政府关闭、加密货币和影响：应对不确定性

了解政府关门如何影响加密货币行业，从监管延迟到市场预测和潜在投资策略。

The U.S. government shutdown has thrown a wrench into various sectors, and the crypto industry isn't immune. From delayed regulations to market volatility, here's a breakdown of what's happening.

美国政府关门给各个行业带来了影响，加密货币行业也未能幸免。从监管延迟到市场波动，以下是正在发生的事情的详细分析。

Shutdown Stalls Crypto Legislation

关闭阻碍了加密立法

One of the most immediate impacts is the slowdown of crypto-related legislation. The Senate's focus has shifted to reopening the government, potentially derailing the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. Cody Carbone, CEO of the Digital Chamber, notes that time is running out for key bills, and the lack of tax clarity could have long-term consequences.

最直接的影响之一是加密相关立法的放缓。参议院的重点已转向重新开放政府，这可能会破坏《数字资产市场清晰度法案》。数字商会首席执行官科迪·卡本 (Cody Carbone) 指出，关键法案的时间已经不多了，税收透明度的缺乏可能会产生长期后果。

Regulatory Gridlock

监管僵局

Federal agencies are operating with essential personnel only, which means regulators aren't working on crypto governance rules, including those for stablecoins. The SEC's work on digital asset market proposals has also been put on hold. However, Caitlin Long, CEO of Custodia Bank, shared that some processes, like patent resolutions, are continuing as normal.

联邦机构仅配备必要人员，这意味着监管机构并未制定加密货币治理规则，包括稳定币的规则。 SEC 关于数字资产市场提案的工作也被搁置。然而，Custodia Bank 首席执行官凯特琳·朗 (Caitlin Long) 表示，专利决议等一些流程仍在正常进行。

Market Predictions and Bitcoin's Resilience

市场预测和比特币的弹性

Prediction markets are betting that this shutdown will surpass the 35-day record set during Trump's first term. Interestingly, the last prolonged shutdown in 2018-2019 coincided with Bitcoin's bear-market bottom. While this shutdown has coincided with a rally in gold, analysts suggest keeping an eye on Bitcoin's performance, especially around major macroeconomic data releases like the CPI.

市场预测，此次政府关门将超过特朗普第一任期内创下的 35 天纪录。有趣的是，上一次长时间关闭发生在 2018-2019 年，恰逢比特币熊市触底。虽然这次关闭恰逢黄金上涨，但分析师建议密切关注比特币的表现，尤其是消费者物价指数等主要宏观经济数据的发布。

CPI Data and Bitcoin's Reaction

CPI数据和比特币的反应

The release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a significant event, especially since it's the first major macroeconomic data release since the shutdown. With other economic data suspended, the Federal Reserve will rely heavily on the CPI to gauge inflation. Analysts suggest that lower-than-expected CPI data could weaken the US dollar and benefit assets like Bitcoin. Conversely, higher-than-expected data could boost the dollar and pressure Bitcoin. The agency also pointed out that the cryptocurrency market usually reacts by "rising before the data is released and selling after the data is released."

美国消费者价格指数（CPI）的发布是一个重大事件，特别是因为这是自政府关门以来首次发布的主要宏观经济数据。由于其他经济数据暂停，美联储将严重依赖消费者物价指数来衡量通胀。分析师表示，低于预期的消费者物价指数数据可能会削弱美元，并使比特币等资产受益。相反，高于预期的数据可能会提振美元并给比特币带来压力。该机构还指出，加密货币市场通常的反应是“数据发布前上涨，数据发布后抛售”。

Trezor Safe 7: A Step Towards Secure Crypto Storage

Trezor Safe 7：迈向安全加密存储的一步

Amidst the uncertainty, companies like Trezor are innovating in the crypto space. The Trezor Safe 7, with its auditable chip and quantum-ready features, aims to provide a secure and transparent hardware wallet solution. This is particularly relevant as investors seek alternatives to centralized solutions.

在不确定性中，像 Trezor 这样的公司正在加密货币领域进行创新。 Trezor Safe 7 具有可审计芯片和量子就绪功能，旨在提供安全、透明的硬件钱包解决方案。当投资者寻求集中式解决方案的替代方案时，这一点尤其重要。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

The government shutdown adds another layer of complexity to the crypto landscape. While regulatory progress may be delayed, the industry continues to evolve, with innovations like Trezor Safe 7 emerging. Keep an eye on CPI data, market trends, and stay safe out there, crypto enthusiasts! It's a wild ride, but hey, that's crypto for ya!

政府关闭给加密货币领域增添了另一层复杂性。尽管监管进展可能会延迟，但该行业仍在不断发展，Trezor Safe 7 等创新不断涌现。加密货币爱好者，请密切关注 CPI 数据、市场趋势，注意安全！这是一次疯狂的旅程，但是嘿，这对你来说是加密货币！