Fundstrat 的 Tom Lee 解释了他的比特币预测背后的基本原理

Fundstrat 的 Tom Lee 最近出现在“Odds Lots”播客中，解释了他的比特币预测背后的基本原理。

Fundstrat's Tom Lee has shared his thoughts on Bitcoin's price movements during his recent appearance on the "Odds Lots" podcast. According to Lee, Bitcoin is unique among other asset classes due to its cooperative nature, where those contributing to the network also stand to benefit from it.

Fundstrat 的 Tom Lee 在最近出现在“Odds Lots”播客中时分享了他对比特币价格走势的看法。 Lee 表示，由于其合作性质，比特币在其他资产类别中是独一无二的，那些为网络做出贡献的人也将从中受益。

Lee went on to recall how his firm first covered Bitcoin in 2017, when the cryptocurrency was trading at around $1,000. At the time, Fundstrat published a white paper outlining two primary variables influencing Bitcoin's price: the number of active wallets and the activity per wallet.

Lee 继续回忆起他的公司是如何在 2017 年首次涉足比特币的，当时加密货币的交易价格约为 1,000 美元。当时，Fundstrat 发布了一份白皮书，概述了影响比特币价格的两个主要变量：活跃钱包数量和每个钱包的活动。

"We made a simple projection at that time. We said that in five years, by 2022, if the number of wallets went up by 70%, and activity per wallet went up by 40%, Bitcoin would be $25,000 by 2022,” the strategist said.

“我们当时做了一个简单的预测。我们说，五年后，到 2022 年，如果钱包数量增加 70%，每个钱包的活动增加 40%，那么到 2022 年，比特币将达到 25,000 美元。”战略家说。

Having said that, over 80% of Bitcoin price moves are still explained by activity per wallet.

话虽如此，超过 80% 的比特币价格走势仍然是由每个钱包的活动来解释的。

As previously reported by U.Today, Fidelity's Jurian Timmer suggested that the underwhelming growth of the Bitcoin network might be the reason behind the cryptocurrency's failure to set new record highs in recent months.

正如《今日美国》之前报道的那样，富达的 Jurian Timmer 表示，比特币网络增长乏力可能是该加密货币近几个月未能创下新纪录高点的原因。

On Monday, the crypto king sank below the $60,000 level for the first time in over a month, hitting an intraday low of $59,863, according to CoinGecko data.

根据 CoinGecko 的数据，周一，加密货币之王的价格在一个多月以来首次跌破 60,000 美元，盘中低点为 59,863 美元。

Recently, Lee reiterated his previously stated price target of $150,000, which he initially announced back in June.

最近，Lee 重申了他先前在 6 月份宣布的 150,000 美元目标价格。