现在购买比特币（BTC）太晚了吗？

对于那些目睹比特币从小众实验发展成为全球公认的资产但尚未拥有任何资产的人来说，一个常见的问题出现了：它是否也是如此？

For those who have followed Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO: BTC) journey from a niche experiment to a globally recognized asset class yet do not own any, a common question arises: Is it too late to buy Bitcoin? Many potential investors hesitate, driven by the belief that Bitcoin’s price is too high and that the opportunity has been missed.

对于那些跟随比特币（CRYPTO：BTC）从利基实验到全球认可的资产类别的历程但尚未拥有任何资产的人来说，一个常见的问题出现了：现在购买比特币是否太晚了？许多潜在投资者犹豫不决，因为他们认为比特币的价格太高并且已经错过了机会。

No-coiners have been watching the price of Bitcoin increase from just a few hundred dollars to an all-time high of $99,658 in November 2024.

无币者一直在关注比特币的价格从几百美元上涨到 2024 年 11 月的历史新高 99,658 美元。

The truth is that Bitcoin’s price appreciation is far from over. While the days of exponential, early-adopter gains may be behind us, Bitcoin’s long-term potential remains noteworthy.

事实是，比特币的价格升值远未结束。虽然早期采用者指数级增长的日子可能已经过去，但比特币的长期潜力仍然值得关注。

This article aims to explore the psychology of investing, Bitcoin’s future potential, and why entering the market at current prices might still be highly profitable.

本文旨在探讨投资心理、比特币的未来潜力，以及为什么以当前价格进入市场仍可能获得高额利润。

Why New Market Participants Should Understand Bitcoin Before Investing

为什么新市场参与者在投资前应该了解比特币

Before investing in Bitcoin, the individual needs to study Bitcoin fundamentals. Many newcomers are drawn to Bitcoin (BTC) during bull markets, enticed by high prices and the allure of quick profits.

在投资比特币之前，个人需要研究比特币的基本原理。许多新手在牛市期间被比特币（BTC）吸引，受到高价格和快速利润的诱惑。

However, this often leads to buying at market peaks, followed by panic-selling during downturns, resulting in losses.

然而，这往往会导致在市场高峰时买入，然后在低迷时期恐慌性抛售，从而造成损失。

Warren Buffett, the renowned investor, advises investors not to invest in a business they don’t understand. Buffett’s principle is especially applicable to Bitcoin.

著名投资家沃伦·巴菲特建议投资者不要投资他们不了解的企业。巴菲特的原则尤其适用于比特币。

Investors should learn to buy Bitcoin to hold it for at least four years , participating in at least one complete cycle to reduce the risk of panic-selling during bear markets.

投资者应该学会购买比特币并持有至少四年，参与至少一个完整的周期，以减少熊市期间恐慌性抛售的风险。

The Psychology of Hesitation: Why You’re Not Too Late

犹豫心理：为什么你还不算太晚

New buyers of Bitcoin should not compare to others who acquired Bitcoin at $100, $1,000, or even $10,000, this thought often makes current prices, in late 2024, around $95,000 intimidating. Comparing a potential entry point to someone who bought years ago is not considering the larger picture.

比特币的新买家不应该与以 100 美元、1,000 美元甚至 10,000 美元购买比特币的其他人进行比较，这种想法常常使得 2024 年底的当前价格约为 95,000 美元令人生畏。将潜在的切入点与几年前购买的人进行比较并没有考虑到更大的前景。

Those early investors who are sitting on significant gains have likely faced their own doubts and fears when they invested. At the time, many questioned whether Bitcoin would even survive. Today, the conversation has shifted. Bitcoin is no longer a fringe idea!

那些坐拥巨大收益的早期投资者在投资时可能也面临着自己的疑虑和恐惧。当时，许多人质疑比特币是否还能生存。今天，话题发生了变化。比特币不再是一个边缘想法！

Bitcoin is a globally recognized store-of-value that is often compared to gold. Institutional investors, governments, and even Fortune 500 companies, like Tesla, are integrating Bitcoin into portfolios and balance sheets by purchasing spot Bitcoin ETFs.

比特币是一种全球公认的价值储存手段，经常与黄金相比较。机构投资者、政府，甚至像特斯拉这样的财富 500 强公司，都在通过购买现货比特币 ETF 将比特币纳入投资组合和资产负债表中。

Bitcoin Adoption Outpaces the Internet: Why We’re Still Early in the Growth Curve

比特币的采用速度超过了互联网：为什么我们仍处于增长曲线的早期

When comparing the Internet and Bitcoin adoption, Bitcoin looks as though it is outpacing the Internet in adoption growth, highlighting how early we are in its global journey.

在比较互联网和比特币的采用情况时，比特币的采用增长速度似乎超过了互联网，这突显了我们在其全球之旅中还处于早期阶段。

The chart below illustrates how Bitcoin is mimicking the 1999-2001 era of the Internet before Meta (NASDAQ:META) (Facebook) and other tech giants came to be.

下图展示了比特币如何模仿 1999-2001 年 Meta（纳斯达克股票代码：META）（Facebook）和其他科技巨头出现之前的互联网时代。

By 2023, Bitcoin had already reached 250 million users, a steeper growth curve compared to the Internet at a similar stage of its development.

到 2023 年，比特币的用户数量已达到 2.5 亿，与处于类似发展阶段的互联网相比，增长曲线更为陡峭。

Despite Bitcoin’s rapid expansion, Bitcoin's adoption rate is only around 6% of the global population, leaving huge room for growth as Bitcoin financial products are rolled out over the next decade. Bitcoin, as a store-of-value and the first Proof-of-Work (PoW) digital gold, is its most recognized role. However, its broader potential as a platform for trust and decentralized systems is only starting to emerge.

尽管比特币扩张迅速，但比特币的采用率仅占全球人口的 6% 左右，随着未来十年比特币金融产品的推出，留下了巨大的增长空间。比特币作为一种价值储存手段和第一个工作量证明（PoW）数字黄金，是其最受认可的角色。然而，它作为信任和去中心化系统平台的更广泛潜力才刚刚开始显现。

Why Patience Pays: Timing Your Bitcoin Investment With Bear Markets for Maximum Gains

为什么耐心是值得的：在熊市中选择比特币投资以获得最大收益

At $100,000, Bitcoin may seem expensive, but when a new participant considers Bitcoin’s potential to reach significantly higher valuations, like a million dollars, it’s clear Bitcoin’s price is still on the lower side. However, individuals who are convinced they want to enter the market, after studying Bitcoin, may benefit from the act of patience.

10 万美元的比特币可能看起来很昂贵，但当新参与者考虑到比特币有潜力达到更高的估值（例如 100 万美元）时，很明显比特币的价格仍然处于较低水平。然而，在研究了比特币之后确信自己想要进入市场的个人可能会从耐心的行为中受益。

Instead of rushing into a position as the price is climbing, individuals should consider using this time to observe the market and learn more about Bitcoin’s fundamentals whilst waiting for an ideal entry point.

个人不应在价格上涨时急于建仓，而应考虑利用这段时间观察市场并更多地了解比特币的基本面，同时等待理想的切入点。

Timing a purchase during a market correction, such as a cycle bear market or price consolidation phase, can provide a huge strategic advantage to maximize gains.

在市场调整期间（例如周期熊市或价格盘整阶段）选择购买时机可以提供巨大的战略优势，以实现收益最大化。

Bitcoin’s Future: A Roadmap to Growth

比特币的未来：增长路线图

Many prominent figures in the crypto space have made bold predictions about where Bitcoin could go in the coming years. For example, Michael Saylor, a well-known Bitcoin advocate, has suggested that Bitcoin could eventually reach $13 million per coin. Bitcoin’s growth might go as follows:

加密领域的许多知名人士都对比特币未来几年的走向做出了大胆的预测。例如，著名的比特币倡导者 Michael Saylor 表示，比特币最终可能达到每枚 1300 万美元。比特币的增长可能如下：

Short-Term Growth

短期增长

With Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in late 2024, many proponents of the Power Law and Stock-to-Flow model anticipate Bitcoin could peak at $200,000 or higher in 2025.

随着比特币在 2024 年底达到 10 万美元，幂律和存量流量模型的许多支持者预计比特币可能在 2025 年达到 20 万美元或更高的峰值。