莱特币 (LTC) 将于 2024 年 12 月面临调整，可能会下跌 45-60%

莱特币 (LTC) 的价格自今年迄今的低点 49.90 美元以来几乎翻了一番，看来将在 2024 年 12 月经历大幅调整

Litecoin (LTC) had an impressive run in 2024, almost doubling in value from its year-to-date low of $49.90, established three months ago. However, as we approach December, technical and macroeconomic factors suggest that LTC may be poised for a sharp correction.

莱特币 (LTC) 在 2024 年表现出色，其价值几乎从三个月前创下的年初至今低点 49.90 美元翻了一番。然而，随着 12 月的临近，技术和宏观经济因素表明 LTC 可能会出现大幅回调。

A Close Look At Litecoin’s Technical Picture

仔细看看莱特币的技术图景

A glance at the LTC/USD daily chart reveals that the cryptocurrency has been trading within the confines of a symmetrical triangle for the past few months. Resistance is pegged at around $100, while support is situated near $66.

浏览 LTC/USD 日线图可以发现，过去几个月该加密货币一直在对称三角形的范围内交易。阻力位在 100 美元左右，支撑位在 66 美元附近。

Despite several attempts to break out to the upside, Litecoin has consistently failed to cross above the psychological $100 level. Interestingly, the volume profile seems to be supporting the bearish case.

尽管莱特币多次尝试向上突破，但始终未能突破 100 美元的心理关口。有趣的是，成交量分布似乎支持看跌情况。

As Litecoin attempts to move higher, we can observe declining trading activity. This could indicate a lack of buying interest at current levels, increasing the likelihood of a pullback toward $66.12, the lower trendline of the triangle.

随着莱特币试图走高，我们可以观察到交易活动下降。这可能表明当前水平缺乏购买兴趣，从而增加了回调至 66.12 美元（三角形下方趋势线）的可能性。

In other words, we can expect to see LTC’s price drop by 30% before reaching the lower support level. A breakdown below this level could result in a further drop toward $40, which is aligned with historical support levels from 2020.

换句话说，我们预计 LTC 的价格在达到较低支撑位之前会下跌 30%。跌破该水平可能会导致进一步跌向 40 美元，这与 2020 年以来的历史支撑位一致。

On the other hand, if LTC manages to break out above the upper trendline, it could be setting its sights on $130. A close above this level would invalidate the bearish pattern and open up the possibility of a move toward $150.

另一方面，如果 LTC 成功突破上方趋势线，则可能将目标定在 130 美元。收盘价高于该水平将使看跌模式失效，并有可能升至 150 美元。

Macroeconomic Factors To Drive LTC Price toward $125 in Early 2025

宏观经济因素将推动 LTC 价格在 2025 年初升至 125 美元

While December 2024 may pose challenges for Litecoin, the outlook for 2025 appears optimistic, thanks to external catalysts such as Donald Trump’s anticipated market-friendly policies and the potential launch of a Litecoin-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF).

虽然 2024 年 12 月可能会给莱特币带来挑战，但由于唐纳德·特朗普预期的市场友好政策以及可能推出专注于莱特币的交易所交易基金 (ETF) 等外部催化剂，2025 年的前景似乎乐观。

Over the past year, there have been rumors circulating within the cryptocurrency community regarding the possibility of a Litecoin ETF. Now, it seems that these whispers may finally be coming to fruition.

在过去的一年里，加密货币社区内一直流传着关于莱特币 ETF 的可能性的谣言。现在看来，这些窃窃私语或许终于要实现了。

According to recent reports, a registration statement has been filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a spot LTC ETF. The proposed fund would hold Litecoin directly and track its daily net asset value based on the CoinDesk Litecoin Price Index (LTX).

据最近报道，现货 LTC ETF 已向美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 提交注册声明。拟议的基金将直接持有莱特币，并根据 CoinDesk 莱特币价格指数（LTX）跟踪其每日资产净值。

This marks a critical step toward expanding institutional access to LTC investments, as the SEC has previously approved several physically backed Bitcoin ETFs and spot Ether ETFs.

这标志着扩大机构对 LTC 投资的准入迈出了关键一步，因为 SEC 此前已批准了数个实物支持的比特币 ETF 和现货以太坊 ETF。

These developments pave the way for further integration of Litecoin into mainstream financial products, which could significantly boost its adoption and liquidity in 2025.

这些发展为莱特币进一步融入主流金融产品铺平了道路，这可能会在 2025 年显着提高其采用率和流动性。