to $1,118, indicating a reduced level of network usage.

此外，该网络的日活跃用户数也下降至4200人，创下30天来的最低水平。同时，每日收入下降至 1,118 美元，表明网络使用水平下降。

If the network fails to record an uptick in activity, it might amplify the bearish trends, ultimately pushing DOT prices lower on the charts.

如果网络未能记录活动的增加，则可能会放大看跌趋势，最终压低图表上的 DOT 价格。

DOT’s liquidation heatmap suggests…

DOT 的清算热图表明……

A glance at Polkadot’s liquidation heatmap reveals that there are no immediate liquidation levels closely above or below the press time price. This scenario might cause traders to not seek liquidity, which could lead to a price consolidation.

浏览一下 Polkadot 的清算热图就会发现，没有立即清算水平远高于或低于发稿时的价格。这种情况可能会导致交易者不再寻求流动性，从而可能导致价格盘整。

However, a hot liquidation zone is present at $6.80. If the price falls to this level, it could trigger a cascade of long liquidations that might push the price even lower.

然而，6.80 美元处存在热清算区。如果价格跌至这一水平，可能会引发一系列多头清算，从而进一步推低价格。