Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR) 代币形成看涨图表模式时的价格预测

随着加密行业前景恶化，Hedera Hashgraph 价格最近几天大幅下跌。

The price of Hedera Hashgraph (CRYPTO: HBAR) has declined sharply in recent days, mirroring a broader sell-off in the cryptocurrency market.

Hedera Hashgraph（加密货币：HBAR）的价格最近几天大幅下跌，反映出加密货币市场更广泛的抛售。

What Happened: HBAR fell to a daily low of $0.2483 on Friday morning. The token price has ranged from a low of $0.247 and a high of $0.26 over the past 24 hours.

发生了什么：周五上午 HBAR 跌至每日低点 0.2483 美元。过去 24 小时内，代币价格从最低 0.247 美元到最高 0.26 美元不等。

Bitcoin and Ethereum, the world’s two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, also saw sell-offs on Friday. BTC traded down 3.3% to the $41,000 level and ETH fell 3.6% to $2,900.

全球市值最大的两种加密货币比特币和以太坊周五也出现抛售。 BTC 下跌 3.3%，至 41,000 美元水平，ETH 下跌 3.6%，至 2,900 美元。

The majority of the top 100 cryptocurrencies saw sell-offs on Friday, bringing the total cryptocurrency market capitalization to $3.24 trillion.

周五，排名前 100 的加密货币中的大多数都出现抛售，使加密货币总市值达到 3.24 万亿美元。

DeFi Impact: A key factor impacting Hedera is a decline in the total value locked, or TVL, within its decentralized finance ecosystem.

DeFi 影响：影响 Hedera 的一个关键因素是其去中心化金融生态系统中锁定的总价值（TVL）的下降。

According to data from DeFi Llama, the total HBAR locked in DeFi protocols has dropped to 675 million tokens. The TVL reached a high of 1.35 billion tokens earlier in the year.

根据 DeFi Llama 的数据，DeFi 协议中锁定的 HBAR 总量已降至 6.75 亿个代币。今年早些时候，TVL 达到了 13.5 亿代币的高位。

In U.S. dollar terms, the TVL on Hedera has fallen from a high of $209 million on Dec. 3 to $165 million at the time of writing.

以美元计算，Hedera 的 TVL 已从 12 月 3 日的高位 2.09 亿美元降至撰写本文时的 1.65 亿美元。

The decline in TVL suggests investors are pulling capital from decentralized applications on Hedera, such as SaucerSwap, Bonzo Finance, and HbarSuite.

TVL 的下降表明投资者正在从 Hedera 上的去中心化应用程序（例如 SaucerSwap、Bonzo Finance 和 HbarSuite）中撤资。

Capital flight from DeFi protocols on Hedera is part of a broader trend. Other major blockchain networks, including Cardano, Ethereum, and Solana, also saw capital outflows in recent days.

Hedera 上 DeFi 协议的资本外逃是更广泛趋势的一部分。其他主要区块链网络，包括卡尔达诺、以太坊和 Solana，最近几天也出现了资本外流。

Investors historically flock to decentralized applications and protocols during periods of strength in the broader cryptocurrency market. In turn, capital tends to exit these applications during periods of weakness.

历史上，在更广泛的加密货币市场走强时期，投资者会涌向去中心化应用程序和协议。反过来，资本往往会在经济疲软时期退出这些应用程序。

Hedera Outlook: Despite the near-term sell-off, Hedera Hashgraph has several bullish catalysts that could drive its price higher over the long term.

Hedera 展望：尽管近期出现抛售，但 Hedera Hashgraph 仍有一些看涨催化剂，可能会推动其价格在长期内走高。

The network boasts partnerships with major global companies, including IBM and Google, both of which are members of Hedera’s governing council.

该网络与 IBM 和谷歌等全球主要公司建立了合作伙伴关系，这两家公司都是 Hedera 管理委员会的成员。

Hedera is also positioning itself as a key player in the Real World Asset tokenization industry. Tokenization refers to the process of converting illiquid assets into liquid ones that can be easily moved and traded.

Hedera 还将自己定位为现实世界资产代币化行业的关键参与者。代币化是指将非流动性资产转换为易于移动和交易的流动性资产的过程。

Hedera’s fast transaction speeds and low transaction costs make it an attractive option for developers in this space.

Hedera 快速的交易速度和低廉的交易成本使其成为该领域开发商的有吸引力的选择。

Another potential catalyst for HBAR is the possibility of the Securities and Exchange Commission approving a spot HBAR exchange-traded fund in 2025.

HBAR 的另一个潜在催化剂是美国证券交易委员会可能在 2025 年批准现货 HBAR 交易所交易基金。

According to a senior Bloomberg analyst, the SEC may approve the ETF since it does not classify HBAR as a security.

彭博社的一位高级分析师表示，SEC 可能会批准该 ETF，因为它没有将 HBAR 归类为证券。

Chart View: HBAR is trading above the 50-day moving average on Friday.

图表视图：周五 HBAR 交投于 50 日移动均线之上。

The token also trades at the major pivot point of the Murrey Math Lines at $0.1953, which is a level of key support and resistance.

该代币还在 Murrey Math Lines 的主要枢轴点 0.1953 美元处交易，这是关键支撑和阻力位。

The daily chart of HBAR shows the token is forming a bullish falling wedge pattern, which typically forms as an asset consolidates between two falling trendlines. A bullish breakout often occurs when the two lines converge.

HBAR 的日线图显示，该代币正在形成看涨的下降楔形模式，该模式通常是在资产在两条下降趋势线之间盘整时形成的。当两条线收敛时，通常会发生看涨突破。

Additionally, HBAR is forming a bullish pennant pattern, which is characterized by a long upward trendline followed by consolidation. This pattern also often leads to a strong bullish breakout over time.

此外，HBAR 正在形成看涨三角旗模式，其特点是较长的上升趋势线，随后是盘整。随着时间的推移，这种模式也常常导致强劲的看涨突破。

A contrarian case can be made for Hedera’s price. If the bullish patterns hold, HBAR could rebound and retest the year-to-date high of $0.3940, which would represent a potential gain of around 66% from the current price level.

可以对 Hedera 的价格提出一个反向案例。如果看涨模式持续下去，HBAR 可能会反弹并重新测试今年迄今的高点 0.3940 美元，这将意味着较当前价格水平潜在上涨约 66%。

However, the bullish outlook would be invalidated if HBAR trades down to the major S&R level at $0.20.

然而，如果 HBAR 跌至主要 S&R 水平 0.20 美元，看涨前景将失效。