Litecoin（LTC）社区欣喜若狂，因为莱特币（LTC）交易所交易基金（ETF）批准的可能性达到80％

Litecoin（LTC）社区欣喜若狂，因为莱特币（LTC）交易所交易基金（ETF）批准的可能性在PolyMarket上升至80％。

The cryptocurrency community is buzzing with anticipation as the probability of a spot Litecoin (LTC) exchange-traded fund (ETF) being approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) surged to 80% on Polymarket.

加密货币社区正在嗡嗡作响，因为被美国证券交易委员会（SEC）批准了PolyMarket上的80％的现货莱特币（LTC）交易所交易基金（ETF）的概率。

This surge in approval probability—up from 42% in January—has fueled bullish sentiment for Litecoin, often dubbed the “digital silver” to Bitcoin’s “digital gold.”

批准概率的激增（从一月份的42％起）激发了对莱特币的看涨情绪，通常将“数字银”称为比特币的“数字黄金”。

Why Is Litecoin ETF Approval Surging?

为什么Litecoin ETF批准会激增？

Litecoin, a proof-of-work cryptocurrency and a Bitcoin hard fork, is widely regarded as a commodity rather than a security, simplifying its path to ETF approval compared to other altcoins like Solana or XRP, which face regulatory hurdles. Such regulatory appeals have stemmed high approval odds for Litecoin ETFs.

莱特币（Litecoin）是一种工作证明的加密货币和比特币硬叉，被广泛认为是商品而不是安全性，与其他替代币（如Solana或XRP）相比，它简化了其ETF批准的道路，而ETF批准了，而Solana或XRP面临监管障碍。这种监管上诉阻碍了莱特币ETF的高度批准赔率。

Since the beginning of 2025, the push for a Litecoin ETF has gained significant traction, with major financial firms like Canary Capital, Grayscale, and CoinShares filing proposals with the SEC.

自2025年初以来，莱特币ETF的推动已获得了重大的吸引力，加那样的主要金融公司，例如Canary Capital，Grayscale和Coinshares向SEC提出建议。

Canary Capital’s filing, in particular, has drawn attention as it approaches a critical decision point. Unlike other altcoin ETF applications, such as those for XRP and Dogecoin, which faced delays, Canary’s Litecoin ETF proposal has not been postponed, raising hopes for early approval.

尤其是Canary Capital的申请，它在接近关键决策点时引起了人们的注意。与其他AltCoin ETF应用不同，例如面临延迟的XRP和Dogecoin的应用程序，Canary的Litecoin ETF提案尚未被推迟，这增加了早期批准的希望。

Litecoin Price Analysis

莱特币价格分析

LTC price has already started responding to the ETF buzz, breaking above the $100 price mark and surging nearly 30% in the past month. Throughout the month, its trading volume has also seen a significant surge alongside increased network activity.

LTC的价格已经开始对ETF的嗡嗡声做出回应，在过去一个月中，价格超过了100美元的价格，并飙升了近30％。在整个月中，其交易量也随着网络活动的增加而引起了巨大的激增。

At the time of writing, Litecoin (LTC) is trading at $99.99, showing a 2.22% decrease in the past 24 hours. It remains above the 200-day moving average ($97.50), a bullish indicator, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 45, indicating potential for further price increase.

在撰写本文时，Litecoin（LTC）的交易价格为99.99美元，在过去24小时内下降了2.22％。它仍然超过200天移动平均线（97.50美元），这是一个看涨指标，而相对强度指数（RSI）为45，表明可能进一步上涨。

Moreover, the Bollinger Bands are converging, which could lead to a sudden shift in volatility. If the optimism surrounding the ETF persists, this might propel LTC towards the next resistance zone at $120-$130. A sustained close above $105, supported by high trading volume, would confirm a continuation of the uptrend, targeting $150 in the short term.

此外，布林乐队正在融合，这可能导致波动率突然转移。如果围绕ETF的乐观情绪持续存在，这可能会推动LTC的下一个电阻区，价格为$ 120- $ 130。在高交易量的支持下，持续关闭的持续关闭额超过105美元，将确认上升趋势的延续，以短期为目标150美元。

Several analysts are predicting that the LTC price could rise to $150-$200 in the short term if the ETF approval momentum continues. Technical indicators like RSI and a bullish MACD crossover suggest room for further price increase, but resistance at $120-$130 is expected.

几位分析师预测，如果ETF批准势头持续，LTC价格在短期内可能会上涨至150- $ 200。 RSI和看涨的MACD跨界的技术指标表明了进一步价格上涨的空间，但预计抵抗力为120美元至130美元。

If the ETF approval decision is delayed until September-October, Litecoin can break through $255 in anticipation of the buying, but a rejection could cap gains at $90-$81, a key support range.

如果将ETF批准决定推迟到9月至10月，Litecoin可能会因预期购买而破产255美元，但拒绝可能会增加90-81美元的收入，这是一个关键的支持范围。