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莱特币(LTC)价格形成看跌格局,与更广泛的市场调整保持一致

2024/11/05 07:06

莱特币 (LTC) 最近几周经历了显着下跌,与比特币自 10 月 30 日以来的六天下跌趋势密切相关。

莱特币(LTC)价格形成看跌格局,与更广泛的市场调整保持一致

Litecoin (LTC) has been experiencing a downturn in recent weeks, closely mirroring Bitcoin's six-day downtrend that began on October 30. However, LTC's downward trajectory started around Oct. 20. As of Nov. 4, 2024, LTC trades at roughly $65.33, indicating a 2.83% decrease over the past 24 hours.

莱特币 (LTC) 最近几周一直在经历低迷,这与比特币自 10 月 30 日开始的六天下跌趋势密切相关。然而,LTC 的下跌轨迹始于 10 月 20 日左右。截至 2024 年 11 月 4 日,LTC 交易价格约为 65.33 美元,表明过去 24 小时内下降了 2.83%。

This decline aligns with a broader market correction, with the global cryptocurrency market cap decreasing by 1.7% to reach $2.24 trillion.

这一下降与更广泛的市场调整一致,全球加密货币市值下降 1.7%,至 2.24 万亿美元。

On-chain metrics also underscore a bearish outlook for LTC. The Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of previously dormant tokens, has shown increased activity since late October. This suggests that long-term holders are potentially moving their assets to sell, increasing market supply and putting downward pressure on prices.

链上指标也凸显了 LTC 的悲观前景。追踪先前休眠代币动向的“消耗年龄”指标自 10 月底以来已显示活动有所增加。这表明长期持有者可能会出售其资产,从而增加市场供应并对价格造成下行压力。

Recent on-chain data highlights a bearish outlook for LTC. As observed in the chart, the Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of older coins, reveals increasing activity from late October. This indicates that long-term holders might be shifting their assets to sell.

最近的链上数据凸显了 LTC 的悲观前景。正如图表中所观察到的,追踪旧代币动向的“消耗时间”指标显示,自 10 月底以来,活动不断增加。这表明长期持有者可能会转移资产以出售。

As these tokens enter circulation, they contribute to the overall market supply, exerting downward pressure on prices. Notably, this metric is used to gauge the holding periods of LTC before being sold.

当这些代币进入流通时,它们有助于整体市场供应,对价格施加下行压力。值得注意的是,该指标用于衡量 LTC 在出售前的持有期限。

Furthermore, the Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) metric has recorded significant negative values, indicating that many LTC holders are selling at a loss. Such behavior often contributes to panic selling or capitulation, leading to further price declines.

此外,网络已实现损益(NPL)指标已录得显着负值,表明许多 LTC 持有者正在亏本出售。这种行为往往会导致恐慌性抛售或投降,导致价格进一步下跌。

These on-chain indicators, combined with the recent price action, suggest that LTC may soon face continued bearish pressure. Moreover, traders would likely factor in the impact of the US elections on Bitcoin and other tokens, which would probably lead to a decrease in the number of buyers entering the market.

这些链上指标,加上最近的价格走势,表明 LTC 可能很快就会面临持续的看跌压力。此外,交易员可能会考虑美国大选对比特币和其他代币的影响,这可能会导致进入市场的买家数量减少。

Meanwhile, LTC price has formed a bearish technical pattern, the ‘descending triangle,’ which could herald more bearish pressure for the LTC USD pair.

与此同时,LTC 价格已形成看跌技术形态,即“下降三角形”,这可能预示着 LTC 美元对将面临更大的看跌压力。

Analysts identify the descending triangle as a bearish continuation pattern, characterized by a descending upper trendline that compresses price action into lower highs, while a flat lower trendline provides weakening support.

分析师将下降三角形视为看跌延续模式,其特点是下降的上趋势线将价格走势压缩至较低的高点,而平坦的下趋势线则提供了疲软的支撑。

This setup intensifies selling pressure as rallies struggle to breach resistance, leading to progressively weaker buyer attempts. The battle between bulls and bears typically ends with a breakdown below the lower trendline.

这种设置加剧了抛售压力,因为反弹难以突破阻力,导致买家的尝试逐渐减弱。多头和空头之间的战斗通常以跌破较低趋势线而结束。

Traders estimate the potential downside by measuring the vertical distance from the highest point of the triangle to the flat support line, projecting this distance downward from the breakout point.

交易者通过测量从三角形最高点到平坦支撑线的垂直距离,并将该距离从突破点向下投影来估计潜在的下行空间。

LTC's price has dipped below the pattern in the past, briefly indicating a bearish breakout. However, bulls managed to push the price back within the pattern, raising the possibility of a bull trap.

LTC 的价格过去曾跌破该模式,短暂表明看跌突破。然而,多头设法将价格推回到该模式内,增加了牛市陷阱的可能性。

If Litecoin price confirms the pattern, the token could drop more than 59%, with a target approaching $27.

如果莱特币价格证实了这一模式,该代币可能会下跌超过 59%,目标接近 27 美元。

原文来源:coinchapter

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