比特币发生了什么？分析师消除了对比特币恢复的疑虑

Willy Woo 等专家相信他们已经找到了答案，其中包括危险的押注和比特币矿工减半后的重组。

Bitcoin noticed a partial restoration over the weekend, closing at $58,250, simply shy of the goal of $58,450. Nonetheless, the market continues to be treading cautiously because of the German authorities promoting its seized Bitcoin, which raises the specter of potential additional gross sales from their reserves.

比特币在周末出现部分恢复，收于 58,250 美元，略低于 58,450 美元的目标。尽管如此，市场仍然谨慎行事，因为德国当局推销其扣押的比特币，这引发了对其储备可能出现额外销售的担忧。

Associated Studying: Bitcoin Mining Issue Drops For First Time In 2023, Hash Charge Slips Under 600 EHash/s

相关研究：比特币挖矿发行量 2023 年首次下降，算力跌破 600 EHash/s

However what precisely is happening with Bitcoin? In keeping with the analyst, the reply lies in a mix of dangerous bets and a post-halving shakeup amongst Bitcoin miners. However might one thing extra elementary be at play?

但比特币到底发生了什么？这位分析师表示，答案在于危险的押注和比特币矿工减半后的重组。但可能有一件更基本的事情在起作用吗？

Let’s dive deeper to find what Woo says and why a possible rebound may very well be on the horizon.

让我们更深入地了解吴所说的话，以及为什么反弹很可能即将到来。

Bitcoin Worth Evaluation: Purchase Extra, Maintain, Or Promote?

比特币价值评估：额外购买、维护还是推广？

Woo begins by highlighting the German authorities promoting confiscated Bitcoin, a transfer that he describes as “ironic” and sure to have a long-term bullish impression regardless of quick market considerations.

吴首先强调了德国当局推销没收的比特币，他将这种转移描述为“具有讽刺意味”，并且无论市场的快速考虑如何，都肯定会产生长期看涨的印象。

He additional up to date that Mt. Gox Bitcoin distribution, with 2.7k BTC already distributed and 139k BTC remaining, serves as an indication of an extra market crash.

他还补充说，Mt. Gox 的比特币分配情况已经分配了 2700 个 BTC，剩余 139000 个 BTC，这表明市场将进一步崩溃。

As famous by Woo, ETFs have been slowly shopping for the dip, indicating an early accumulation section characterised by low volatility and Bitcoin flowing out of exchanges. In keeping with his evaluation, paper bets have created an extra 140,000 BTC, impacting market dynamics considerably in comparison with the ten,000 BTC offered by the German authorities.

正如 Woo 所说，ETF 一直在缓慢买入下跌，这表明早期积累阶段的特点是低波动性和比特币流出交易所。根据他的评估，纸质投注创造了额外的 140,000 BTC，与德国当局提供的 10,000 BTC 相比，对市场动态的影响相当大。

Taking a look at the present state of affairs, Woo predicts that Bitcoin’s worth may rise to $77K by concentrating on quick positions or fall to $47K on account of potential downward strain. The important thing query stays: which path will the market select?

考虑到目前的状况，Woo 预测，通过集中快速头寸，比特币的价值可能会上涨至 7.7 万美元，或者由于潜在的下行压力而下跌至 4.7 万美元。重要的问题仍然是：市场将选择哪条路径？

Historic Patterns Publish-Halving: What’s Subsequent For Bitcoin?

历史模式发布减半：比特币接下来会发生什么？

Regardless of native bearish indicators, Woo’s danger sign doesn’t point out a bear market, a conclusion supported by bullish conventional monetary markets. He provides that long-term traders can revenue from the deep consolidation section, which is meant to liquidate merchants and trigger most ache.

不管本土的看跌指标如何，吴的危险信号并没有指出熊市，这一结论得到了看涨的传统货币市场的支持。他表示，长期交易者可以从深度整合部分获得收入，该部分旨在清算交易者并引发最大的痛苦。

Woo concludes by suggesting warning for these contemplating leverage buying and selling, recommending ready for a hash price bounce and favoring spot margin buying and selling over futures to mitigate dangers related to excessive hypothesis.

吴最后建议对那些考虑杠杆买卖的人发出警告，建议为哈希价格反弹做好准备，并支持现货保证金买卖而不是期货，以减轻与过度假设相关的风险。

After reaching a file excessive on April 27, the hash price fell 7.7% to 576 EH/s, a four-month low. This discount showcases some miners are reducing operations, reflecting post-halving monetary stress.

在 4 月 27 日达到超额后，哈希价格下跌 7.7% 至 576 EH/s，为四个月低点。这一折扣表明一些矿商正在减少运营，反映出减半后的货币压力。

Bitcoin Worth Drops Under $60K, Whereas Hash Charge Slips Beneath 600 EHash/s – Extra Worth Drops Coming?

比特币价值跌破 6 万美元，而算力跌破 600 EHash/s – 额外的价值下跌即将到来？

Following the final Bitcoin halving on April 19, 2023, historic patterns counsel there could be extra declines forward. Primarily based on these tendencies, analyst Peter Brandt warns that Bitcoin might face additional drops.

继 2023 年 4 月 19 日比特币最终减半之后，历史模式表明未来可能会进一步下跌。基于这些趋势，分析师彼得·布兰特警告说，比特币可能会面临进一步的下跌。

In keeping with analyst Ali Martinez, for Bitcoin to start out rising once more, it wants to achieve $61,000, because it presently lacks sturdy help ranges.

分析师阿里·马丁内斯 (Ali Martinez) 表示，比特币要想再次开始上涨，需要达到 61,000 美元，因为它目前缺乏强劲的支撑区间。

Discovering The Silver Lining

发现一线希望

Regardless of challenges, Willy Woo stays cautiously optimistic. He views the present part as a obligatory adjustment interval, significantly for weaker miners.

尽管面临挑战，吴威利仍保持谨慎乐观。他将当前部分视为强制性调整间隔，对于实力较弱的矿商而言尤其如此。

Earlier than a sustainable rally can happen, Woo suggests the market must handle extreme futures open curiosity, doubtlessly concentrating on a crucial liquidation stage close to $54,000.

Woo 建议，在出现可持续反弹之前，市场必须应对极端的期货未平仓好奇心，毫无疑问将重点放在接近 54,000 美元的关键清算阶段。

Do you continue to agree with Woo’s evaluation? Share your ideas within the feedback part beneath.

您是否继续认同吴宇森的评价？在下面的反馈部分分享您的想法。

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