PI Network（PI）价格预测：令牌是否会从最近的80％下降？

PI网络最近承受着巨大的压力，未能跟上更广泛的加密货币市场恢复。

The price of Pi Network (PI) has come under significant pressure recently, failing to keep pace with the broader crypto market recovery. The token is currently trading at approximately $0.58, marking a decline of about 10% over the past week and 15% over the past month.

PI网络（PI）的价格最近遭受了巨大压力，未能跟上更广泛的加密货币市场回收率。该令牌目前的交易价格约为0.58美元，在过去一周中下降了约10％，在过去一个月中下降了15％。

This represents a substantial drop from its all-time high of $2.99, with PI now trading roughly 80% below that peak. However, despite the price decline, there are some potential signs of renewed interest.

这是其历史最高售价2.99美元的大幅下降，现在PI的交易低于该高峰。但是，尽管价格下跌，但仍有一些新的兴趣迹象。

Trading volume for Pi Network has surged by nearly 35% over the last day, surpassing $128 million. This surge in volume amid falling prices could indicate accumulation at lower levels and revived interest in the token.

PI网络的交易量在最后一天飙升了近35％，超过了1.28亿美元。价格下降的量激增可能表明在较低的水平上积累并恢复了令牌的兴趣。

The technical picture remains challenging for PI. The token faces strong resistance at the 50-day simple moving average, which sits around $0.82. PI is trading below several short-term moving averages, including the 10-day and 20-day, signaling a bearish trend.

PI的技术图片仍然具有挑战性。代币在50天简单的移动平均线下面对强烈的阻力，约为0.82美元。 PI的交易低于几个短期移动平均水平，包括10天和20天，这表明了看跌趋势。

Technical Indicators Showing Mixed Signals

显示混合信号的技术指标

The technical indicators for Pi Network present a mixed picture that may offer some hope for investors. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 38.7, which suggests that the token is approaching oversold territory but isn’t quite there yet.

PI网络的技术指标提出了一幅混合图片，可能会给投资者提供一些希望。相对强度指数（RSI）为38.7，这表明令牌正在接近超卖领土，但还不存在。

The price is currently close to the lower Bollinger Band, which could also indicate oversold conditions and potential for a bounce.

该价格目前靠近下Bollinger乐队，这也可能表明过多的条件和反弹的潜力。

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is showing early signs of positive divergence, which could signal that buyers are slowly stepping in. This is indicated by the MACD line turning up while the price is still falling, suggesting a slowing down of the selling momentum.

移动平均收敛/差异（MACD）显示出正差异的早期迹象，这可能表明买家正在慢慢介入。这是MACD线在价格仍在下降时出现的表明，这表明销售势头降低了。

These indicators together suggest that while the current trend remains bearish, there are early signs that the selling pressure may be easing. If PI can break above the 50-day SMA with strong volume, it could push toward the $0.85–$0.90 range.

这些指标共同表明，尽管当前的趋势仍然是看跌的，但有一些早期的迹象表明销售压力可能正在缓解。如果PI可以以强劲的量超过50天的SMA，则可能会推向$ 0.85– $ 0.90的范围。

A more significant rally past $1.00 would represent a major sentiment shift, especially if driven by substantial news or developments. However, if prices remain below key moving averages and selling pressure continues, PI could retest support near $0.55 or even fall to $0.45, close to its historical low of $0.40.

超过1.00美元的更大集会将代表重大的情绪转变，尤其是在大量新闻或发展的驱动下。但是，如果价格保持低于关键的移动平均值，并且销售压力仍在继续，PI可能会重新获得$ 0.55甚至降至0.45美元的支持，接近其历史低点0.40美元。

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator reveals that while Pi Network has seen some inflows, the reading remains in negative territory. This suggests that outflows still dominate, keeping downward pressure on the price.

Chaikin货币流（CMF）指标表明，尽管PI网络已经看到一些流入，但读数仍处于负面状态。这表明流出仍然占据主导地位，并降低了价格的下降压力。

For optimal performance, Chaikin Money Flow is used best in conjunction with other technical indicators and price action analysis. It provides valuable insights into institutional activity and liquidity flows, aiding in making informed trading decisions.

为了获得最佳性能，Chaikin货币流与其他技术指标和价格行动分析最适合使用。它为制度活动和流动性流提供了宝贵的见解，有助于做出明智的交易决策。

Token Dilution: Pi Network’s Biggest Challenge

令牌稀释：PI网络的最大挑战

One of the most significant challenges facing Pi Network is token dilution. In April alone, 21.4 million new tokens were unlocked, valued at approximately $12.3 million.

PI网络面临的最重要的挑战之一是令牌稀释。仅在4月，就解锁了2140万个新令牌，价值约为1,230万美元。

An estimated 131 million tokens are expected to be released every month for the next 12 months. This continual increase in supply could exert persistent downward pressure on the price unless demand rises or the team takes action.

预计在接下来的12个月中，估计每月将发布1.31亿个令牌。除非需求升起或采取行动，否则供应的持续增加可能会对价格持续下降压力。

The Pi Foundation currently owns more than 70 billion PI tokens, valued at over $40 billion. A targeted token burn could help address dilution issues and potentially support the price.

PI基金会目前拥有超过700亿个PI令牌，价值超过400亿美元。有针对性的令牌燃烧可以帮助解决稀释问题并可能支持价格。

Other potential solutions include implementing fee-burning mechanisms or adjusting the token release schedule.

其他潜在的解决方案包括实施收费机制或调整令牌发布时间表。

According to Alvin Kan, COO of Bitget Wallet, Pi Network needs to focus on several key areas to enable sustainable growth: increasing liquidity through expanded exchange listings, creating valuable real-world applications, applying balanced token economics, and developing integrations with DeFi and retail sectors.

根据Bitget Wallet的首席运营官Alvin Kan的说法，PI网络需要专注于几个关键领域，以实现可持续增长：通过扩大的交换清单来增加流动性，创建有价值的现实世界应用程序，应用平衡的代币经济学以及与Defi和Defi和零售部门的发展集成。

Another concern is Pi Network’s inverse correlation with Bitcoin, currently at -0.11. This means that as Bitcoin continues its ascent toward $100,000, Pi’s price could face additional pressure.

另一个问题是PI网络与比特币的逆相关性，目前为-0.11。这意味着，随着比特币继续提升到100,000美元，PI的价格可能会面临额外的压力。

Upcoming Events Could Spark Recovery

即将举行的事件可能会引发恢复

Two major upcoming events could potentially trigger a Pi Network price recovery in May 2025.

即将发生的两个重大事件可能会在2025年5月触发PI网络价格恢复。

The first is Token 2049, where Pi Network and co-founder Nicolas Kokkalis, who is a sponsor of the event, will have opportunities to connect with major exchanges like Binance, HTX, and KuCoin.

首先是Token 2049，PI Network和该活动赞助商的联合创始人Nicolas Kokkalis将有机会与Binance，HTX和Kucoin等主要交易所建立联系。

The second is the Consensus Summit scheduled for May 14-16, which could provide another platform for the Pi Network team to address fundamental issues and announce new developments.

第二个是计划于5月14日至16日举行的共识峰会，这可以为PI网络团队提供另一个平台，以解决基本问题并宣布新的发展。

For Pi Network to reverse its downtrend, it needs to breach the $0.8727 resistance level and turn it into support. This move would open the path for growth toward $1.00 and invalidate the current bearish outlook.

为了使PI网络扭转其下降趋势，它需要违反$ 0.8727的电阻水平并将其变成支持。这一举动将为1.00美元开辟道路，并使目前的看跌前景无效。

May 2025 could be a crucial month for Pi Network. Even though the token remains under pressure, the team could use conference appearances to

2025年5月对于PI网络可能是关键月份。即使令牌仍处于压力下，团队也可以使用会议出场