2024年NFT市场会卷土重来吗？

全球不可替代代币市场曾经让许多加密货币投资者成为百万富翁，但现在正在经历残酷的低迷

The global non-fungible token market, which once made many crypto investors millionaires, is now experiencing a brutal downturn, leaving another set of crypto investors bankrupt and others still holding worthless digital items. But, there have been rumours that NFTs will make a big comeback in 2024. In this article, we shall discuss whether the NFT market revival in 2024 is still a reality.

全球不可替代的代币市场曾经让许多加密货币投资者成为百万富翁，但现在正在经历残酷的低迷，导致另一批加密货币投资者破产，而其他人仍然持有毫无价值的数字物品。不过，有传言称，NFT 将在 2024 年卷土重来。在本文中，我们将讨论 2024 年 NFT 市场复苏是否仍然是现实。

Crypto And NFT Markets Are In Turmoil

加密货币和 NFT 市场陷入混乱

Data compiled by CryptoSlam.io, an on-chain crypto market data aggregator and non-fungible token explorer, shows that the crypto and non-fungible token markets are in turmoil. The ball started rolling last week when the United States government announced an unemployment rate climb to 4.3%, adding only 114k jobs, the slowest growth since 2022.

链上加密货币市场数据聚合器和不可替代代币浏览器 CryptoSlam.io 编制的数据显示，加密货币和不可替代代币市场正处于混乱之中。上周，美国政府宣布失业率攀升至 4.3%，仅增加了 11.4 万个就业岗位，这是 2022 年以来最慢的增长速度。

Things unravelled further when Japan’s central bank raised interest rates, triggering a global economic ripple effect that hit our stock and crypto markets hard. Yesterday, $1.2B vanished from the crypto market, while $1.4 trillion was wiped from the US stock market. In the past 24 hours, the global NFT market has recorded a trading sales volume of $13 million, down 3.93% from the past day.

当日本央行加息时，事情进一步恶化，引发了全球经济连锁反应，严重打击了我们的股票和加密货币市场。昨天，1.2B 美元从加密货币市场消失，而 1.4 万亿美元从美国股市消失。过去24小时，全球NFT市场交易额为1300万美元，较前一日下降3.93%。

During this period, Ethereum leads the NFT market with a $4.1 million trading sales volume. Solana and Mythos Chain blockchain follow Ethereum closely, with a trading sales volume of $3.2 million and $1.8 million. Solana and Mythos Chain-backed NFTs have surged 14% and 16,062%, respectively. The fallen giant Bitcoin takes the fourth position in daily sales volume with a trading sales volume of 1.8 million. Bitcoin NFT sales are down 40% from the past day.

在此期间，以太坊以 410 万美元的交易额引领 NFT 市场。 Solana 和 Mythos Chain 区块链紧随以太坊，交易额分别为 320 万美元和 180 万美元。 Solana 和 Mythos Chain 支持的 NFT 分别飙升 14% 和 16,062%。倒下的巨头比特币以180万的交易量占据日销量第四位。比特币 NFT 销量较过去一天下降 40%。

Is The NFT Market Revival In 2024 Still A Reality?

2024年NFT市场复苏仍是现实吗？

To find out whether the global non-fungible token market will retest another bull run before the end of this year, we will briefly return to the peak of NFTs in 2021 to explore and understand the reasons for the market collapse in 2022. Then, we shall look at its gradual recovery in 2023 and finally give a forecast for the current year.

为了了解全球非同质代币市场是否会在今年年底前重新测试另一场牛市，我们将简要回顾 2021 年 NFT 的顶峰，以探讨和了解 2022 年市场崩盘的原因。应该看2023年逐渐恢复，最后给出今年的预测。

NFTs rose to fame in 2021 and experienced an unprecedented surge, with trading volumes reaching $17.6 billion. At that time, many crypto traders thought that the interest in non-fungible tokens was just confined to a relatively closed group of traders who had little connection to the art world. A few weeks later, auction houses began to offer more NFT sales and create infrastructure and consistent offerings of this kind.

NFT 在 2021 年声名鹊起，经历了前所未有的飙升，交易量达到 176 亿美元。当时，许多加密货币交易者认为，对不可替代代币的兴趣仅限于与艺术世界几乎没有联系的相对封闭的交易者群体。几周后，拍卖行开始提供更多 NFT 销售，并创建此类基础设施和一致的产品。

Unfortunately, the global NFT market fell apart in mid-2022, leaving many non-fungible token collections shielding more than 50% of the floor price value. The once bustling NFT market took a nosedive in market capitalizations and trading sales volume, sparking widespread concerns and discussions about its future. The NFT downturn left many crypto traders retracting their stance on NFTs as viable investments.

不幸的是，全球 NFT 市场在 2022 年中期崩溃，许多不可替代的代币集合掩盖了超过 50% 的底价价值。一度热闹的NFT市场市值和交易量大幅下滑，引发了对其未来的广泛担忧和讨论。 NFT 的低迷让许多加密货币交易者收回了将 NFT 作为可行投资的立场。

Despite starting low, the NFT market showcased potential signs of revival in the last quarter of 2023, attributed to a bullish crypto market and the SEC’s approval of Bitcoin ETFs. The Bitcoin Ordinals resurgence and the growth of the Solana NFT ecosystem contributed to the renewed interest in NFTs, with weekly trading sales volumes surpassing $500 million in December 2023.

尽管起步较低，但由于看涨的加密货币市场和 SEC 对比特币 ETF 的批准，NFT 市场在 2023 年最后一个季度显示出潜在的复苏迹象。比特币 Ordinals 的复苏和 Solana NFT 生态系统的发展重新燃起了人们对 NFT 的兴趣，2023 年 12 月的每周交易额超过 5 亿美元。

Despite a prolonged decline and negative reputation, the global NFT market is predicted to make another comeback. The NFT market is expected to record around $2.4 billion in revenue in 2024. In an August 7 blog post, CryptoKaleo, a high-profile crypto & NFT analyst with over 643K followers on X, shared that he still believes NFTs will have another significant run this cycle. CryptoKaleo noted that NFTs need a small catalyst, and eventually, the rest will take care of themselves.

尽管经历了长期的衰退和负面声誉，全球 NFT 市场预计将再次卷土重来。 NFT 市场预计到 2024 年将创下约 24 亿美元的收入记录。在 8 月 7 日的一篇博客文章中，在 X 上拥有超过 64.3 万粉丝的知名加密货币和 NFT 分析师 CryptoKaleo 表示，他仍然相信 NFT 将再次取得重大进展这个循环。 CryptoKaleo 指出，NFT 需要一个小小的催化剂，最终，其余的都会自行解决。

I’m one of the crazy people that still believe NFTs will have another major run this cycle.

我是仍然相信 NFT 在本周期将再次大放异彩的疯狂人士之一。

Think back to late summer / early fall of 2020 at the beginning of the last bull market.

回想一下上一次牛市开始时的 2020 年夏末/初秋。

NFTs were irrelevant. Punks hadn’t done anything significant yet. Finding the next DeFi play was…

NFT 无关紧要。朋克还没有做出任何重大的事情。寻找下一个 DeFi 玩法是……

— K A L E O (@CryptoKaleo) August 7, 2024

— KALEO (@CryptoKaleo) 2024 年 8 月 7 日

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