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由于自2023年10月以来的性能,MACD(移动平均收敛差异)指标已成为发现Dogecoin价格周期动量转移的宝贵工具。
After trading in a relatively quiet range for much of April, Dogecoin has started May on a good note. The meme coin has surged over 33% this week, pushing above the $0.22 level due to a new wave of bullish momentum among retail and institutional traders.
在4月的大部分时间里,在相对安静的范围内交易之后,Dogecoin已经开始了五月。模因硬币本周飙升了33%以上,由于零售和机构交易者的新看涨势头,推动了高于0.22美元的水平。
Amid this recovery, technical indicators are flashing a familiar signal that has led to massive price increases for Dogecoin since 2024. The latest analysis from popular crypto chartist Trader Tardigrade has brought attention to a possible inflection point: a bullish MACD crossover on the weekly timeframe.
在这种恢复中,技术指标正在闪烁一个熟悉的信号,自2024年以来,Dogecoin的价格大幅上涨。受欢迎的Crypto Chartist Trader Tardigrade的最新分析引起了人们对可能的拐点的关注:每周时间范围内看涨的MACD交叉。
MACD Signal Returns, Points To Explosive Upside For Dogecoin
MACD信号返回,指向Dogecoin的爆炸性上升空间
Due to its performance since October 2023, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator has become a valuable tool for spotting momentum shifts in Dogecoin’s price cycles. It is now flashing bullish once again. The crossover, where the MACD line crosses above the signal line, has coincided with the beginning of powerful uptrends since the current cycle began in Q4 2023.
由于自2023年10月以来的性能,MACD(移动平均收敛差异)指标已成为发现Dogecoin价格周期动量转移的宝贵工具。现在它再次闪烁看涨。自当前周期开始于第4季度2023年以来,MACD线横越信号线上的跨界线与强大的上升趋势的开始相吻合。
According to Trader Tardigrade’s analysis, the last two confirmed MACD crossovers on the weekly timeframe led to rallies from $0.06 to $0.23 and from $0.086 to $0.48, respectively. Each of these rallies followed a period of deep corrections, similar to what Dogecoin has seen since March 2025.
根据Trader Tardigrade的分析,最后两个确认的MACD在每周时间范围内的MACD跨界车导致集会从0.06美元到0.23美元,分别从0.086美元到0.48美元。这些集会中的每一个都遵循了一段深度的校正,类似于Dogecoin自2025年3月以来所看到的。
The first MACD crossover in this cycle was in October 2023, which resulted in a 285% rally. The second MACD crossover was in September 2024, leading to an even bigger rally of about 460%, during which Dogecoin surged to multi-year highs of $0.48.
该周期中的第一个MACD跨界车是在2023年10月,导致了285%的拉力赛。第二个MACD跨界车是2024年9月,导致大约460%的拉力赛,在此期间,多霉素飙升至多年高点0.48美元。
The analysis also notes that these MACD crossovers occurred after a rounded bottom pattern. The current price structure looks like that setup, with a higher low rounded bottom and the blue MACD line about to cross to the upside of the orange line. This lends strong credence to the notion that Dogecoin could be on the cusp of another rally, especially as the overall crypto market sentiment is now positive following Bitcoin’s break above $100,000 again.
分析还指出,这些MACD交叉发生在圆形的底部图案之后。当前的价格结构看起来像是该设置,较低的低圆形底部和蓝色MACD线即将越过橙色线的上行空间。这对Dogecoin可能会在另一场集会的风口浪尖上表示强烈的信任,尤其是因为在比特币再次突破100,000美元之后,总体加密市场情绪现在是积极的。
Image From X: Trader Tardigrade
X的图像:交易者Tardigrade
Eyes On $1: Can MACD Rally Repeat One More Time?
$ 1:MACD Rally可以再重复一次吗?
Now that the MACD crossover is almost underway, the obvious question is whether this can cause Dogecoin to finally reach the elusive $1 mark.
既然MACD跨界车已经开始了,那么明显的问题是,这是否会导致Dogecoin最终达到难以捉摸的$ 1分。
The projected $1 target lies on a long-term ascending resistance trendline that guided the $0.23 and $0.48 tops this cycle. If the pattern holds, and Dogecoin’s MACD crossover plays out as it has in the past, the meme coin might be currently at the start of a third impulsive move. The analysis draws a projected trajectory that extends toward $1 by mid-year, following a path similar to the other rallies.
预计1美元的目标是长期上升的阻力趋势线,该趋势线指导了0.23美元和0.48美元的本周期。如果图案成立,而Dogecoin的MacD跨界也像过去那样发挥作用,那么Meme硬币目前可能是第三次冲动行动的开始。该分析借鉴了一条预计的轨迹,该轨迹延伸到年中,沿着类似于其他集会的途径延伸到1美元。
At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.2335, up by 3.4% in the past 24 hours and an intraday high of $0.2569.
在撰写本文时,Dogecoin的交易价格为0.2335美元,在过去24小时内增长了3.4%,盘中高点为0.2569美元。
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